Which Team Will Win?

Brentford

Where we have Brentford finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Brentford finish 9th on 58 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 3rd BRE · 3 pts4th EVE · 3 pts6th CHE · 3 pts9th LEE · 3 pts12th FUL · 0 pts GW 2 4th CHE · 6 pts5th BRE · 4 pts7th EVE · 4 pts8th LEE · 4 pts16th FUL · 0 pts GW 3 4th CHE · 6 pts5th BRE · 5 pts8th EVE · 5 pts9th LEE · 5 pts19th FUL · 0 pts GW 4 3rd LEE · 8 pts6th CHE · 7 pts7th BRE · 6 pts9th EVE · 6 pts18th FUL · 1 pts GW 5 4th BRE · 9 pts5th LEE · 9 pts7th EVE · 9 pts10th CHE · 7 pts19th FUL · 2 pts GW 6 4th BRE · 10 pts5th EVE · 10 pts6th CHE · 10 pts7th LEE · 9 pts20th FUL · 2 pts GW 7 4th CHE · 13 pts6th BRE · 10 pts7th LEE · 10 pts8th EVE · 10 pts18th FUL · 5 pts GW 8 · projected 4th CHE · 16 pts6th BRE · 13 pts8th LEE · 10 pts10th EVE · 10 pts13th FUL · 8 pts GW 9 · projected 3rd CHE · 19 pts5th BRE · 16 pts10th LEE · 10 pts12th EVE · 10 pts17th FUL · 8 pts GW 10 · projected 3rd CHE · 22 pts6th BRE · 16 pts8th LEE · 13 pts10th EVE · 13 pts13th FUL · 11 pts GW 11 · projected 3rd CHE · 25 pts6th BRE · 19 pts10th LEE · 13 pts11th EVE · 13 pts15th FUL · 11 pts GW 12 · projected 3rd CHE · 28 pts6th BRE · 19 pts9th LEE · 16 pts12th EVE · 13 pts16th FUL · 11 pts GW 13 · projected 3rd CHE · 31 pts8th BRE · 19 pts10th LEE · 16 pts11th FUL · 14 pts13th EVE · 13 pts GW 14 · projected 3rd CHE · 31 pts9th BRE · 19 pts10th LEE · 19 pts12th EVE · 16 pts13th FUL · 14 pts GW 15 · projected 5th CHE · 31 pts10th BRE · 19 pts11th LEE · 19 pts12th FUL · 17 pts13th EVE · 16 pts GW 16 · projected 5th CHE · 34 pts9th BRE · 22 pts10th LEE · 22 pts13th FUL · 17 pts14th EVE · 16 pts GW 17 · projected 5th CHE · 37 pts9th BRE · 25 pts10th LEE · 22 pts12th EVE · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts GW 18 · projected 5th CHE · 40 pts9th BRE · 28 pts10th LEE · 25 pts12th EVE · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts GW 19 · projected 5th CHE · 43 pts7th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 28 pts13th EVE · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts GW 20 · projected 5th CHE · 46 pts8th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 28 pts12th EVE · 22 pts14th FUL · 20 pts GW 21 · projected 5th CHE · 49 pts9th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 28 pts12th EVE · 25 pts14th FUL · 20 pts GW 22 · projected 3rd CHE · 52 pts9th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 28 pts11th EVE · 28 pts14th FUL · 20 pts GW 23 · projected 3rd CHE · 55 pts9th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 31 pts11th EVE · 28 pts14th FUL · 20 pts GW 24 · projected 4th CHE · 55 pts9th BRE · 31 pts10th LEE · 31 pts11th EVE · 31 pts16th FUL · 20 pts GW 25 · projected 5th CHE · 55 pts9th BRE · 34 pts10th EVE · 34 pts11th LEE · 31 pts14th FUL · 23 pts GW 26 · projected 5th CHE · 58 pts9th BRE · 37 pts10th EVE · 37 pts11th LEE · 31 pts14th FUL · 23 pts GW 27 · projected 5th CHE · 58 pts9th EVE · 40 pts10th BRE · 37 pts12th LEE · 31 pts14th FUL · 26 pts GW 28 · projected 5th CHE · 61 pts9th BRE · 40 pts10th EVE · 40 pts11th LEE · 34 pts14th FUL · 26 pts GW 29 · projected 5th CHE · 61 pts9th BRE · 43 pts10th EVE · 40 pts11th LEE · 34 pts13th FUL · 29 pts GW 30 · projected 5th CHE · 64 pts9th BRE · 43 pts10th EVE · 43 pts12th LEE · 34 pts13th FUL · 29 pts GW 31 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts9th BRE · 46 pts10th EVE · 46 pts11th LEE · 37 pts14th FUL · 29 pts GW 32 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts9th BRE · 49 pts10th EVE · 46 pts12th LEE · 37 pts13th FUL · 32 pts GW 33 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts9th BRE · 52 pts10th EVE · 46 pts12th LEE · 37 pts13th FUL · 32 pts GW 34 · projected 6th CHE · 67 pts9th BRE · 52 pts10th EVE · 46 pts12th LEE · 40 pts13th FUL · 35 pts GW 35 · projected 6th CHE · 70 pts9th BRE · 55 pts10th EVE · 49 pts12th LEE · 40 pts13th FUL · 38 pts GW 36 · projected 6th CHE · 73 pts9th BRE · 55 pts10th EVE · 49 pts12th FUL · 41 pts13th LEE · 40 pts GW 37 · projected 7th CHE · 73 pts9th BRE · 58 pts11th EVE · 49 pts12th FUL · 44 pts13th LEE · 43 pts GW 38 · projected 7th CHE · 76 pts9th BRE · 58 pts11th EVE · 52 pts12th FUL · 44 pts13th LEE · 43 pts
Brentford Leeds United EuropeChelsea EuropeEverton EuropeFulham derby
Brentford solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 6 places ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 2 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 5th GW 2 · 2 places ahead Actual 5thProjected 7th GW 3 · 2 places ahead Actual 5thProjected 7th GW 4 · 2 places ahead Actual 7thProjected 9th GW 5 · 5 places ahead Actual 4thProjected 9th GW 6 · 7 places ahead Actual 4thProjected 11th GW 7 · 6 places ahead Actual 6thProjected 12th GW 8 Projected 11th GW 9 Projected 11th GW 10 Projected 12th GW 11 Projected 12th GW 12 Projected 12th GW 13 Projected 14th GW 14 Projected 15th GW 15 Projected 14th GW 16 Projected 14th GW 17 Projected 12th GW 18 Projected 12th GW 19 Projected 12th GW 20 Projected 13th GW 21 Projected 12th GW 22 Projected 13th GW 23 Projected 13th GW 24 Projected 13th GW 25 Projected 14th GW 26 Projected 12th GW 27 Projected 12th GW 28 Projected 11th GW 29 Projected 11th GW 30 Projected 11th GW 31 Projected 11th GW 32 Projected 11th GW 33 Projected 11th GW 34 Projected 12th GW 35 Projected 12th GW 36 Projected 12th GW 37 Projected 12th GW 38 Projected 12th

Where Brentford actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Brentford 1–2 Liverpool

Saturday 17th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Liverpool win

1–2Full time

Brentford crest
◀ Brentford win Liverpool win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Liverpool crest

Knife-edge – Liverpool shade it

BRE LIV D-D-D-W-D D-W-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-D-W-D-W L-L-D-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 45% 55% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.31 1.46 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Strong 1569 Very strong 1631 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.71 1.47 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.53 1.26 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 76% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.0 5.1 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.54 1.25 Defence Conceded per game BRE LIV D-D-D-W-D D-W-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-D-W-D-W L-L-D-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 45% 55% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.31 1.46 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Strong 1569 Very strong 1631 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.71 1.47 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.53 1.26 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 76% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.0 5.1 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.54 1.25 Defence Conceded per game

The key stat: Elo performance. This is the widest gap between them. Liverpool come out on top, Very strong against Strong. In matches like this, the side carrying the stronger record usually wins – about 72% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callKnife-edge – Brentford 34%, draw 26%, Liverpool 40%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Liverpool comes from the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them.
  • For LiverpoolPossession 55% v 45% (clear); XI defensive record 1.26 v 1.53 (useful); Shots on target 5.1 v 4.0 (useful).
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 76% v 68% (clear); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v 0.00 (clear); Home and away form W-D-W-D-W v L-L-D-W-W (useful).
  • FormBrentford D-D-D-W-D, Liverpool D-W-D-W-L.
Brentford 4-2-3-1 confirmedLiverpool 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 C. Kelleher 23 Lewis-Potter 4 van den Berg 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 27 V. Janelt 6 Y. Yarmoliuk 19 J. Anthony 8 M. Jensen 11 D. Ouattara 9 Igor Thiago
1 Alisson Becker 6 M. Kerkez 4 V. van Dijk 5 J. Jacquet 33 R. Araujo 10 A. Mac Allister 8 D. Szoboszlai 29 B. Barcola 7 F. Wirtz 23 Víctor Muñoz 9 A. Isak
  1. C. Kelleher
  2. K. Lewis-Potter
  3. S. van den Berg
  4. K. Ajer
  5. M. Kayode
  6. V. Janelt
  7. Y. Yarmoliuk
  8. J. Anthony
  9. M. Jensen
  10. D. Ouattara
  11. Igor Thiago
  1. Alisson Becker
  2. M. Kerkez
  3. V. van Dijk
  4. J. Jacquet
  5. R. Araujo
  6. A. Mac Allister
  7. D. Szoboszlai
  8. B. Barcola
  9. F. Wirtz
  10. Víctor Muñoz
  11. A. Isak

Substitutes N. Collins, E. Diouf, Fábio Carvalho, A. Hickey, M. Damsgaard, M. Sangaré, K. Schade, H. Valdimarsson, C. Wilson

Substitutes W. Endo, J. Frimpong, C. Gakpo, J. Gomez, L. Koumas, G. Mamardashvili, R. Ngumoha, T. Nyoni, K. Tsimikas

Our call: 34% BRE · 26% draw · 40% LIV  ·  bookmakers: 40% / 26% / 34%  ·  expected goals 1.31–1.46

Last updated 17 Oct at 14:09

Hull City vs. Brentford

Sunday 25th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brentford win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Brentford crest

Confidence: Slight

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HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brentford come out on top, 2.77 against 1.62. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 70% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callBrentford to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, what this eleven creates and the strength of this eleven against their usual one – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For BrentfordXI attacking output 2.77 v 1.62 (decisive); Attack 1.55 v 0.83 (clear); XI strength vs usual 112% v 96% (clear).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 74% (slight); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-D-D-D-D (marginal); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.54 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 29% HUL · 26% draw · 45% BRE  ·  bookmakers: 22% / 24% / 54%  ·  expected goals 1.19–1.54

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Brentford crest
◀ Brentford win Forest win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Fair

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BRE NFO D-D-W-D-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.67 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.78 1.42 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.54 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Above average 1559 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.8 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game 112% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven BRE NFO D-D-W-D-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.67 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.78 1.42 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.54 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Above average 1559 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.8 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game 112% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: Defence. No other measure separates them as clearly. It goes to Nottingham Forest: 1.42 to 1.78. whoever was harder to score against normally comes out on top here – 68% of the time in recent seasons. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

Against the call – it leans Nottingham Forest's way, and the verdict still goes to Brentford, who lead on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the strength of this eleven against their usual one.

  • The callBrentford to win: 49% against 26%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the strength of this eleven against their usual one – the strongest pull the other way is a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 68% (clear); XI strength vs usual 112% v 100% (useful); Goal difference 0.40 v -0.60 (useful).
  • For Nottingham ForestDefence 1.42 v 1.78 (useful); XI defensive record 1.34 v 1.54 (useful); Shots on target 4.2 v 3.8 (slight).
  • FormBrentford D-D-W-D-L, Nottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtfulNottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Our call: 49% BRE · 25% draw · 26% NFO  ·  bookmakers: 47% / 26% / 27%  ·  expected goals 1.67–1.16

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Brentford

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Brighton & Hove Albion crest
◀ Brighton win Brentford win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brentford crest

Confidence: Fair

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BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average BHA BRE D-W-W-W-W D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 3.00 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-D-W-W L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 58% 42% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.68 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.48 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.21 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 5.4 3.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game 71% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.34 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Strong 1596 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Attack. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 1.55. Historically, the more productive attack takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, recent shots on target and the long-run strength gap – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v 0.40 (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v -0.60 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 1.55 (decisive).
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 71% (slight).
  • FormBrighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 51% BHA · 25% draw · 24% BRE  ·  expected goals 1.68–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Brentford vs. Everton

Monday 23rd November 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Brentford crest
◀ Brentford win Everton win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Everton crest

Knife-edge – Brentford shade it

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BRE EVE D-D-W-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L D-L-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 -0.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.53 1.25 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.77 2.27 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.78 1.45 Defence Conceded per game 3.8 4.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.55 1.19 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Above average 1559 Above average 1526 Elo performance 1500 is average BRE EVE D-D-W-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L D-L-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 -0.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.53 1.25 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.77 2.27 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.78 1.45 Defence Conceded per game 3.8 4.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.55 1.19 Attack Goals and expected goals per game Above average 1559 Above average 1526 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Brentford: 2.77 to 2.27. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 72% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callKnife-edge – Brentford 43%, draw 26%, Everton 31%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Brentford comes from home advantage, the long-run strength gap and what this eleven creates.
  • For BrentfordGoal difference at this venue 1.00 v -0.20 (useful); Home and away form D-W-D-W-L v D-L-D-D-D (useful); GK save rate 74% v 69% (useful).
  • For EvertonDefence 1.45 v 1.78 (useful); Shots on target 4.6 v 3.8 (useful).
  • FormBrentford D-D-W-D-L, Everton D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtfulEverton 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Everton 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
1 J. Pickford 6 J. Tarkowski 4 Branthwaite 16 V. Mykolenko 2 Maitland-Niles 8 K. Dewsbury-Hall 37 J. Garner 45 H. Armstrong 22 B. Johnson 10 J. Grealish 11 T. Barry
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%
  1. J. Pickford98%
  2. J. Tarkowski98%
  3. J. Branthwaite98%
  4. V. Mykolenko80%
  5. A. Maitland-Niles75%
  6. K. Dewsbury-Hall98%
  7. J. Garner98%
  8. H. Armstrong98%
  9. B. Johnson72%
  10. J. Grealish62%
  11. T. Barry98%

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Likely subs T. George, M. Röhl, M. Travers, H. Hackney, T. Dibling, Alcaraz, C. Nørgaard

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Doubts A. Aznou unavailable, Beto unavailable, N. Patterson unavailable

Our call: 43% BRE · 26% draw · 31% EVE  ·  expected goals 1.53–1.25

Unchanged since 17 Oct at 20:00 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Brentford's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 3 of 3 of their decided matches so far; 4 were draws, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sat 22 Aug, 17:30 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 46% 26% 28% WinConfidence: Slight 3–0
2 Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 Leeds United (A) 34% 27% 39% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 1–1
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 48% 26% 26% WinConfidence: Slight 1–1
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 26% 26% 48% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–2
5 Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 Chelsea (H) 38% 26% 36% WinConfidence: Knife-edge 3–0
6 Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 29% 27% 44% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–2
7 Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Liverpool (H) 34% 26% 40% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 1–2
8 Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Hull City (A) 45% 26% 29% WinConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 49% 25% 26% WinConfidence: Fair –
10 Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseConfidence: Fair –
11 Mon 23 Nov, 20:00 Everton (H) 43% 26% 31% WinConfidence: Knife-edge –
12 Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 Manchester United (A) 23% 23% 53% LoseProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Arsenal (H) 20% 24% 56% LoseProjected: Fair –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 23% 24% 53% LoseProjected: Fair –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Fulham (A) 32% 26% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Newcastle United (H) 43% 26% 31% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
17 Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 Ipswich Town (A) 47% 25% 28% WinProjected: Slight –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 19:30 Coventry City (A) 43% 26% 31% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 52% 24% 24% WinProjected: Fair –
20 Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 Arsenal (A) 12% 19% 69% LoseProjected: Very strong –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 35% 26% 38% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Everton (A) 31% 26% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Manchester United (H) 35% 25% 40% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (A) 34% 26% 40% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Crystal Palace (A) 39% 26% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Coventry City (H) 56% 24% 21% WinProjected: Fair –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 31% 26% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Ipswich Town (H) 60% 22% 18% WinProjected: Strong –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 38% 26% 36% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Bournemouth (H) 36% 26% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 40% 27% 34% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 47% 26% 27% WinProjected: Slight –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Fulham (H) 45% 26% 30% WinProjected: Slight –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 14% 19% 66% LoseProjected: Strong –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Aston Villa (H) 37% 27% 36% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 20% 23% 57% LoseProjected: Strong –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Hull City (H) 58% 23% 19% WinProjected: Strong –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Chelsea (A) 27% 25% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call