Which Team Will Win?

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Brentford

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Brighton & Hove Albion crest
◀ Brighton win Brentford win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brentford crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Attack. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 1.55. Historically, the more productive attack takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, recent shots on target and the long-run strength gap – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v 0.40 (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v -0.60 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 1.55 (decisive).
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 71% (slight).
  • FormBrighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 51% BHA · 25% draw · 24% BRE  ·  expected goals 1.68–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ BrightonBrentford ▸Goals
Home advantage 0.28
Shots on target 0.19
Long-run strength 0.16
Defence 0.06
Settled eleven 0.05
XI attacking output 0.03
Everything else 0.12
Brighton ahead by 0.59

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Brighton come out 0.59 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Brentford goals Brighton goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Brighton 0–0 Brentford: 7% Brighton 0–1 Brentford: 6% Brighton 0–2 Brentford: 4% Brighton 0–3 Brentford: 1% Brighton 0–4 Brentford: <1% Brighton 0–5 Brentford: <1% Brighton 1–0 Brentford: 10% Brighton 1–1 Brentford: 12% Brighton 1–2 Brentford: 6% Brighton 1–3 Brentford: 2% Brighton 1–4 Brentford: <1% Brighton 1–5 Brentford: <1% Brighton 2–0 Brentford: 9% Brighton 2–1 Brentford: 10% Brighton 2–2 Brentford: 5% Brighton 2–3 Brentford: 2% Brighton 2–4 Brentford: <1% Brighton 2–5 Brentford: <1% Brighton 3–0 Brentford: 5% Brighton 3–1 Brentford: 5% Brighton 3–2 Brentford: 3% Brighton 3–3 Brentford: 1% Brighton 3–4 Brentford: <1% Brighton 3–5 Brentford: <1% Brighton 4–0 Brentford: 2% Brighton 4–1 Brentford: 2% Brighton 4–2 Brentford: 1% Brighton 4–3 Brentford: <1% Brighton 4–4 Brentford: <1% Brighton 5–0 Brentford: <1% Brighton 5–1 Brentford: <1% Brighton 5–2 Brentford: <1% Brighton 5–3 Brentford: <1% Brighton 6–0 Brentford: <1% Brighton 6–1 Brentford: <1% Brighton 6–2 Brentford: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Brighton win, above it Brentford do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →