Which Team Will Win?

Brighton & Hove Albion

Where we have Brighton & Hove Albion finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Brighton & Hove Albion finish 4th on 88 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 1st BHA · 3 pts2nd ARS · 3 pts6th CHE · 3 pts10th LIV · 1 pts16th CRY · 0 pts GW 2 2nd ARS · 6 pts4th CHE · 6 pts9th BHA · 3 pts13th LIV · 2 pts18th CRY · 0 pts GW 3 2nd ARS · 9 pts4th CHE · 6 pts6th LIV · 5 pts10th BHA · 4 pts13th CRY · 3 pts GW 4 1st ARS · 12 pts5th BHA · 7 pts6th CHE · 7 pts8th LIV · 6 pts16th CRY · 3 pts GW 5 2nd ARS · 12 pts3rd BHA · 10 pts6th LIV · 9 pts10th CHE · 7 pts15th CRY · 4 pts GW 6 2nd ARS · 15 pts3rd BHA · 13 pts6th CHE · 10 pts9th LIV · 9 pts12th CRY · 7 pts GW 7 2nd ARS · 18 pts3rd BHA · 16 pts4th CHE · 13 pts5th LIV · 12 pts14th CRY · 7 pts GW 8 · projected 2nd ARS · 21 pts3rd BHA · 16 pts4th CHE · 16 pts5th LIV · 15 pts17th CRY · 7 pts GW 9 · projected 2nd ARS · 24 pts3rd CHE · 19 pts4th BHA · 16 pts6th LIV · 15 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 10 · projected 2nd ARS · 27 pts3rd CHE · 22 pts4th BHA · 19 pts5th LIV · 18 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 11 · projected 2nd ARS · 30 pts3rd CHE · 25 pts4th BHA · 22 pts5th LIV · 21 pts20th CRY · 7 pts GW 12 · projected 2nd ARS · 33 pts3rd CHE · 28 pts4th BHA · 25 pts5th LIV · 24 pts17th CRY · 10 pts GW 13 · projected 2nd ARS · 36 pts3rd CHE · 31 pts4th LIV · 27 pts5th BHA · 25 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 14 · projected 2nd ARS · 39 pts3rd CHE · 31 pts4th LIV · 30 pts5th BHA · 28 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 15 · projected 2nd ARS · 42 pts3rd LIV · 33 pts4th BHA · 31 pts5th CHE · 31 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 16 · projected 2nd ARS · 45 pts3rd LIV · 36 pts4th BHA · 34 pts5th CHE · 34 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 17 · projected 2nd ARS · 48 pts3rd LIV · 39 pts4th BHA · 37 pts5th CHE · 37 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 18 · projected 2nd ARS · 51 pts3rd LIV · 42 pts4th BHA · 40 pts5th CHE · 40 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 19 · projected 2nd ARS · 54 pts3rd LIV · 45 pts4th BHA · 43 pts5th CHE · 43 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 20 · projected 2nd ARS · 57 pts3rd LIV · 48 pts4th BHA · 46 pts5th CHE · 46 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 21 · projected 2nd ARS · 60 pts3rd LIV · 51 pts4th BHA · 49 pts5th CHE · 49 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 22 · projected 2nd ARS · 63 pts3rd CHE · 52 pts4th LIV · 51 pts5th BHA · 49 pts19th CRY · 13 pts GW 23 · projected 2nd ARS · 63 pts3rd CHE · 55 pts4th LIV · 54 pts5th BHA · 52 pts17th CRY · 16 pts GW 24 · projected 2nd ARS · 66 pts3rd BHA · 55 pts4th CHE · 55 pts5th LIV · 54 pts17th CRY · 19 pts GW 25 · projected 2nd ARS · 69 pts3rd LIV · 57 pts4th BHA · 55 pts5th CHE · 55 pts17th CRY · 19 pts GW 26 · projected 2nd ARS · 72 pts3rd LIV · 60 pts4th BHA · 58 pts5th CHE · 58 pts17th CRY · 19 pts GW 27 · projected 2nd ARS · 75 pts3rd LIV · 63 pts4th BHA · 61 pts5th CHE · 58 pts16th CRY · 22 pts GW 28 · projected 2nd ARS · 78 pts3rd LIV · 66 pts4th BHA · 64 pts5th CHE · 61 pts16th CRY · 22 pts GW 29 · projected 2nd ARS · 81 pts3rd LIV · 69 pts4th BHA · 67 pts5th CHE · 61 pts17th CRY · 22 pts GW 30 · projected 2nd ARS · 84 pts3rd LIV · 72 pts4th BHA · 70 pts5th CHE · 64 pts16th CRY · 25 pts GW 31 · projected 2nd ARS · 87 pts3rd LIV · 75 pts4th BHA · 70 pts5th CHE · 67 pts16th CRY · 25 pts GW 32 · projected 2nd ARS · 90 pts3rd LIV · 78 pts4th BHA · 73 pts5th CHE · 67 pts16th CRY · 25 pts GW 33 · projected 2nd ARS · 93 pts3rd LIV · 81 pts4th BHA · 76 pts5th CHE · 67 pts17th CRY · 25 pts GW 34 · projected 2nd ARS · 96 pts3rd LIV · 84 pts4th BHA · 79 pts6th CHE · 67 pts17th CRY · 25 pts GW 35 · projected 2nd ARS · 99 pts3rd LIV · 84 pts4th BHA · 82 pts6th CHE · 70 pts17th CRY · 25 pts GW 36 · projected 2nd ARS · 102 pts3rd LIV · 87 pts4th BHA · 85 pts6th CHE · 73 pts17th CRY · 25 pts GW 37 · projected 2nd ARS · 105 pts3rd BHA · 88 pts4th LIV · 87 pts7th CHE · 73 pts17th CRY · 25 pts GW 38 · projected 2nd ARS · 108 pts3rd LIV · 90 pts4th BHA · 88 pts7th CHE · 76 pts16th CRY · 28 pts
Brighton & Hove Albion Liverpool Champions LeagueArsenal Champions LeagueChelsea Champions LeagueCrystal Palace derby
Brighton & Hove Albion solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 4 places ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 7 places ahead Actual 1stProjected 8th GW 2 · 1 place behind Projected 8thActual 9th GW 3 · 5 places behind Projected 5thActual 10th GW 4 Actual 5thProjected 5th GW 5 · 5 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 8th GW 6 · 5 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 8th GW 7 · 4 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 7th GW 8 Projected 7th GW 9 Projected 9th GW 10 Projected 8th GW 11 Projected 6th GW 12 Projected 6th GW 13 Projected 6th GW 14 Projected 6th GW 15 Projected 6th GW 16 Projected 6th GW 17 Projected 6th GW 18 Projected 6th GW 19 Projected 6th GW 20 Projected 6th GW 21 Projected 6th GW 22 Projected 6th GW 23 Projected 6th GW 24 Projected 6th GW 25 Projected 6th GW 26 Projected 6th GW 27 Projected 6th GW 28 Projected 6th GW 29 Projected 6th GW 30 Projected 6th GW 31 Projected 6th GW 32 Projected 6th GW 33 Projected 6th GW 34 Projected 6th GW 35 Projected 6th GW 36 Projected 6th GW 37 Projected 6th GW 38 Projected 6th

Where Brighton & Hove Albion actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Brighton & Hove Albion 5–0 Crystal Palace

Sunday 18th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Brighton & Hove Albion win

5–0Full time

Brighton & Hove Albion crest
◀ Brighton win Crystal Palace win ▶ 23% draw chance bookmakers
Crystal Palace crest

Confidence: Fair

BHA CRY L-D-W-W-W L-W-L-D-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.80 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-D-W L-D-L-W-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.40 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 61% 39% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.94 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.55 2.10 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1590 Average 1511 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.83 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.94 1.51 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 72% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 4.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game BHA CRY L-D-W-W-W L-W-L-D-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.80 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-D-W L-D-L-W-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.40 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 61% 39% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.94 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.55 2.10 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1590 Average 1511 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.83 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.94 1.51 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 72% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 4.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Defence. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brighton & Hove Albion lead it, 1.55 to 2.10. Historically, whoever was harder to score against takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 56% against 21%, with the draw at 23%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionPossession 61% v 39% (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.40 v -0.80 (decisive); Goal difference 1.80 v -0.20 (decisive).
  • For Crystal PalaceGK save rate 72% v 69% (slight).
  • FormBrighton & Hove Albion L-D-W-W-W, Crystal Palace L-W-L-D-W.
Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 confirmedCrystal Palace 3-4-2-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 B. Verbruggen 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 44 L. Vušković 24 F. Kadıoğlu 14 Chema Andrés 13 P. Groß 29 M. De Cuyper 26 Y. Ayari 25 D. Gómez 19 C. Kostoulas
44 W. Benítez 21 H. Ahanor 26 C. Richards 6 J. Canvot 3 T. Mitchell 23 Q. Timber 20 A. Wharton 25 A. Khalaili 10 Yéremy Pino 18 D. Kamada 22 J. Strand Larsen
  1. B. Verbruggen
  2. O. Boscagli
  3. L. Dunk
  4. L. Vušković
  5. F. Kadıoğlu
  6. Chema Andrés
  7. P. Groß
  8. M. De Cuyper
  9. Y. Ayari
  10. D. Gómez
  11. C. Kostoulas
  1. W. Benítez
  2. H. Ahanor
  3. C. Richards
  4. J. Canvot
  5. T. Mitchell
  6. Q. Timber
  7. A. Wharton
  8. A. Khalaili
  9. Yéremy Pino
  10. D. Kamada
  11. J. Strand Larsen

Substitutes J. Hadjam, J. Hinshelwood, Costinha, M. O'Riley, I. Osman, G. Rutter, J. Steele, M. Svoboda, M. Yalcouyé

Substitutes W. Hughes, J. Lerma, J. Mateta, R. Matthews, D. McNeil, Óscar Mingueza, E. Nketiah, D. Osorio, I. Sarr

Our call: 56% BHA · 23% draw · 21% CRY  ·  bookmakers: 61% / 21% / 18%  ·  expected goals 1.94–1.11

Last updated 18 Oct at 13:16

Liverpool vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday 25th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Liverpool win

Liverpool crest
◀ Liverpool win Brighton win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Confidence: Fair

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LIV BHA W-D-W-L-W D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches 0.20 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-D-D-L L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 46% 54% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.69 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.60 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 68% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.1 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.22 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Very strong 1641 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average LIV BHA W-D-W-L-W D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches 0.20 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-D-D-L L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 46% 54% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.69 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.60 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 68% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.1 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.22 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Very strong 1641 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Attack. This is the widest gap between them. Brighton & Hove Albion lead it, 2.48 to 1.60. In matches like this, the side scoring more freely usually wins – about 71% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

Against the call – Brighton & Hove Albion come out ahead on it, and Liverpool are favoured anyway – on the strength of home advantage, the long-run strength gap and a cup tie in the other side's legs.

  • The callLiverpool to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and a cup tie in the other side's legs – the strongest pull the other way is recent shots on target.
  • For LiverpoolGoals 1.69 v 1.09 (useful); XI defensive record 1.22 v 1.34 (slight); Elo performance 1641 v 1596 (slight).
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v 0.20 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 1.60 (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v -0.60 (useful).
  • FormLiverpool W-D-W-L-W, Brighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Liverpool 4-2-3-1 expected · 11 unavailableBrighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 A.Becker 4 Virgil 5 J. Jacquet 33 R. Araujo 6 M. Kerkez 7 F. Wirtz 10 A. Mac Allister 29 B. Barcola 23 V. Munoz 18 C. Gakpo 9 A. Isak
1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
  1. A.Becker98%
  2. Virgil98%
  3. J. Jacquet98%
  4. R. Araujo93%
  5. M. Kerkez84%
  6. F. Wirtz96%
  7. A. Mac Allister82%
  8. B. Barcola79%
  9. V. Munoz75%
  10. C. Gakpo43%
  11. A. Isak76%
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%

Likely subs R. Gravenberch, R. Ngumoha, L. Koumas, J. Gomez, K. Tsimikas, Endo, G. Mamardashvili

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Doubts D. Szoboszlai injured, A. Pecsi unavailable, J. Frimpong injured, V. Jaros injured, G. Leoni injured, C. Ramsay unavailable, H. Ekitiké injured, C.Jones unavailable

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Our call: 51% LIV · 25% draw · 24% BHA  ·  bookmakers: 46% / 25% / 29%  ·  expected goals 1.69–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Manchester City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester City win

Manchester City crest
◀ Man City win Brighton win ▶ 22% draw chance bookmakers
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Confidence: Strong

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MCI BHA W-W-W-W-W D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.60 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-W-W-W L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.01 1.07 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1758 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.03 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.53 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.12 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved MCI BHA W-W-W-W-W D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.60 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-W-W-W L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.01 1.07 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1758 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.03 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.53 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 3.12 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved

The key stat: Elo performance. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. It goes to Manchester City: Exceptional to Strong. When this gap appears, the side carrying the stronger record tends to win, in around 74% of cases. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester City to win: 59% against 19%, with the draw at 22%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is recent shots on target.
  • For Manchester CityHome and away form L-W-W-W-W v L-L-L-W-W (clear); Elo performance 1758 v 1596 (clear); Goals 2.01 v 1.07 (clear).
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v 1.60 (clear); Attack 2.48 v 2.03 (useful); XI defensive record 1.34 v 1.53 (useful).
  • FormManchester City W-W-W-W-W, Brighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Manchester City 4-2-3-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 G. Donnarumma 6 M. Guéhi 3 Rúben 27 Matheus N. 24 J. Gvardiol 5 E. Anderson 17 Enzo 7 I. Ndiaye 10 R. Cherki 42 A. Semenyo 9 E. Haaland
1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
  1. G. Donnarumma98%
  2. M. Guéhi98%
  3. Rúben98%
  4. Matheus N.79%
  5. J. Gvardiol65%
  6. E. Anderson81%
  7. Enzo80%
  8. I. Ndiaye79%
  9. R. Cherki73%
  10. A. Semenyo61%
  11. E. Haaland98%
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%

Likely subs N. O'Reilly, P. Foden, G. Rulli, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Aït-Nouri, J. Doku

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Doubts A. Semenyo doubtful, J. Monga unavailable, C. Echeverri unavailable, M. Alleyne unavailable, D. Mukasa unavailable, Rodrigo unavailable, T. Reijnders unavailable, K. Phillips unavailable

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Our call: 59% MCI · 22% draw · 19% BHA  ·  bookmakers: 59% / 22% / 20%  ·  expected goals 2.01–1.07

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Brentford

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Brighton & Hove Albion crest
◀ Brighton win Brentford win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brentford crest

Confidence: Fair

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BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Attack. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 1.55. Historically, the more productive attack takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, recent shots on target and the long-run strength gap – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v 0.40 (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v -0.60 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 1.55 (decisive).
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 71% (slight).
  • FormBrighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 51% BHA · 25% draw · 24% BRE  ·  expected goals 1.68–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Hull City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday 22nd November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brighton win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Attack. This is the widest gap between them. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 0.83. In matches like this, the side scoring more freely usually wins – about 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 52% against 23%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v -0.40 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 0.83 (decisive); Defence 1.21 v 1.95 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 71% (useful).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Our call: 23% HUL · 25% draw · 52% BHA  ·  expected goals 1.03–1.69

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Brighton & Hove Albion's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 5 of 6 of their decided matches so far; 1 was a draw, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sun 23 Aug, 14:00 Aston Villa (H) 43% 25% 32% WinConfidence: Knife-edge 4–0
2 Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 Chelsea (A) 35% 26% 39% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 3–4
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 52% 24% 23% WinConfidence: Fair 1–1
4 Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 Coventry City (A) 50% 26% 24% WinConfidence: Fair 5–0
5 Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 Arsenal (H) 24% 23% 53% LoseConfidence: Fair 3–0
6 Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 43% 26% 31% WinConfidence: Knife-edge 2–0
7 Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Crystal Palace (H) 56% 23% 21% WinConfidence: Fair 5–0
8 Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Liverpool (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseConfidence: Fair –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 19% 22% 59% LoseConfidence: Strong –
10 Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Brentford (H) 51% 25% 24% WinConfidence: Fair –
11 Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 Hull City (A) 52% 25% 23% WinConfidence: Fair –
12 Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 Newcastle United (H) 51% 25% 24% WinProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Bournemouth (A) 31% 26% 42% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (A) 41% 27% 33% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Everton (H) 51% 25% 24% WinProjected: Fair –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Ipswich Town (H) 67% 20% 13% WinProjected: Strong –
17 Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 Fulham (A) 39% 27% 34% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
18 Tue 29 Dec, 19:30 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 47% 26% 27% WinProjected: Slight –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 12:30 Manchester United (H) 42% 26% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
20 Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 Bournemouth (H) 44% 26% 30% WinProjected: Slight –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Brentford (A) 38% 26% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 30% 26% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 38% 27% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Hull City (H) 65% 21% 14% WinProjected: Strong –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Manchester United (A) 30% 25% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 60% 23% 17% WinProjected: Strong –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Ipswich Town (A) 55% 24% 21% WinProjected: Fair –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Fulham (H) 52% 25% 23% WinProjected: Fair –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Leeds United (A) 42% 27% 31% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Coventry City (H) 63% 22% 16% WinProjected: Strong –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 32% 27% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Chelsea (H) 46% 26% 28% WinProjected: Slight –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Everton (A) 38% 27% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 54% 25% 22% WinProjected: Fair –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 58% 23% 19% WinProjected: Strong –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Crystal Palace (A) 46% 26% 28% WinProjected: Slight –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Liverpool (H) 38% 27% 36% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Arsenal (A) 17% 23% 61% LoseProjected: Strong –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call