Which Team Will Win?

Coventry City

Every published prediction involving Coventry City, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Coventry City finish 18th on about 42 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 20th 0 pts projected GW 2 · 15th 2 pts projected GW 3 · 18th 3 pts projected GW 4 · 18th 4 pts projected GW 5 · 18th 5 pts projected GW 6 · 18th 6 pts projected GW 7 · 18th 7 pts projected GW 8 · 18th 9 pts projected GW 9 · 18th 10 pts projected GW 10 · 18th 11 pts projected GW 11 · 18th 12 pts projected GW 12 · 18th 13 pts projected GW 13 · 17th 15 pts projected GW 14 · 18th 16 pts projected GW 15 · 18th 17 pts projected GW 16 · 18th 18 pts projected GW 17 · 18th 19 pts projected GW 18 · 18th 21 pts projected GW 19 · 18th 21 pts projected GW 20 · 18th 23 pts projected GW 21 · 18th 24 pts projected GW 22 · 18th 25 pts projected GW 23 · 18th 26 pts projected GW 24 · 18th 28 pts projected GW 25 · 18th 28 pts projected GW 26 · 18th 30 pts projected GW 27 · 18th 31 pts projected GW 28 · 18th 32 pts projected GW 29 · 18th 32 pts projected GW 30 · 18th 33 pts projected GW 31 · 18th 34 pts projected GW 32 · 18th 35 pts projected GW 33 · 18th 36 pts projected GW 34 · 18th 37 pts projected GW 35 · 18th 38 pts projected GW 36 · 18th 39 pts projected GW 37 · 18th 40 pts projected GW 38 · 18th 42 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Coventry City have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Arsenal vs. Coventry City

Friday 21st August 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Arsenal win

◀ Arsenal win Coventry win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 15%

Confidence: Very strong

More statsLess
Arsenal crest
ARS COV 2.64 0.79 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1744 Weak 1430 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.02 2.98 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.05 1.49 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 76% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.62 0.00 Availability This eleven against the usual one
Coventry City crest

The key stat: Elo performance. This is the widest gap between them. Arsenal lead it, Exceptional to Weak. In matches like this, the side carrying the stronger record usually wins — about 76% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callArsenal to win: 76% against 9%, with the draw at 15%. Confidence very strong.
  • For ArsenalGoals 2.64 v 0.79 (decisive); Elo performance 1744 v 1430 (decisive); Availability 0.62 v 0.00 (decisive).
  • For Coventry CityNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormArsenal W-W-W-W-W. Coventry City have no Premier League record.

NB Coventry City came up from the Championship, and we hold no Championship results, so their half of this comparison rests on the players rather than on past results. The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Coventry City 4-3-3

Provisional starting XI

  1. Raya98%
  2. Calafiori92%
  3. Gabriel83%
  4. White75%
  5. Mosquera62%
  6. Rice98%
  7. Saka77%
  8. Eze75%
  9. Bruno G.NEW73%
  10. Ødegaard62%
  11. Havertz60%
  1. Rushworth
  2. Thomas
  3. Kitching
  4. van Ewijk
  5. Dasilva
  6. Mason-Clark
  7. Torp
  8. Tchaouna
  9. Awoniyi
  10. Thomas-Asante
  11. Simms

Likely subs Arrizabalaga, Meslier, Hincapie, Lewis-Skelly, Madueke, Zubimendi, Gyökeres

Likely subs Hamer, Onyeka, Rudoni, Kesler-Hayden, Grimes, Wilson, Bidwell

Doubts Saliba injured, Bruno G. doubtful, J.Timber injured

Doubts Wright injured, Markelo unavailable, Bassette unavailable

Our call: 76% ARS · 15% draw · 9% COV  ·  expected goals 2.64–0.79

Last updated today at 09:41

Coventry City vs. Hull City

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Coventry City win

◀ Coventry win Hull City win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 21%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Coventry City crest
COV HUL 2.13 1.12 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.98 1.87 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1430 Weak 1398 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.49 1.49 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.00 0.46 Availability This eleven against the usual one
Hull City crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Coventry City lead it, 2.98 to 1.87. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat tends to win, in around 73% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callCoventry City to win: 60% against 19%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • For Coventry CityXI attacking output 2.98 v 1.87 (decisive); Goals 2.13 v 1.12 (clear); Elo performance 1430 v 1398 (slight).
  • For Hull CityAvailability 0.46 v 0.00 (clear).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L. Coventry City have no Premier League record.

NB Coventry City came up from the Championship, and we hold no Championship results, so their half of this comparison rests on the players rather than on past results. The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 4-3-3

Provisional starting XI

Hull City 4-3-3

Expected starting XI

  1. Rushworth
  2. Thomas
  3. Kitching
  4. van Ewijk
  5. Dasilva
  6. Mason-Clark
  7. Torp
  8. Tchaouna
  9. Awoniyi
  10. Thomas-Asante
  11. Simms
  1. TzolakisNEW0%
  2. AjayiNEW98%
  3. EganNEW96%
  4. McNairNEW62%
  5. GilesNEW42%
  6. DowellNEW96%
  7. BelloumiNEW0%
  8. MillarNEW0%
  9. McBurnieNEW81%
  10. DramehNEW27%
  11. TargettNEW20%

Likely subs Hamer, Onyeka, Rudoni, Kesler-Hayden, Grimes, Wilson, Bidwell

Likely subs Ömür, Akintola, Morita, Hjertø-Dahl, Stroud, Gourna-Douath, Crooks

Doubts Wright injured, Markelo unavailable, Bassette unavailable

Doubts Butland injured, Gelhardt injured, Burstow unavailable, Gyabi injured, Kamara unavailable, Morita doubtful, Matazo injured, Zambrano injured

Our call: 60% COV · 21% draw · 19% HUL  ·  expected goals 2.13–1.12

Last updated today at 12:19

The road ahead

The rest of Coventry City's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Manchester City (A) 10% 16% 75% Lose 75%
Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 4 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 30% 25% 45% Lose 45%
Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 5 Nottingham Forest (A) 24% 24% 52% Lose 52%
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 6 Newcastle United (H) 34% 26% 40% Lose 40%
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 7 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 28% 26% 46% Lose 46%
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 8 Fulham (H) 35% 27% 38% Lose 38%
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 9 Sunderland (H) 38% 27% 35% Win 38%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Everton (A) 23% 24% 52% Lose 52%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Crystal Palace (H) 38% 26% 36% Win 38%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Leeds United (A) 25% 24% 51% Lose 51%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Ipswich Town (H) 56% 24% 20% Win 56%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Manchester United (A) 15% 20% 65% Lose 65%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Aston Villa (H) 27% 25% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Bournemouth (A) 20% 24% 56% Lose 56%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Chelsea (H) 33% 26% 41% Lose 41%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Brentford (H) 38% 27% 35% Win 38%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Liverpool (A) 15% 20% 64% Lose 64%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Ipswich Town (A) 43% 26% 31% Win 43%