Which Team Will Win?

Tottenham Hotspur

Every published prediction involving Tottenham Hotspur, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Tottenham Hotspur finish 17th on about 45 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 15th 1 pts projected GW 2 · 14th 2 pts projected GW 3 · 14th 4 pts projected GW 4 · 17th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 16th 6 pts projected GW 6 · 17th 7 pts projected GW 7 · 16th 8 pts projected GW 8 · 16th 9 pts projected GW 9 · 15th 11 pts projected GW 10 · 17th 12 pts projected GW 11 · 14th 14 pts projected GW 12 · 16th 15 pts projected GW 13 · 14th 16 pts projected GW 14 · 15th 17 pts projected GW 15 · 15th 19 pts projected GW 16 · 15th 20 pts projected GW 17 · 16th 21 pts projected GW 18 · 16th 22 pts projected GW 19 · 17th 22 pts projected GW 20 · 17th 24 pts projected GW 21 · 17th 25 pts projected GW 22 · 17th 26 pts projected GW 23 · 17th 28 pts projected GW 24 · 16th 29 pts projected GW 25 · 17th 30 pts projected GW 26 · 17th 31 pts projected GW 27 · 17th 32 pts projected GW 28 · 17th 33 pts projected GW 29 · 17th 34 pts projected GW 30 · 17th 35 pts projected GW 31 · 17th 37 pts projected GW 32 · 17th 38 pts projected GW 33 · 17th 40 pts projected GW 34 · 17th 40 pts projected GW 35 · 17th 41 pts projected GW 36 · 17th 43 pts projected GW 37 · 17th 44 pts projected GW 38 · 17th 45 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Tottenham Hotspur have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Brentford vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 17:30) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

◀ Brentford win Tottenham win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 27%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Brentford crest
BRE TOT L-W-L-D-D W-W-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.20 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-D-D-W-D D-L-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.45 1.10 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT — AGAINST THE CALL 1.54 1.17 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.74 0.91 Defence Conceded per game 74% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Above average 1552 Below average 1468 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.44 1.21 Attack Goals and expected goals per game
Tottenham Hotspur crest

The key stat: XI defensive record. No other measure separates them as clearly. Tottenham Hotspur lead it, 1.17 to 1.54. the side with the steadier back line normally comes out on top here — 66% of the time in recent seasons. That cuts against our verdict. Brentford are tipped because they lead on goal difference in this setting, expected goals and goalkeeping. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callBrentford to win: 45% against 28%, with the draw at 27%. Confidence slight.
  • For BrentfordElo performance 1552 v 1468 (useful); GK save rate 74% v 70% (useful); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v 0.00 (slight).
  • For Tottenham HotspurDefence 0.91 v 1.74 (decisive); XI defensive record 1.17 v 1.54 (clear); Goal difference 0.40 v -0.20 (slight).
  • FormBrentford L-W-L-D-D, Tottenham Hotspur W-W-D-L-W.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Kelleher98%
  2. Collins98%
  3. Kayode98%
  4. Pinnock97%
  5. Henry95%
  6. AnthonyNEW98%
  7. Lewis-Potter98%
  8. Yarmoliuk98%
  9. Jensen98%
  10. O.Dango81%
  11. Thiago98%
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. SenesiNEW98%
  3. Pedro Porro98%
  4. Van HeckeNEW98%
  5. Danso98%
  6. FernandesNEW98%
  7. Gallagher98%
  8. TonaliNEW97%
  9. Bentancur97%
  10. Tel81%
  11. Solanke97%

Likely subs Schade, Damsgaard, Janelt, Ajer, Valdimarsson, Hickey, Wilson

Likely subs Van de Ven, Dubravka, Udogie, Robertson, Richarlison, Kudus, Gray

Doubts Van den Berg injured, Milambo injured, Carvalho doubtful

Doubts Vicario unavailable, Kudus doubtful, Romero unavailable, Odobert injured, Kulusevski injured, Spence unavailable, Xavi injured, Phillips unavailable

Our call: 45% BRE · 27% draw · 28% TOT  ·  expected goals 1.45–1.10

Last updated today at 09:41

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Newcastle United

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 17:30) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Too close to call

◀ Tottenham win Newcastle win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 26%

Draw 26% · leans NEW by 1 point

More statsLess
Tottenham Hotspur crest
TOT NEW W-W-D-L-W L-W-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 0.40 0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) L-L-D-D-W W-L-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.39 1.41 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.17 1.51 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Below average 1468 Above average 1546 Elo performance 1500 is average 70% 67% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.91 1.57 Defence Conceded per game 1.93 2.36 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven
Newcastle United crest

The key stat: XI defensive record. No other measure separates them as clearly. Tottenham Hotspur come out on top, 1.17 against 1.51. the side with the steadier back line normally comes out on top here — 74% of the time in recent seasons. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callToo close to call — Tottenham Hotspur 37%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 37%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • For Newcastle UnitedXI attacking output 2.36 v 1.93 (useful); Elo performance 1546 v 1468 (useful); Goal difference at this venue -0.60 v -0.80 (marginal).
  • For Tottenham HotspurDefence 0.91 v 1.57 (clear); XI defensive record 1.17 v 1.51 (clear); GK save rate 70% v 67% (useful).
  • FormTottenham Hotspur W-W-D-L-W, Newcastle United L-W-D-W-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Kinsky98%
  2. SenesiNEW98%
  3. Pedro Porro98%
  4. Van HeckeNEW98%
  5. Danso98%
  6. FernandesNEW98%
  7. Gallagher98%
  8. TonaliNEW97%
  9. Bentancur97%
  10. Tel81%
  11. Solanke97%
  1. Pope98%
  2. Thiaw98%
  3. Schär98%
  4. Botman98%
  5. Burn81%
  6. L.Miley98%
  7. J.Murphy73%
  8. Willock62%
  9. J.Ramsey62%
  10. Barnes27%
  11. Osula93%

Likely subs Van de Ven, Dubravka, Udogie, Robertson, Richarlison, Kudus, Gray

Likely subs Hall, Woltemade, Elanga, Wissa, Neave, Touré, Steur

Doubts Vicario unavailable, Kudus doubtful, Romero unavailable, Odobert injured, Kulusevski injured, Spence unavailable, Xavi injured, Phillips unavailable

Doubts Joelinton injured, Livramento injured, A.Murphy unavailable

Our call: 37% TOT · 26% draw · 37% NEW  ·  expected goals 1.39–1.41

Last updated today at 09:41

The road ahead

The rest of Tottenham Hotspur's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Nottingham Forest (A) 27% 26% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 4 Everton (H) 37% 27% 36% Win 37%
Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 5 Aston Villa (H) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 6 Manchester United (A) 17% 22% 61% Lose 61%
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 7 Coventry City (H) 46% 26% 28% Win 46%
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 8 Chelsea (A) 24% 25% 51% Lose 51%
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 9 Crystal Palace (H) 40% 27% 33% Win 40%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Leeds United (A) 27% 26% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Ipswich Town (H) 58% 23% 18% Win 58%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Sunderland (A) 28% 27% 45% Lose 45%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Fulham (H) 37% 28% 35% Win 37%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Arsenal (H) 17% 22% 61% Lose 61%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Hull City (A) 48% 25% 27% Win 48%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Liverpool (A) 17% 22% 61% Lose 61%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Bournemouth (H) 33% 27% 40% Lose 40%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 32% 26% 42% Lose 42%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Manchester City (A) 10% 16% 74% Lose 74%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Fulham (A) 26% 27% 48% Lose 48%