Which Team Will Win?

Coventry City

Where we have Coventry City finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Coventry City finish 19th on 15 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 12th FUL · 0 pts14th SUN · 0 pts15th NFO · 0 pts18th COV · 0 pts20th AVL · 0 pts GW 2 11th SUN · 3 pts15th NFO · 1 pts16th FUL · 0 pts17th COV · 0 pts19th AVL · 0 pts GW 3 12th SUN · 4 pts16th NFO · 2 pts17th AVL · 1 pts19th FUL · 0 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 4 11th NFO · 5 pts14th SUN · 4 pts18th FUL · 1 pts19th AVL · 1 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 5 13th NFO · 5 pts14th SUN · 4 pts16th AVL · 4 pts18th COV · 3 pts19th FUL · 2 pts GW 6 14th COV · 6 pts15th NFO · 5 pts16th AVL · 5 pts17th SUN · 4 pts20th FUL · 2 pts GW 7 · projected 12th AVL · 8 pts17th COV · 6 pts18th FUL · 5 pts19th NFO · 5 pts20th SUN · 4 pts GW 8 · projected 13th FUL · 8 pts14th NFO · 8 pts15th AVL · 8 pts16th SUN · 7 pts19th COV · 6 pts GW 9 · projected 9th AVL · 11 pts13th SUN · 10 pts17th FUL · 8 pts18th NFO · 8 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 10 · projected 13th FUL · 11 pts14th AVL · 11 pts15th SUN · 10 pts18th NFO · 8 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 11 · projected 8th AVL · 14 pts15th FUL · 11 pts16th SUN · 10 pts18th COV · 9 pts19th NFO · 8 pts GW 12 · projected 8th AVL · 17 pts13th SUN · 13 pts16th FUL · 11 pts19th COV · 9 pts20th NFO · 8 pts GW 13 · projected 7th AVL · 20 pts11th FUL · 14 pts14th SUN · 13 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts GW 14 · projected 7th AVL · 23 pts13th FUL · 14 pts14th SUN · 13 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts GW 15 · projected 6th AVL · 26 pts12th FUL · 17 pts14th SUN · 16 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts GW 16 · projected 7th AVL · 26 pts12th SUN · 19 pts13th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts GW 17 · projected 7th AVL · 29 pts13th SUN · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts GW 18 · projected 8th AVL · 29 pts13th SUN · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts GW 19 · projected 9th AVL · 29 pts12th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 17 pts15th NFO · 17 pts18th COV · 12 pts GW 20 · projected 9th AVL · 29 pts13th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th COV · 12 pts GW 21 · projected 8th AVL · 32 pts13th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts18th COV · 12 pts GW 22 · projected 8th AVL · 35 pts13th SUN · 25 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 23 · projected 8th AVL · 38 pts13th SUN · 25 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 24 · projected 8th AVL · 41 pts13th SUN · 25 pts14th NFO · 23 pts16th FUL · 20 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 25 · projected 8th AVL · 44 pts13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 26 · projected 8th AVL · 47 pts13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 27 · projected 7th AVL · 50 pts13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 23 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 28 · projected 8th AVL · 50 pts13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 26 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 29 · projected 8th AVL · 53 pts13th FUL · 29 pts14th SUN · 28 pts15th NFO · 26 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 30 · projected 7th AVL · 56 pts13th FUL · 29 pts14th SUN · 28 pts15th NFO · 26 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 31 · projected 7th AVL · 59 pts13th SUN · 31 pts14th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 32 · projected 8th AVL · 59 pts13th FUL · 32 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 26 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 33 · projected 8th AVL · 62 pts13th FUL · 32 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 29 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 34 · projected 8th AVL · 65 pts13th FUL · 35 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 29 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 35 · projected 8th AVL · 65 pts13th FUL · 38 pts14th NFO · 32 pts15th SUN · 31 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 36 · projected 8th AVL · 68 pts12th FUL · 41 pts14th NFO · 32 pts15th SUN · 31 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 37 · projected 8th AVL · 68 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 35 pts15th SUN · 31 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 38 · projected 8th AVL · 71 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 38 pts15th SUN · 31 pts19th COV · 15 pts
Coventry City Nottingham Forest relegationSunderland relegationFulham relegationAston Villa derby
Coventry City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 2 places ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 2 places ahead Actual 18thProjected 20th GW 2 · 2 places behind Projected 15thActual 17th GW 3 · 3 places behind Projected 17thActual 20th GW 4 · 2 places behind Projected 18thActual 20th GW 5 Actual 18thProjected 18th GW 6 · 4 places ahead Actual 14thProjected 18th GW 7 · 2 places ahead Actual 16thProjected 18th GW 8 Projected 18th GW 9 Projected 17th GW 10 Projected 18th GW 11 Projected 18th GW 12 Projected 18th GW 13 Projected 17th GW 14 Projected 18th GW 15 Projected 18th GW 16 Projected 18th GW 17 Projected 18th GW 18 Projected 18th GW 19 Projected 18th GW 20 Projected 18th GW 21 Projected 18th GW 22 Projected 18th GW 23 Projected 18th GW 24 Projected 18th GW 25 Projected 18th GW 26 Projected 18th GW 27 Projected 18th GW 28 Projected 18th GW 29 Projected 18th GW 30 Projected 18th GW 31 Projected 18th GW 32 Projected 18th GW 33 Projected 18th GW 34 Projected 18th GW 35 Projected 18th GW 36 Projected 18th GW 37 Projected 18th GW 38 Projected 18th

Where Coventry City actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Coventry City

Monday 19th October 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 7

whichteamwillwin.com

Tottenham Hotspur win

Tottenham Hotspur crest
◀ Tottenham win Coventry win ▶ 27% draw chance bookmakers
Coventry City crest

Knife-edge – Tottenham Hotspur shade it

MoreLess
TOT COV L-D-D-L-D L-L-L-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.45 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.13 1.76 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 65% 61% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.27 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.5 3.7 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.19 1.10 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Below average 1454 Weak 1433 Elo performance 1500 is average TOT COV L-D-D-L-D L-L-L-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.45 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.13 1.76 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 65% 61% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.27 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.5 3.7 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.19 1.10 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Below average 1454 Weak 1433 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Defence. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Tottenham Hotspur lead it, 1.13 to 1.76. Historically, whoever was harder to score against takes these roughly 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callKnife-edge – Tottenham Hotspur 43%, draw 27%, Coventry City 30%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Tottenham Hotspur comes from home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defence in front of them.
  • For Tottenham HotspurDefence 1.13 v 1.76 (clear); XI defensive record 1.27 v 1.54 (useful); GK save rate 65% v 61% (useful).
  • For Coventry CityShots on target 3.7 v 3.5 (marginal).
  • FormTottenham Hotspur L-D-D-L-D, Coventry City L-L-L-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1 expected · 16 unavailable · 1 doubtfulCoventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

31 Kinsky 6 J. Van Hecke 37 Van de Ven 3 A. Robertson 16 S. Tonali 14 A. Gray 18 M. Fernandes 11 M. Tel 8 C. Gallagher 22 O. Marmoush 19 Solanke
19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. J. Van Hecke98%
  3. M. Van de Ven81%
  4. A. Robertson61%
  5. S. Tonali98%
  6. A. Gray64%
  7. M. Fernandes54%
  8. M. Tel39%
  9. C. Gallagher38%
  10. O. Marmoush80%
  11. Solanke57%
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%

Likely subs D. Udogie, M. Kudus, J. Maddison, Tosin, M. Dubravka, B. Davies, Senesi

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Doubts R. Bentancur suspended, Sávio injured, Pedro Porro injured, A. Phillips unavailable, L. Bergvall injured, M. Mudryk injured, M. Moore unavailable, D. Kulusevski doubtful

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Our call: 43% TOT · 27% draw · 30% COV  ·  bookmakers: 64% / 21% / 15%  ·  expected goals 1.45–1.16

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 14:16 · checked today at 10:57

Coventry City vs. Fulham

Saturday 24th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Fulham win

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Fulham win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Fulham crest

Confidence: Slight

MoreLess
COV FUL L-L-L-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.15 1.50 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.54 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.76 1.20 Defence Conceded per game 61% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.20 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.10 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 3.7 4.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game COV FUL L-L-L-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.15 1.50 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.54 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.76 1.20 Defence Conceded per game 61% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.20 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.10 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 3.7 4.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Fulham: 1.25 to 1.54. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 74% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callFulham to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For FulhamGK save rate 69% v 61% (clear); Defence 1.20 v 1.76 (clear); XI defensive record 1.25 v 1.54 (clear).
  • For Coventry CityHome and away form L-L-W v L-D-L-D-L (marginal).
  • FormCoventry City L-L-L-W-W, Fulham L-D-D-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtfulFulham 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
1 B. Leno 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 33 A. Robinson 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 16 S. Berge 7 Gonzalo
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%
  1. B. Leno98%
  2. C. Bassey98%
  3. D. Affengruber80%
  4. A. Robinson79%
  5. T. Castagne78%
  6. S. Charles97%
  7. A. Iwobi96%
  8. J. King95%
  9. O. Bobb92%
  10. S. Berge81%
  11. Gonzalo97%

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Likely subs B. Lecomte, Muniz, C. Palacios, Kevin, J. Andersen, Ángel, T. Cairney

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Doubts R. Sessegnon suspended, A. McNally unavailable, L. De Fougerolles unavailable, H. Larsson doubtful

Our call: 29% COV · 26% draw · 45% FUL  ·  bookmakers: 33% / 27% / 41%  ·  expected goals 1.15–1.50

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Coventry City vs. Sunderland

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Sunderland win

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Sunderland win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Sunderland crest

Knife-edge – Sunderland shade it

MoreLess
COV SUN L-L-L-W-W D-L-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W W-L-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.41 1.42 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.63 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.54 1.65 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.7 4.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 61% 59% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.10 1.41 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Weak 1433 Below average 1470 Elo performance 1500 is average COV SUN L-L-L-W-W D-L-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W W-L-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.41 1.42 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.63 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.54 1.65 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.7 4.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 61% 59% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.10 1.41 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Weak 1433 Below average 1470 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Defence. This is the widest gap between them. It goes to Sunderland: 1.63 to 1.76. In matches like this, the side with the tighter defence usually wins – about 66% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callKnife-edge – Coventry City 37%, draw 26%, Sunderland 37%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Sunderland comes from the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them.
  • For SunderlandShots on target 4.6 v 3.7 (useful); Attack 1.41 v 1.10 (useful); Goal difference at this venue -0.60 v -1.00 (slight).
  • For Coventry CityGoal difference -0.60 v -1.60 (useful); XI defensive record 1.54 v 1.65 (slight); GK save rate 61% v 59% (slight).
  • FormCoventry City L-L-L-W-W, Sunderland D-L-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtfulSunderland 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable · 2 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
22 R. Roefs 20 N. Mukiele 17 Reinildo 12 T. Meunier 32 T. Hume 6 Methalie 28 E.Le Fée 34 G. Xhaka 27 N. Sadiki 10 N.Angulo 9 B. Brobbey
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%
  1. R. Roefs98%
  2. N. Mukiele98%
  3. Reinildo78%
  4. T. Meunier53%
  5. T. Hume43%
  6. Methalie25%
  7. E.Le Fée98%
  8. G. Xhaka98%
  9. N. Sadiki96%
  10. N.Angulo71%
  11. B. Brobbey60%

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Likely subs M. Fofana, H. Diarra, C. Talbi, J. Ahoka, J.Angulo, M. Ellborg, L. O'Nien

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Doubts K. Danso suspended, T. Meunier doubtful, D. Ballard injured, W. Isidor doubtful, L. Hjelde unavailable, J. Seelt unavailable, A. Patterson unavailable, S. Adingra unavailable

Our call: 37% COV · 26% draw · 37% SUN  ·  bookmakers: 35% / 28% / 38%  ·  expected goals 1.41–1.42

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Everton vs. Coventry City

Friday 6th November 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Everton win

Everton crest
◀ Everton win Coventry win ▶ 22% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Coventry City crest

Confidence: Strong

MoreLess
EVE COV D-D-W-D-L L-L-L-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.20 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-L L-L-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.93 0.93 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.36 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Above average 1526 Weak 1433 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.45 1.76 Defence Conceded per game 69% 61% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.6 3.7 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.19 1.10 Attack Goals and expected goals per game EVE COV D-D-W-D-L L-L-L-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.20 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-L L-L-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.93 0.93 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.36 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Above average 1526 Weak 1433 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.45 1.76 Defence Conceded per game 69% 61% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.6 3.7 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.19 1.10 Attack Goals and expected goals per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. No other measure separates them as clearly. Everton come out on top, 1.36 against 1.54. the side with the steadier back line normally comes out on top here – 74% of the time in recent seasons. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callEverton to win: 61% against 17%, with the draw at 22%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target.
  • For EvertonGK save rate 69% v 61% (clear); Goals 1.93 v 0.93 (clear); Home and away form L-W-D-W-L v L-L-W (useful).
  • For Coventry CityNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormEverton D-D-W-D-L, Coventry City L-L-L-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Everton 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailableCoventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Everton 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

1 J. Pickford 6 J. Tarkowski 4 Branthwaite 16 V. Mykolenko 2 Maitland-Niles 8 K. Dewsbury-Hall 37 J. Garner 45 H. Armstrong 22 B. Johnson 10 J. Grealish 11 T. Barry
19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
  1. J. Pickford98%
  2. J. Tarkowski98%
  3. J. Branthwaite98%
  4. V. Mykolenko80%
  5. A. Maitland-Niles75%
  6. K. Dewsbury-Hall98%
  7. J. Garner98%
  8. H. Armstrong98%
  9. B. Johnson72%
  10. J. Grealish62%
  11. T. Barry98%
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%

Likely subs T. George, M. Röhl, M. Travers, H. Hackney, T. Dibling, Alcaraz, C. Nørgaard

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Doubts A. Aznou unavailable, Beto unavailable, N. Patterson unavailable

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Our call: 61% EVE · 22% draw · 17% COV  ·  expected goals 1.93–0.93

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Coventry City vs. Crystal Palace

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Coventry City win

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Crystal Palace win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Crystal Palace crest

Knife-edge – Coventry City shade it

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COV CRY L-L-L-W-W W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.42 1.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.54 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 61% 67% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.10 1.20 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 117% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven COV CRY L-L-L-W-W W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.42 1.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.54 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 61% 67% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.10 1.20 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 117% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: Defence. No other measure separates them as clearly. Coventry City come out on top, 1.76 against 2.68. whoever was harder to score against normally comes out on top here – 73% of the time in recent seasons. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callKnife-edge – Coventry City 39%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 34%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Coventry City comes from home advantage, the defence in front of them and the strength of this eleven against their usual one.
  • For Coventry CityDefence 1.76 v 2.68 (decisive); XI strength vs usual 117% v 100% (clear); XI defensive record 1.54 v 1.84 (clear).
  • For Crystal PalaceGK save rate 67% v 61% (clear); Elo performance 1505 v 1433 (slight); Home and away form D-L-W-D-L v L-L-W (slight).
  • FormCoventry City L-L-L-W-W, Crystal Palace W-L-D-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtfulCrystal Palace 3-4-2-1 expected · 10 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
44 Benitez 25 A. Khalaili 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 6 J. Canvot 21 H. Ahanor 20 A. Wharton 18 D. Kamada 23 Q. Timber 10 Yeremy 22 J. Strand Larsen
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%
  1. Benitez80%
  2. A. Khalaili98%
  3. C. Richards98%
  4. T. Mitchell97%
  5. J. Canvot80%
  6. H. Ahanor38%
  7. A. Wharton98%
  8. D. Kamada98%
  9. Q. Timber94%
  10. Yeremy91%
  11. J. Strand Larsen79%

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Likely subs A. Disasi, D. Osorio, Lerma, J. Mateta, I. Sarr, E. Nketiah, D. McNeil

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Doubts R. Cardines unavailable, T. Tomiyasu injured, D. Henderson doubtful, B. Chilwell injured, J. Devenny unavailable, R. Esse unavailable, C. Uche unavailable, M.França unavailable

Our call: 39% COV · 26% draw · 34% CRY  ·  expected goals 1.42–1.32

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Coventry City's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 3 of 6 of their decided matches so far. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Fri 21 Aug, 20:00 Arsenal (A) 9% 16% 75% LoseConfidence: Very strong 0–3
2 Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 Hull City (H) 52% 24% 24% WinConfidence: Fair 0–1
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 7% 13% 80% LoseConfidence: Very strong 0–1
4 Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 24% 26% 50% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–5
5 Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 Nottingham Forest (A) 17% 22% 60% LoseConfidence: Strong 1–0
6 Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 Newcastle United (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight 4–1
7 Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 30% 27% 43% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge –
8 Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Fulham (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 37% 26% 37% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge –
10 Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Everton (A) 17% 22% 61% LoseConfidence: Strong –
11 Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 39% 26% 34% WinConfidence: Knife-edge –
12 Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 Leeds United (A) 24% 26% 50% LoseProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Ipswich Town (H) 47% 25% 27% WinProjected: Slight –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Manchester United (A) 15% 20% 65% LoseProjected: Strong –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Aston Villa (H) 26% 26% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 16% 22% 62% LoseProjected: Strong –
17 Sun 27 Dec, 14:00 Chelsea (H) 28% 26% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 19:30 Brentford (H) 31% 26% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 12% 19% 69% LoseProjected: Very strong –
20 Wed 6 Jan, 19:30 Ipswich Town (A) 35% 26% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Everton (H) 32% 26% 42% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 27% 25% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 35% 27% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Crystal Palace (A) 27% 25% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Liverpool (H) 21% 24% 55% LoseProjected: Fair –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Brentford (A) 21% 24% 56% LoseProjected: Fair –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Bournemouth (H) 26% 25% 49% LoseProjected: Fair –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Chelsea (A) 18% 22% 60% LoseProjected: Strong –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 15% 20% 65% LoseProjected: Strong –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 16% 22% 63% LoseProjected: Strong –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Arsenal (H) 13% 20% 68% LoseProjected: Strong –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Hull City (A) 33% 27% 40% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 16% 22% 62% LoseProjected: Strong –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Manchester United (H) 24% 24% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 21% 24% 55% LoseProjected: Fair –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 40% 27% 33% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Fulham (A) 22% 25% 53% LoseProjected: Fair –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 35% 27% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call