Predicted final table

Every remaining fixture run through the model, added to the points already won. A match that has been played counts for what actually happened; everything still to come counts for what we expect from it, so a club on 71.4 points is not predicted to win 71 exactly — it is the middle of a range. Projected Fri 21 Aug, 14:47.

#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0/38	23	8	7	80	39	+42	78
2	Manchester City	0/38	23	8	7	83	41	+43	78
3	Manchester United	0/38	18	9	11	65	47	+19	64
4	Liverpool	0/38	18	9	11	64	46	+18	64
5	Aston Villa	0/38	17	9	12	62	48	+14	61
6	Brighton & Hove Albion	0/38	16	9	13	59	51	+8	58
7	Bournemouth	0/38	15	10	13	54	50	+5	55
8	Chelsea	0/38	15	10	14	53	52	+2	53
9	Newcastle United	0/38	14	9	14	53	54	0	52
10	Everton	0/38	14	9	15	53	55	-2	51
11	Fulham	0/38	14	10	15	50	52	-2	51
12	Nottingham Forest	0/38	14	9	15	52	56	-3	50
13	Leeds United	0/38	13	9	15	52	57	-5	49
14	Crystal Palace	0/38	13	9	16	49	57	-8	47
15	Brentford	0/38	13	10	16	48	55	-8	47
16	Sunderland	0/38	12	10	16	48	56	-8	47
17	Tottenham Hotspur	0/38	12	9	17	46	58	-12	45
18	Coventry City	0/38	11	9	18	46	63	-17	42
19	Ipswich Town	0/38	7	8	23	36	75	-39	29
20	Hull City	0/38	7	8	24	38	83	-45	27

Champions Champions League Europa League Conference League Relegation Played counts matches actually played; the rest of each row is where the model expects them to end up.

Arsenal — projected position, week by week

Every club is drawn faintly; Arsenal in their own colours. Dashed throughout, because the season has not started yet. Pick any club from My team to see theirs.

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Against expectations

Nothing to compare yet — no matches have been played this season. Once they have, this table will show who is beating our projection and who is falling short.