Predicted final table
Every match called outright and the whole points added up – three for the side we named, because the working behind a call is complicated and a league table is not. Nobody wins 71.4 points. A match already played counts for what actually happened, on every tab – points won are facts and no call outranks a fact. The Current view recalculates after every match; behind it sit the calls we recorded at fixed checkpoints – pre-season, then after every club has played ten games, twenty, thirty – so you can see what we said then, measured against how it is actually going. On the first tab a call is always a winner; the second calls a draw wherever a match sits inside the draw zone – the same too-close-to-call band the match cards use.
Wins or losses
Draws allowed
Current Pre-season
Recalculated after every match – 7 rounds of results in, today's calls for the rest.
Manchester City – position under this forecast, week by week
1st
4th
10th
17th
20th
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
Gameweek
GW 1
1st BHA · 3 pts 2nd ARS · 3 pts 8th MCI · 3 pts 17th MUN · 0 pts
GW 2
1st MCI · 6 pts 2nd ARS · 6 pts 9th BHA · 3 pts 10th MUN · 3 pts
GW 3
1st MCI · 9 pts 2nd ARS · 9 pts 10th BHA · 4 pts 11th MUN · 4 pts
GW 4
1st ARS · 12 pts 2nd MCI · 12 pts 5th BHA · 7 pts 13th MUN · 4 pts
GW 5
1st MCI · 15 pts 2nd ARS · 12 pts 3rd BHA · 10 pts 12th MUN · 5 pts
GW 6
1st MCI · 18 pts 2nd ARS · 15 pts 3rd BHA · 13 pts 13th MUN · 6 pts
GW 7
1st MCI · 21 pts 2nd ARS · 18 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 13th MUN · 7 pts
GW 8 · projected
1st MCI · 24 pts 2nd ARS · 21 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 9th MUN · 10 pts
GW 9 · projected
1st MCI · 27 pts 2nd ARS · 24 pts 4th BHA · 16 pts 11th MUN · 10 pts
GW 10 · projected
1st MCI · 30 pts 2nd ARS · 27 pts 4th BHA · 19 pts 9th MUN · 13 pts
GW 11 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 30 pts 4th BHA · 22 pts 12th MUN · 13 pts
GW 12 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 33 pts 4th BHA · 25 pts 10th MUN · 16 pts
GW 13 · projected
1st MCI · 36 pts 2nd ARS · 36 pts 5th BHA · 25 pts 9th MUN · 19 pts
GW 14 · projected
1st MCI · 39 pts 2nd ARS · 39 pts 5th BHA · 28 pts 8th MUN · 22 pts
GW 15 · projected
1st MCI · 42 pts 2nd ARS · 42 pts 4th BHA · 31 pts 7th MUN · 25 pts
GW 16 · projected
1st MCI · 45 pts 2nd ARS · 45 pts 4th BHA · 34 pts 8th MUN · 25 pts
GW 17 · projected
1st MCI · 48 pts 2nd ARS · 48 pts 4th BHA · 37 pts 8th MUN · 28 pts
GW 18 · projected
1st MCI · 51 pts 2nd ARS · 51 pts 4th BHA · 40 pts 7th MUN · 31 pts
GW 19 · projected
1st MCI · 54 pts 2nd ARS · 54 pts 4th BHA · 43 pts 8th MUN · 31 pts
GW 20 · projected
1st MCI · 57 pts 2nd ARS · 57 pts 4th BHA · 46 pts 7th MUN · 34 pts
GW 21 · projected
1st MCI · 60 pts 2nd ARS · 60 pts 4th BHA · 49 pts 7th MUN · 34 pts
GW 22 · projected
1st MCI · 63 pts 2nd ARS · 63 pts 5th BHA · 49 pts 7th MUN · 37 pts
GW 23 · projected
1st MCI · 66 pts 2nd ARS · 63 pts 5th BHA · 52 pts 7th MUN · 40 pts
GW 24 · projected
1st MCI · 69 pts 2nd ARS · 66 pts 3rd BHA · 55 pts 7th MUN · 43 pts
GW 25 · projected
1st MCI · 72 pts 2nd ARS · 69 pts 4th BHA · 55 pts 7th MUN · 46 pts
GW 26 · projected
1st MCI · 75 pts 2nd ARS · 72 pts 4th BHA · 58 pts 7th MUN · 49 pts
GW 27 · projected
1st MCI · 78 pts 2nd ARS · 75 pts 4th BHA · 61 pts 8th MUN · 49 pts
GW 28 · projected
1st MCI · 81 pts 2nd ARS · 78 pts 4th BHA · 64 pts 7th MUN · 52 pts
GW 29 · projected
1st MCI · 84 pts 2nd ARS · 81 pts 4th BHA · 67 pts 7th MUN · 55 pts
GW 30 · projected
1st MCI · 87 pts 2nd ARS · 84 pts 4th BHA · 70 pts 8th MUN · 55 pts
GW 31 · projected
1st MCI · 90 pts 2nd ARS · 87 pts 4th BHA · 70 pts 8th MUN · 58 pts
GW 32 · projected
1st MCI · 93 pts 2nd ARS · 90 pts 4th BHA · 73 pts 7th MUN · 61 pts
GW 33 · projected
1st MCI · 96 pts 2nd ARS · 93 pts 4th BHA · 76 pts 7th MUN · 64 pts
GW 34 · projected
1st MCI · 99 pts 2nd ARS · 96 pts 4th BHA · 79 pts 7th MUN · 67 pts
GW 35 · projected
1st MCI · 102 pts 2nd ARS · 99 pts 4th BHA · 82 pts 7th MUN · 67 pts
GW 36 · projected
1st MCI · 105 pts 2nd ARS · 102 pts 4th BHA · 85 pts 7th MUN · 70 pts
GW 37 · projected
1st MCI · 108 pts 2nd ARS · 105 pts 3rd BHA · 88 pts 6th MUN · 73 pts
GW 38 · projected
1st MCI · 111 pts 2nd ARS · 108 pts 4th BHA · 88 pts 6th MUN · 76 pts
Manchester City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.
Our pre-season calls fill the matches still to play – recomputed Thu 15 Oct, 18:37 as the model improves (see model history below). 7 rounds of results in, counted as results, not calls.
Manchester City – position under this forecast, week by week
1st
4th
10th
17th
20th
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
Gameweek
GW 1
1st BHA · 3 pts 2nd ARS · 3 pts 8th MCI · 3 pts 17th MUN · 0 pts
GW 2
1st MCI · 6 pts 2nd ARS · 6 pts 9th BHA · 3 pts 10th MUN · 3 pts
GW 3
1st MCI · 9 pts 2nd ARS · 9 pts 10th BHA · 4 pts 11th MUN · 4 pts
GW 4
1st ARS · 12 pts 2nd MCI · 12 pts 5th BHA · 7 pts 13th MUN · 4 pts
GW 5
1st MCI · 15 pts 2nd ARS · 12 pts 3rd BHA · 10 pts 12th MUN · 5 pts
GW 6
1st MCI · 18 pts 2nd ARS · 15 pts 3rd BHA · 13 pts 13th MUN · 6 pts
GW 7
1st MCI · 21 pts 2nd ARS · 18 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 13th MUN · 7 pts
GW 8 · projected
1st MCI · 24 pts 2nd ARS · 21 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 8th MUN · 10 pts
GW 9 · projected
1st MCI · 27 pts 2nd ARS · 24 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 7th MUN · 13 pts
GW 10 · projected
1st MCI · 30 pts 2nd ARS · 27 pts 3rd BHA · 19 pts 7th MUN · 16 pts
GW 11 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 30 pts 3rd BHA · 22 pts 7th MUN · 16 pts
GW 12 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 33 pts 3rd BHA · 25 pts 7th MUN · 19 pts
GW 13 · projected
1st MCI · 36 pts 2nd ARS · 36 pts 4th BHA · 25 pts 6th MUN · 22 pts
GW 14 · projected
1st MCI · 39 pts 2nd ARS · 39 pts 4th BHA · 28 pts 5th MUN · 25 pts
GW 15 · projected
1st MCI · 42 pts 2nd ARS · 42 pts 4th BHA · 31 pts 5th MUN · 28 pts
GW 16 · projected
1st MCI · 45 pts 2nd ARS · 45 pts 4th BHA · 34 pts 6th MUN · 28 pts
GW 17 · projected
1st MCI · 48 pts 2nd ARS · 48 pts 4th BHA · 37 pts 6th MUN · 31 pts
GW 18 · projected
1st MCI · 51 pts 2nd ARS · 51 pts 3rd BHA · 40 pts 6th MUN · 34 pts
GW 19 · projected
1st MCI · 54 pts 2nd ARS · 54 pts 3rd BHA · 43 pts 6th MUN · 34 pts
GW 20 · projected
1st MCI · 57 pts 2nd ARS · 57 pts 3rd BHA · 46 pts 6th MUN · 37 pts
GW 21 · projected
1st MCI · 60 pts 2nd ARS · 60 pts 3rd BHA · 49 pts 6th MUN · 37 pts
GW 22 · projected
1st MCI · 63 pts 2nd ARS · 63 pts 3rd BHA · 49 pts 6th MUN · 40 pts
GW 23 · projected
1st MCI · 66 pts 2nd ARS · 63 pts 4th BHA · 49 pts 6th MUN · 43 pts
GW 24 · projected
1st MCI · 69 pts 2nd ARS · 66 pts 3rd BHA · 52 pts 6th MUN · 46 pts
GW 25 · projected
1st MCI · 72 pts 2nd ARS · 69 pts 5th BHA · 52 pts 6th MUN · 49 pts
GW 26 · projected
1st MCI · 75 pts 2nd ARS · 72 pts 5th BHA · 55 pts 6th MUN · 52 pts
GW 27 · projected
1st MCI · 78 pts 2nd ARS · 75 pts 5th BHA · 58 pts 6th MUN · 52 pts
GW 28 · projected
1st MCI · 81 pts 2nd ARS · 78 pts 4th BHA · 61 pts 6th MUN · 55 pts
GW 29 · projected
1st MCI · 84 pts 2nd ARS · 81 pts 4th BHA · 64 pts 6th MUN · 58 pts
GW 30 · projected
1st MCI · 87 pts 2nd ARS · 84 pts 4th BHA · 67 pts 6th MUN · 58 pts
GW 31 · projected
1st MCI · 90 pts 2nd ARS · 87 pts 5th BHA · 67 pts 6th MUN · 61 pts
GW 32 · projected
1st MCI · 93 pts 2nd ARS · 90 pts 4th BHA · 70 pts 6th MUN · 64 pts
GW 33 · projected
1st MCI · 96 pts 2nd ARS · 93 pts 5th BHA · 70 pts 6th MUN · 67 pts
GW 34 · projected
1st MCI · 99 pts 2nd ARS · 96 pts 5th BHA · 73 pts 6th MUN · 70 pts
GW 35 · projected
1st MCI · 102 pts 2nd ARS · 99 pts 5th BHA · 76 pts 6th MUN · 73 pts
GW 36 · projected
1st MCI · 105 pts 2nd ARS · 102 pts 5th BHA · 79 pts 6th MUN · 76 pts
GW 37 · projected
1st MCI · 108 pts 2nd ARS · 105 pts 4th BHA · 82 pts 6th MUN · 79 pts
GW 38 · projected
1st MCI · 111 pts 2nd ARS · 108 pts 5th BHA · 82 pts 6th MUN · 82 pts
Manchester City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.
Recalculated after every match – 7 rounds of results in, today's calls for the rest.
Manchester City – position under this forecast, week by week
1st
4th
10th
17th
20th
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
Gameweek
GW 1
1st BHA · 3 pts 2nd ARS · 3 pts 8th MCI · 3 pts 17th MUN · 0 pts
GW 2
1st MCI · 6 pts 2nd ARS · 6 pts 9th BHA · 3 pts 10th MUN · 3 pts
GW 3
1st MCI · 9 pts 2nd ARS · 9 pts 10th BHA · 4 pts 11th MUN · 4 pts
GW 4
1st ARS · 12 pts 2nd MCI · 12 pts 5th BHA · 7 pts 13th MUN · 4 pts
GW 5
1st MCI · 15 pts 2nd ARS · 12 pts 3rd BHA · 10 pts 12th MUN · 5 pts
GW 6
1st MCI · 18 pts 2nd ARS · 15 pts 3rd BHA · 13 pts 13th MUN · 6 pts
GW 7
1st MCI · 21 pts 2nd ARS · 18 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 13th MUN · 7 pts
GW 8 · projected
1st MCI · 24 pts 2nd ARS · 21 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 8th MUN · 10 pts
GW 9 · projected
1st MCI · 27 pts 2nd ARS · 24 pts 4th BHA · 16 pts 9th MUN · 11 pts
GW 10 · projected
1st MCI · 30 pts 2nd ARS · 27 pts 3rd BHA · 19 pts 8th MUN · 14 pts
GW 11 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 30 pts 3rd BHA · 22 pts 10th MUN · 14 pts
GW 12 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 33 pts 3rd BHA · 25 pts 8th MUN · 17 pts
GW 13 · projected
1st MCI · 36 pts 2nd ARS · 36 pts 3rd BHA · 26 pts 7th MUN · 18 pts
GW 14 · projected
1st MCI · 39 pts 2nd ARS · 39 pts 3rd BHA · 27 pts 7th MUN · 21 pts
GW 15 · projected
1st MCI · 42 pts 2nd ARS · 42 pts 3rd BHA · 30 pts 7th MUN · 24 pts
GW 16 · projected
1st MCI · 45 pts 2nd ARS · 45 pts 3rd BHA · 33 pts 7th MUN · 24 pts
GW 17 · projected
1st MCI · 48 pts 2nd ARS · 48 pts 4th BHA · 34 pts 7th MUN · 27 pts
GW 18 · projected
1st MCI · 51 pts 2nd ARS · 51 pts 3rd BHA · 37 pts 7th MUN · 30 pts
GW 19 · projected
1st MCI · 54 pts 2nd ARS · 54 pts 4th BHA · 38 pts 7th MUN · 31 pts
GW 20 · projected
1st MCI · 57 pts 2nd ARS · 57 pts 4th BHA · 41 pts 6th MUN · 34 pts
GW 21 · projected
1st MCI · 60 pts 2nd ARS · 60 pts 4th BHA · 42 pts 6th MUN · 35 pts
GW 22 · projected
1st MCI · 63 pts 2nd ARS · 63 pts 4th BHA · 42 pts 6th MUN · 36 pts
GW 23 · projected
1st MCI · 64 pts 2nd ARS · 64 pts 5th BHA · 43 pts 7th MUN · 37 pts
GW 24 · projected
1st MCI · 67 pts 2nd ARS · 67 pts 4th BHA · 46 pts 6th MUN · 40 pts
GW 25 · projected
1st MCI · 70 pts 2nd ARS · 70 pts 4th BHA · 46 pts 6th MUN · 43 pts
GW 26 · projected
1st MCI · 73 pts 2nd ARS · 73 pts 4th BHA · 49 pts 6th MUN · 44 pts
GW 27 · projected
1st MCI · 76 pts 2nd ARS · 76 pts 4th BHA · 52 pts 7th MUN · 44 pts
GW 28 · projected
1st MCI · 79 pts 2nd ARS · 79 pts 4th BHA · 55 pts 7th MUN · 47 pts
GW 29 · projected
1st MCI · 82 pts 2nd ARS · 82 pts 4th BHA · 56 pts 7th MUN · 50 pts
GW 30 · projected
1st MCI · 85 pts 2nd ARS · 85 pts 4th BHA · 59 pts 7th MUN · 50 pts
GW 31 · projected
1st MCI · 88 pts 2nd ARS · 88 pts 4th BHA · 60 pts 7th MUN · 53 pts
GW 32 · projected
1st MCI · 91 pts 2nd ARS · 91 pts 4th BHA · 63 pts 6th MUN · 56 pts
GW 33 · projected
1st MCI · 94 pts 2nd ARS · 94 pts 4th BHA · 64 pts 5th MUN · 59 pts
GW 34 · projected
1st MCI · 97 pts 2nd ARS · 97 pts 4th BHA · 67 pts 5th MUN · 62 pts
GW 35 · projected
1st MCI · 100 pts 2nd ARS · 100 pts 4th BHA · 70 pts 5th MUN · 63 pts
GW 36 · projected
1st MCI · 103 pts 2nd ARS · 103 pts 4th BHA · 73 pts 5th MUN · 66 pts
GW 37 · projected
1st MCI · 106 pts 2nd ARS · 106 pts 4th BHA · 74 pts 5th MUN · 69 pts
GW 38 · projected
1st MCI · 109 pts 2nd ARS · 109 pts 4th BHA · 74 pts 5th MUN · 72 pts
Manchester City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.
Our pre-season calls fill the matches still to play – recomputed Thu 15 Oct, 18:37 as the model improves (see model history below). 7 rounds of results in, counted as results, not calls.
Manchester City – position under this forecast, week by week
1st
4th
10th
17th
20th
1
6
11
16
21
26
31
36
Gameweek
GW 1
1st BHA · 3 pts 2nd ARS · 3 pts 8th MCI · 3 pts 17th MUN · 0 pts
GW 2
1st MCI · 6 pts 2nd ARS · 6 pts 9th BHA · 3 pts 10th MUN · 3 pts
GW 3
1st MCI · 9 pts 2nd ARS · 9 pts 10th BHA · 4 pts 11th MUN · 4 pts
GW 4
1st ARS · 12 pts 2nd MCI · 12 pts 5th BHA · 7 pts 13th MUN · 4 pts
GW 5
1st MCI · 15 pts 2nd ARS · 12 pts 3rd BHA · 10 pts 12th MUN · 5 pts
GW 6
1st MCI · 18 pts 2nd ARS · 15 pts 3rd BHA · 13 pts 13th MUN · 6 pts
GW 7
1st MCI · 21 pts 2nd ARS · 18 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 13th MUN · 7 pts
GW 8 · projected
1st MCI · 24 pts 2nd ARS · 21 pts 3rd BHA · 16 pts 8th MUN · 10 pts
GW 9 · projected
1st MCI · 27 pts 2nd ARS · 24 pts 4th BHA · 16 pts 7th MUN · 11 pts
GW 10 · projected
1st MCI · 30 pts 2nd ARS · 27 pts 3rd BHA · 19 pts 7th MUN · 14 pts
GW 11 · projected
1st MCI · 33 pts 2nd ARS · 30 pts 3rd BHA · 22 pts 7th MUN · 15 pts
GW 12 · projected
1st MCI · 34 pts 2nd ARS · 31 pts 3rd BHA · 25 pts 6th MUN · 18 pts
GW 13 · projected
1st MCI · 37 pts 2nd ARS · 34 pts 3rd BHA · 26 pts 7th MUN · 19 pts
GW 14 · projected
1st MCI · 40 pts 2nd ARS · 37 pts 3rd BHA · 27 pts 7th MUN · 22 pts
GW 15 · projected
1st MCI · 43 pts 2nd ARS · 40 pts 3rd BHA · 30 pts 7th MUN · 25 pts
GW 16 · projected
1st MCI · 46 pts 2nd ARS · 43 pts 3rd BHA · 33 pts 7th MUN · 25 pts
GW 17 · projected
1st MCI · 49 pts 2nd ARS · 46 pts 3rd BHA · 34 pts 7th MUN · 28 pts
GW 18 · projected
1st MCI · 52 pts 2nd ARS · 49 pts 3rd BHA · 35 pts 5th MUN · 31 pts
GW 19 · projected
1st MCI · 55 pts 2nd ARS · 52 pts 4th BHA · 36 pts 6th MUN · 32 pts
GW 20 · projected
1st MCI · 58 pts 2nd ARS · 55 pts 4th BHA · 39 pts 5th MUN · 35 pts
GW 21 · projected
1st MCI · 61 pts 2nd ARS · 58 pts 4th BHA · 40 pts 6th MUN · 36 pts
GW 22 · projected
1st MCI · 64 pts 2nd ARS · 61 pts 4th BHA · 40 pts 5th MUN · 39 pts
GW 23 · projected
1st MCI · 67 pts 2nd ARS · 61 pts 4th MUN · 42 pts 6th BHA · 41 pts
GW 24 · projected
1st MCI · 70 pts 2nd ARS · 64 pts 4th MUN · 45 pts 5th BHA · 44 pts
GW 25 · projected
1st MCI · 73 pts 2nd ARS · 67 pts 4th MUN · 48 pts 5th BHA · 44 pts
GW 26 · projected
1st MCI · 76 pts 2nd ARS · 70 pts 4th MUN · 51 pts 5th BHA · 47 pts
GW 27 · projected
1st MCI · 79 pts 2nd ARS · 71 pts 4th MUN · 52 pts 5th BHA · 50 pts
GW 28 · projected
1st MCI · 82 pts 2nd ARS · 74 pts 4th MUN · 55 pts 5th BHA · 53 pts
GW 29 · projected
1st MCI · 85 pts 2nd ARS · 77 pts 4th MUN · 58 pts 5th BHA · 54 pts
GW 30 · projected
1st MCI · 88 pts 2nd ARS · 80 pts 4th MUN · 58 pts 5th BHA · 57 pts
GW 31 · projected
1st MCI · 91 pts 2nd ARS · 83 pts 4th MUN · 61 pts 5th BHA · 57 pts
GW 32 · projected
1st MCI · 94 pts 2nd ARS · 86 pts 4th MUN · 64 pts 5th BHA · 60 pts
GW 33 · projected
1st MCI · 97 pts 2nd ARS · 89 pts 4th MUN · 67 pts 5th BHA · 61 pts
GW 34 · projected
1st MCI · 100 pts 2nd ARS · 92 pts 4th MUN · 70 pts 5th BHA · 64 pts
GW 35 · projected
1st MCI · 103 pts 2nd ARS · 95 pts 4th MUN · 71 pts 5th BHA · 67 pts
GW 36 · projected
1st MCI · 106 pts 2nd ARS · 98 pts 4th MUN · 74 pts 5th BHA · 68 pts
GW 37 · projected
1st MCI · 109 pts 2nd ARS · 101 pts 4th MUN · 77 pts 5th BHA · 69 pts
GW 38 · projected
1st MCI · 112 pts 2nd ARS · 104 pts 4th MUN · 80 pts 6th BHA · 69 pts
Manchester City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.
C Champions – and into the Champions League
CL Champions League
EL Europa League
CF Conference League
R Relegated
European places shift with who wins the cups, so the bottom two rows of Europe are the usual arrangement rather than a guarantee. P counts the results already in when the forecast froze; the rest of each row is the calls.
Model history
Thu 15 Oct, 18:37 – model updated: 5 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Thu 8 Oct, 12:37 – model updated: 1 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Fri 25 Sept, 16:24 – model updated: 1 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Fri 18 Sept, 16:06 – model updated: 5 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Fri 11 Sept, 15:12 – model updated: 9 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Thu 3 Sept, 20:07 – model updated: 5 of 380 pre-season calls changed.
Thu 27 Aug, 09:24 – first recomputation of the pre-season view under this scheme.
The pre-season view is remade weekly by the current model; this is the record of when that changed anything. The in-season checkpoints freeze and stay frozen.
Against expectations
Points actually won so far, beside the points our calls would have given them – three where we named them the winner, none where we named the other side. A club above the line is doing better than we said; below it, worse.