Which Team Will Win?

Brentford

Every published prediction involving Brentford, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Brentford finish 15th on about 47 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 6th 2 pts projected GW 2 · 10th 3 pts projected GW 3 · 8th 4 pts projected GW 4 · 11th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 12th 7 pts projected GW 6 · 14th 8 pts projected GW 7 · 13th 9 pts projected GW 8 · 13th 10 pts projected GW 9 · 13th 12 pts projected GW 10 · 12th 13 pts projected GW 11 · 12th 14 pts projected GW 12 · 15th 15 pts projected GW 13 · 15th 16 pts projected GW 14 · 16th 17 pts projected GW 15 · 16th 18 pts projected GW 16 · 17th 19 pts projected GW 17 · 14th 21 pts projected GW 18 · 14th 22 pts projected GW 19 · 14th 24 pts projected GW 20 · 16th 24 pts projected GW 21 · 14th 26 pts projected GW 22 · 16th 27 pts projected GW 23 · 16th 28 pts projected GW 24 · 17th 29 pts projected GW 25 · 16th 30 pts projected GW 26 · 16th 32 pts projected GW 27 · 16th 33 pts projected GW 28 · 16th 35 pts projected GW 29 · 16th 36 pts projected GW 30 · 15th 37 pts projected GW 31 · 16th 39 pts projected GW 32 · 16th 40 pts projected GW 33 · 14th 42 pts projected GW 34 · 16th 42 pts projected GW 35 · 16th 43 pts projected GW 36 · 16th 44 pts projected GW 37 · 14th 46 pts projected GW 38 · 15th 47 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Brentford have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Brentford vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 17:30) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

◀ Brentford win Tottenham win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 27%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Brentford crest
BRE TOT L-W-L-D-D W-W-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.20 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-D-D-W-D D-L-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.45 1.10 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT — AGAINST THE CALL 1.54 1.17 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.74 0.91 Defence Conceded per game 74% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Above average 1552 Below average 1468 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.44 1.21 Attack Goals and expected goals per game
Tottenham Hotspur crest

The key stat: XI defensive record. No other measure separates them as clearly. Tottenham Hotspur lead it, 1.17 to 1.54. the side with the steadier back line normally comes out on top here — 66% of the time in recent seasons. That cuts against our verdict. Brentford are tipped because they lead on goal difference in this setting, expected goals and goalkeeping. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callBrentford to win: 45% against 28%, with the draw at 27%. Confidence slight.
  • For BrentfordElo performance 1552 v 1468 (useful); GK save rate 74% v 70% (useful); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v 0.00 (slight).
  • For Tottenham HotspurDefence 0.91 v 1.74 (decisive); XI defensive record 1.17 v 1.54 (clear); Goal difference 0.40 v -0.20 (slight).
  • FormBrentford L-W-L-D-D, Tottenham Hotspur W-W-D-L-W.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Kelleher98%
  2. Collins98%
  3. Kayode98%
  4. Pinnock97%
  5. Henry95%
  6. AnthonyNEW98%
  7. Lewis-Potter98%
  8. Yarmoliuk98%
  9. Jensen98%
  10. O.Dango81%
  11. Thiago98%
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. SenesiNEW98%
  3. Pedro Porro98%
  4. Van HeckeNEW98%
  5. Danso98%
  6. FernandesNEW98%
  7. Gallagher98%
  8. TonaliNEW97%
  9. Bentancur97%
  10. Tel81%
  11. Solanke97%

Likely subs Schade, Damsgaard, Janelt, Ajer, Valdimarsson, Hickey, Wilson

Likely subs Van de Ven, Dubravka, Udogie, Robertson, Richarlison, Kudus, Gray

Doubts Van den Berg injured, Milambo injured, Carvalho doubtful

Doubts Vicario unavailable, Kudus doubtful, Romero unavailable, Odobert injured, Kulusevski injured, Spence unavailable, Xavi injured, Phillips unavailable

Our call: 45% BRE · 27% draw · 28% TOT  ·  expected goals 1.45–1.10

Last updated today at 09:41

Leeds United vs. Brentford

Sunday 30th August 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Leeds United win against the odds

◀ Leeds United win Brentford win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 26%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Leeds United crest
LEE BRE D-W-D-W-L L-W-L-D-D Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 0.00 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) L-D-W-W-W D-D-L-L-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 1.00 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.52 1.17 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.80 2.22 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 62% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.49 1.74 Defence Conceded per game 4.2 3.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game Average 1498 Above average 1552 Elo performance 1500 is average
Brentford crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Leeds United: 2.80 to 2.22. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 71% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callLeeds United to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • For Leeds UnitedHome and away form L-D-W-W-W v D-D-L-L-D (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.00 v -0.80 (clear); XI attacking output 2.80 v 2.22 (useful).
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 62% (decisive); Elo performance 1552 v 1498 (slight); Possession 50% v 50% (marginal).
  • FormLeeds United D-W-D-W-L, Brentford L-W-L-D-D.
  • Worth knowingThis call goes against both the ratings and the bookmakers.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Leeds United 3-5-2

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. TraffordNEW98%
  2. Justin98%
  3. Bijol97%
  4. Bogle96%
  5. Ampadu98%
  6. Stach98%
  7. Tanaka96%
  8. Aaronson77%
  9. Okafor75%
  10. Calvert-Lewin98%
  11. Nmecha27%
  1. Kelleher98%
  2. Collins98%
  3. Kayode98%
  4. Pinnock97%
  5. Henry95%
  6. AnthonyNEW98%
  7. Lewis-Potter98%
  8. Yarmoliuk98%
  9. Jensen98%
  10. O.Dango81%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs Perri, Rodon, Wilson, James, Longstaff, Muharemović, Elvedi

Likely subs Schade, Damsgaard, Janelt, Ajer, Valdimarsson, Hickey, Wilson

Doubts Gudmundsson injured, Gruev injured, Bornauw unavailable, Harrison unavailable, Gnonto injured, Piroe unavailable, Mateo Joseph injured

Doubts Van den Berg injured, Milambo injured, Carvalho doubtful

Our call: 45% LEE · 26% draw · 29% BRE  ·  expected goals 1.52–1.17

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

The road ahead

The rest of Brentford's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Sunderland (H) 45% 27% 28% Win 45%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Bournemouth (A) 24% 26% 50% Lose 50%
Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 5 Chelsea (H) 37% 27% 35% Win 37%
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 6 Aston Villa (A) 21% 24% 55% Lose 55%
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 7 Liverpool (H) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 8 Hull City (A) 50% 25% 25% Win 50%
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 9 Nottingham Forest (H) 40% 27% 33% Win 40%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 23% 25% 52% Lose 52%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Everton (H) 39% 27% 34% Win 39%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Manchester United (A) 19% 23% 59% Lose 59%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Arsenal (H) 19% 23% 58% Lose 58%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Manchester City (H) 20% 22% 58% Lose 58%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Fulham (A) 28% 27% 45% Lose 45%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Newcastle United (H) 38% 27% 35% Win 38%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Ipswich Town (A) 48% 26% 26% Win 48%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Coventry City (A) 35% 27% 38% Lose 38%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Crystal Palace (H) 42% 27% 31% Win 42%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Arsenal (A) 11% 18% 71% Lose 71%