Which Team Will Win?

Manchester United

Every published prediction involving Manchester United, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Manchester United finish 3rd on about 64 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 2nd 2 pts projected GW 2 · 1st 5 pts projected GW 3 · 3rd 6 pts projected GW 4 · 4th 7 pts projected GW 5 · 3rd 9 pts projected GW 6 · 3rd 11 pts projected GW 7 · 3rd 12 pts projected GW 8 · 3rd 14 pts projected GW 9 · 3rd 16 pts projected GW 10 · 3rd 17 pts projected GW 11 · 3rd 18 pts projected GW 12 · 3rd 20 pts projected GW 13 · 3rd 22 pts projected GW 14 · 3rd 24 pts projected GW 15 · 3rd 26 pts projected GW 16 · 4th 27 pts projected GW 17 · 4th 28 pts projected GW 18 · 3rd 30 pts projected GW 19 · 4th 32 pts projected GW 20 · 4th 34 pts projected GW 21 · 4th 35 pts projected GW 22 · 4th 37 pts projected GW 23 · 4th 38 pts projected GW 24 · 3rd 40 pts projected GW 25 · 3rd 42 pts projected GW 26 · 4th 43 pts projected GW 27 · 4th 45 pts projected GW 28 · 4th 46 pts projected GW 29 · 4th 48 pts projected GW 30 · 5th 49 pts projected GW 31 · 4th 51 pts projected GW 32 · 4th 54 pts projected GW 33 · 4th 56 pts projected GW 34 · 4th 57 pts projected GW 35 · 4th 59 pts projected GW 36 · 4th 61 pts projected GW 37 · 3rd 62 pts projected GW 38 · 3rd 64 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Manchester United have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Hull City vs. Manchester United

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester United win

◀ Hull City win Man United win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 19%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Hull City crest
HUL MUN W-D-L-L-L W-W-D-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -2.00 1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-W-W-L-L L-D-W-D-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 0.96 2.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.6 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.94 1.38 Defence Conceded per game 0.91 1.76 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1398 Very strong 1628 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.49 1.38 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven
Manchester United crest

The key stat: Shots on target. No other measure separates them as clearly. Manchester United lead it, 5.4 to 2.6. the side testing the goalkeeper more often normally comes out on top here — 73% of the time in recent seasons. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester United to win: 67% against 14%, with the draw at 19%. Confidence strong.
  • For Manchester UnitedGoal difference 1.20 v -2.00 (decisive); Shots on target 5.4 v 2.6 (decisive); Defence 1.38 v 2.94 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityHome and away form W-W-W-L-L v L-D-W-D-W (marginal).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L, Manchester United W-W-D-W-W.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Hull City 4-3-3

Expected starting XI

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. TzolakisNEW0%
  2. AjayiNEW98%
  3. EganNEW96%
  4. McNairNEW62%
  5. GilesNEW42%
  6. DowellNEW96%
  7. BelloumiNEW0%
  8. MillarNEW0%
  9. McBurnieNEW81%
  10. DramehNEW27%
  11. TargettNEW20%
  1. Lammens98%
  2. Maguire98%
  3. Shaw98%
  4. Martinez98%
  5. Dalot81%
  6. B.Fernandes98%
  7. Cunha98%
  8. Mainoo98%
  9. TielemansNEW80%
  10. Amad79%
  11. Šeško58%

Likely subs Ömür, Akintola, Morita, Hjertø-Dahl, Stroud, Gourna-Douath, Crooks

Likely subs Mazraoui, Amass, Mbeumo, Darlow, Andrey Santos, Heaven, Rashford

Doubts Butland injured, Gelhardt injured, Burstow unavailable, Gyabi injured, Kamara unavailable, Morita doubtful, Matazo injured, Zambrano injured

Doubts De Ligt injured, Darlow doubtful, Bayindir unavailable, Heaton injured, Šeško doubtful, Mount doubtful, Fredricson unavailable, Ugarte injured

Our call: 14% HUL · 19% draw · 67% MUN  ·  expected goals 0.96–2.32

Last updated today at 12:19

Manchester United vs. Ipswich Town

Sunday 30th August 2026 (Kick Off: 16:30) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester United win

◀ Man United win Ipswich Town win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 18%

Confidence: Very strong

More statsLess
Manchester United crest
MUN IPS W-W-D-W-W L-D-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 1.20 -1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-L-W-W-W W-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.80 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 55% 45% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.31 0.82 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 70% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 5.4 2.7 Exp: Shots on target Per game Very strong 1628 Very weak 1363 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.38 1.52 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.76 0.84 Attack Goals and expected goals per game
Ipswich Town crest

The key stat: GK save rate. No other measure separates them as clearly. Manchester United lead it, 70% to 58%. the side with the goalkeeper in better form normally comes out on top here — 72% of the time in recent seasons. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callManchester United to win: 71% against 11%, with the draw at 18%. Confidence very strong.
  • For Manchester UnitedGoal difference 1.20 v -1.60 (decisive); GK save rate 70% v 58% (decisive); Shots on target 5.4 v 2.7 (decisive).
  • For Ipswich TownNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormManchester United W-W-D-W-W, Ipswich Town L-D-L-L-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Lammens98%
  2. Maguire98%
  3. Shaw98%
  4. Martinez98%
  5. Dalot81%
  6. B.Fernandes98%
  7. Cunha98%
  8. Mainoo98%
  9. TielemansNEW80%
  10. Amad79%
  11. Šeško58%
  1. Walton98%
  2. O'Shea98%
  3. Greaves98%
  4. FurlongNEW98%
  5. DiopNEW83%
  6. LukićNEW98%
  7. Enciso94%
  8. McAteerNEW81%
  9. FatawuNEW63%
  10. FlorentinoNEW61%
  11. Al-Hamadi4%

Likely subs Mazraoui, Amass, Mbeumo, Darlow, Andrey Santos, Heaven, Rashford

Likely subs Palmer, Button, Johnson, Davis, Ogbene, Clarke, Philogene

Doubts De Ligt injured, Darlow doubtful, Bayindir unavailable, Heaton injured, Šeško doubtful, Mount doubtful, Fredricson unavailable, Ugarte injured

Doubts Burns unavailable, Taylor injured, Hirst unavailable, Szmodics unavailable, Matusiwa injured

Our call: 71% MUN · 18% draw · 11% IPS  ·  expected goals 2.31–0.82

Last updated today at 14:46

The road ahead

The rest of Manchester United's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sun 6 Sept, 14:00 3 Everton (A) 40% 26% 34% Win 40%
Sun 13 Sept, 16:30 4 Manchester City (H) 33% 24% 43% Lose 43%
Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 5 Fulham (A) 42% 26% 31% Win 42%
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 6 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 61% 22% 17% Win 61%
Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 7 Leeds United (A) 44% 25% 31% Win 44%
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 8 Bournemouth (H) 51% 25% 24% Win 51%
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 9 Chelsea (A) 40% 26% 34% Win 40%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Aston Villa (H) 47% 25% 29% Win 47%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Liverpool (A) 31% 25% 43% Lose 43%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Brentford (H) 59% 23% 19% Win 59%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Newcastle United (A) 42% 26% 33% Win 42%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Coventry City (H) 65% 20% 15% Win 65%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Crystal Palace (A) 46% 25% 29% Win 46%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Arsenal (A) 21% 22% 57% Lose 57%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Nottingham Forest (H) 57% 23% 20% Win 57%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Sunderland (H) 59% 23% 18% Win 59%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 37% 25% 38% Lose 38%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Newcastle United (H) 55% 23% 22% Win 55%