Which Team Will Win?

Ipswich Town

Where we have Ipswich Town finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Ipswich Town finish 20th on 15 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 5th HUL · 3 pts7th IPS · 3 pts13th BOU · 0 pts16th CRY · 0 pts17th MUN · 0 pts GW 2 3rd HUL · 6 pts10th MUN · 3 pts12th IPS · 3 pts14th BOU · 1 pts18th CRY · 0 pts GW 3 3rd HUL · 7 pts11th MUN · 4 pts13th CRY · 3 pts14th IPS · 3 pts15th BOU · 2 pts GW 4 4th HUL · 8 pts10th IPS · 6 pts13th MUN · 4 pts15th BOU · 3 pts16th CRY · 3 pts GW 5 8th HUL · 8 pts11th IPS · 6 pts12th MUN · 5 pts15th CRY · 4 pts17th BOU · 3 pts GW 6 8th HUL · 9 pts10th IPS · 9 pts12th CRY · 7 pts13th MUN · 6 pts18th BOU · 3 pts GW 7 9th HUL · 9 pts10th IPS · 9 pts13th MUN · 7 pts14th CRY · 7 pts15th BOU · 6 pts GW 8 · projected 9th MUN · 10 pts11th HUL · 9 pts12th IPS · 9 pts17th CRY · 7 pts18th BOU · 6 pts GW 9 · projected 8th HUL · 12 pts11th MUN · 10 pts14th BOU · 9 pts15th IPS · 9 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 10 · projected 9th MUN · 13 pts11th HUL · 12 pts12th BOU · 12 pts16th IPS · 9 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 11 · projected 7th BOU · 15 pts12th MUN · 13 pts13th HUL · 12 pts17th IPS · 9 pts20th CRY · 7 pts GW 12 · projected 7th BOU · 18 pts10th MUN · 16 pts14th HUL · 12 pts17th CRY · 10 pts18th IPS · 9 pts GW 13 · projected 6th BOU · 21 pts9th MUN · 19 pts15th HUL · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 14 · projected 6th BOU · 24 pts8th MUN · 22 pts15th HUL · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 15 · projected 7th MUN · 25 pts8th BOU · 24 pts15th HUL · 15 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 16 · projected 6th BOU · 27 pts8th MUN · 25 pts15th HUL · 15 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 17 · projected 6th BOU · 30 pts8th MUN · 28 pts15th HUL · 15 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 18 · projected 6th BOU · 33 pts7th MUN · 31 pts15th HUL · 15 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 19 · projected 6th BOU · 36 pts8th MUN · 31 pts16th HUL · 15 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 20 · projected 6th BOU · 36 pts7th MUN · 34 pts16th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 21 · projected 6th BOU · 39 pts7th MUN · 34 pts16th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 22 · projected 6th BOU · 42 pts7th MUN · 37 pts16th HUL · 15 pts18th IPS · 15 pts19th CRY · 13 pts GW 23 · projected 6th BOU · 45 pts7th MUN · 40 pts17th CRY · 16 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 24 · projected 6th BOU · 48 pts7th MUN · 43 pts17th CRY · 19 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 25 · projected 6th BOU · 48 pts7th MUN · 46 pts17th CRY · 19 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 26 · projected 6th BOU · 51 pts7th MUN · 49 pts17th CRY · 19 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 27 · projected 6th BOU · 54 pts8th MUN · 49 pts16th CRY · 22 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 28 · projected 6th BOU · 57 pts7th MUN · 52 pts16th CRY · 22 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 29 · projected 6th BOU · 60 pts7th MUN · 55 pts17th CRY · 22 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 30 · projected 6th BOU · 63 pts8th MUN · 55 pts16th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 31 · projected 6th BOU · 63 pts8th MUN · 58 pts16th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 15 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 32 · projected 6th BOU · 66 pts7th MUN · 61 pts16th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 33 · projected 6th BOU · 66 pts7th MUN · 64 pts17th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 34 · projected 5th BOU · 69 pts7th MUN · 67 pts17th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 35 · projected 5th BOU · 72 pts7th MUN · 67 pts17th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 36 · projected 5th BOU · 75 pts7th MUN · 70 pts17th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts20th IPS · 15 pts GW 37 · projected 5th BOU · 78 pts6th MUN · 73 pts17th CRY · 25 pts18th HUL · 18 pts20th IPS · 15 pts GW 38 · projected 5th BOU · 78 pts6th MUN · 76 pts16th CRY · 28 pts18th HUL · 18 pts20th IPS · 15 pts
Ipswich Town Bournemouth mid-tableHull City mid-tableCrystal Palace mid-tableManchester United mid-table
Ipswich Town solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 9 places ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 8 places ahead Actual 7thProjected 15th GW 2 · 7 places ahead Actual 12thProjected 19th GW 3 · 5 places ahead Actual 14thProjected 19th GW 4 · 9 places ahead Actual 10thProjected 19th GW 5 · 8 places ahead Actual 11thProjected 19th GW 6 · 9 places ahead Actual 10thProjected 19th GW 7 · 9 places ahead Actual 10thProjected 19th GW 8 Projected 19th GW 9 Projected 20th GW 10 Projected 19th GW 11 Projected 19th GW 12 Projected 19th GW 13 Projected 19th GW 14 Projected 19th GW 15 Projected 19th GW 16 Projected 19th GW 17 Projected 19th GW 18 Projected 19th GW 19 Projected 19th GW 20 Projected 19th GW 21 Projected 19th GW 22 Projected 19th GW 23 Projected 19th GW 24 Projected 19th GW 25 Projected 19th GW 26 Projected 19th GW 27 Projected 19th GW 28 Projected 19th GW 29 Projected 19th GW 30 Projected 19th GW 31 Projected 19th GW 32 Projected 19th GW 33 Projected 19th GW 34 Projected 19th GW 35 Projected 19th GW 36 Projected 19th GW 37 Projected 19th GW 38 Projected 19th

Where Ipswich Town actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Manchester City 3–2 Ipswich Town

Saturday 17th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Manchester City win

3–2Full time

Manchester City crest
◀ Man City win Ipswich Town win ▶ 11% draw chance bookmakers
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Very strong

MCI IPS W-W-W-W-W L-L-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 2.00 -0.80 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-W-W D-L-L-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 57% 43% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 3.03 0.71 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1757 Weak 1390 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.33 2.01 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.40 1.58 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.89 1.33 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 74% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved MCI IPS W-W-W-W-W L-L-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 2.00 -0.80 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-W-W D-L-L-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 57% 43% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 3.03 0.71 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1757 Weak 1390 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.33 2.01 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.40 1.58 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.89 1.33 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 74% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved

The key stat: Elo performance. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Manchester City come out on top, Exceptional against Weak. When this gap appears, the side carrying the stronger record tends to win, in around 74% of cases. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callManchester City to win: 83% against 6%, with the draw at 11%. Confidence very strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For Manchester CityGoal difference 2.00 v -0.80 (decisive); Goals 3.03 v 0.71 (decisive); Elo performance 1757 v 1390 (decisive).
  • For Ipswich TownNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormManchester City W-W-W-W-W, Ipswich Town L-L-W-L-W.
Manchester City 4-2-3-1 confirmedIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 G. Donnarumma 33 N. O'Reilly 6 M. Guéhi 3 Rúben Dias 27 Matheus Nunes 32 A. Bouaddi 8 M. Kovačić 11 J. Doku 47 P. Foden 7 I. Ndiaye 9 E. Haaland
28 C. Walton 3 L. Davis 24 J. Greaves 6 I. Diop 26 D. O'Shea 25 E. Palacios 12 Florentino 38 D. Maeda 10 J. Enciso 42 A. Ouattara 19 Emersonn
  1. G. Donnarumma
  2. N. O'Reilly
  3. M. Guéhi
  4. Rúben Dias
  5. Matheus Nunes
  6. A. Bouaddi
  7. M. Kovačić
  8. J. Doku
  9. P. Foden
  10. I. Ndiaye
  11. E. Haaland
  1. C. Walton
  2. L. Davis
  3. J. Greaves
  4. I. Diop
  5. D. O'Shea
  6. E. Palacios
  7. Florentino
  8. D. Maeda
  9. J. Enciso
  10. A. Ouattara
  11. Emersonn

Substitutes E. Anderson, Allan, R. Aït-Nouri, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, J. Gvardiol, A. Khusanov, G. Rulli, A. Semenyo

Substitutes C. Akpom, J. Clarke, Z. Flemming, D. Furlong, A. Fatawu, C. Kipré, A. Matusiwa, J. Philogene, K. Scherpen

Our call: 83% MCI · 11% draw · 6% IPS  ·  bookmakers: 76% / 15% / 9%  ·  expected goals 3.03–0.71

Last updated 17 Oct at 14:09

Ipswich Town vs. Nottingham Forest

Friday 23rd October 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Nottingham Forest win

Ipswich Town crest
◀ Ipswich Town win Forest win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Slight

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IPS NFO L-W-L-W-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.19 1.49 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 58% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1388 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.88 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 2.23 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven IPS NFO L-W-L-W-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.19 1.49 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 58% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1388 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.88 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 2.23 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven

The key stat: XI defensive record. This is the widest gap between them. Nottingham Forest lead it, 1.34 to 1.76. In matches like this, whoever fielded the more solid defence usually wins – about 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callNottingham Forest to win: 44% against 30%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, the defence in front of them and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 68% v 58% (decisive); XI defensive record 1.34 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.42 v 1.88 (useful).
  • For Ipswich TownGoal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal).
  • FormIpswich Town L-W-L-W-L, Nottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailableNottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Our call: 30% IPS · 26% draw · 44% NFO  ·  bookmakers: 31% / 27% / 42%  ·  expected goals 1.19–1.49

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

Hull City vs. Ipswich Town

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Hull City win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Ipswich Town win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Slight

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HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Hull City come out on top, 1.48 against 1.76. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callHull City to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defenders they face – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 58% (decisive); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.76 (clear); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-L-W-L-L (slight).
  • For Ipswich TownAttack 1.46 v 0.83 (clear); XI attacking output 2.23 v 1.62 (useful); Defence 1.88 v 1.95 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Ipswich Town L-W-L-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Our call: 45% HUL · 26% draw · 29% IPS  ·  bookmakers: 36% / 27% / 36%  ·  expected goals 1.52–1.19

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

Ipswich Town vs. Bournemouth

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Bournemouth win

Ipswich Town crest
◀ Ipswich Town win Bournemouth win ▶ 23% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Bournemouth crest

Confidence: Fair

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IPS BOU L-W-L-W-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.01 1.84 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.23 2.92 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.76 1.19 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.88 1.12 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1388 Strong 1571 Elo performance 1500 is average 58% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved IPS BOU L-W-L-W-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.01 1.84 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.23 2.92 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.76 1.19 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.88 1.12 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1388 Strong 1571 Elo performance 1500 is average 58% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Bournemouth: 2.92 to 2.23. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBournemouth to win: 56% against 20%, with the draw at 23%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, the defence in front of them and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For BournemouthXI defensive record 1.19 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.12 v 1.88 (decisive); Elo performance 1571 v 1388 (clear).
  • For Ipswich TownHome and away form L-L-W-L-W v W-D-L-D-L (marginal); Goal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal); Goal difference at this venue -0.60 v -0.80 (marginal).
  • FormIpswich Town L-W-L-W-L, Bournemouth D-D-L-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailableBournemouth 4-2-3-1 expected · 6 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
1 Đ. Petrović 5 J. Hill 3 A. Truffert 14 A. Silva 15 A. Smith 37 Rayan 12 T. Adams 16 M. Tavernier 10 R. Christie 19 J. Kluivert 9 Evanilson
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%
  1. Đ. Petrović98%
  2. J. Hill98%
  3. A. Truffert98%
  4. A. Silva98%
  5. A. Smith97%
  6. Rayan98%
  7. T. Adams97%
  8. M. Tavernier95%
  9. R. Christie59%
  10. J. Kluivert39%
  11. Evanilson98%

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Likely subs M. Di Gregorio, Á. Rodríguez, D. Brooks, B. Diakité, B. Gannon-Doak, A. Adli, Sanchez

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Doubts A. Scott injured, W. Dennis unavailable, Kroupi.Jr injured, E. Ünal unavailable, Milosavljević injured, J.Araujo injured

Our call: 20% IPS · 23% draw · 56% BOU  ·  expected goals 1.01–1.84

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Ipswich Town

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Tottenham Hotspur win

Tottenham Hotspur crest
◀ Tottenham win Ipswich Town win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
TOT IPS L-D-D-L-D L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 54% 46% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.63 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.27 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Below average 1454 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.13 1.88 Defence Conceded per game 65% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.5 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game TOT IPS L-D-D-L-D L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 54% 46% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.63 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.27 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Below average 1454 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.13 1.88 Defence Conceded per game 65% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.5 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Tottenham Hotspur come out on top, 1.27 against 1.76. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 74% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callTottenham Hotspur to win: 50% against 25%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is recent shots on target.
  • For Tottenham HotspurXI defensive record 1.27 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.13 v 1.88 (decisive); GK save rate 65% v 58% (clear).
  • For Ipswich TownShots on target 4.2 v 3.5 (slight); Goal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal).
  • FormTottenham Hotspur L-D-D-L-D, Ipswich Town L-W-L-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1 expected · 16 unavailable · 1 doubtfulIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

31 Kinsky 6 J. Van Hecke 37 Van de Ven 3 A. Robertson 16 S. Tonali 14 A. Gray 18 M. Fernandes 11 M. Tel 8 C. Gallagher 22 O. Marmoush 19 Solanke
28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. J. Van Hecke98%
  3. M. Van de Ven81%
  4. A. Robertson61%
  5. S. Tonali98%
  6. A. Gray64%
  7. M. Fernandes54%
  8. M. Tel39%
  9. C. Gallagher38%
  10. O. Marmoush80%
  11. Solanke57%
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%

Likely subs D. Udogie, M. Kudus, J. Maddison, Tosin, M. Dubravka, B. Davies, Senesi

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Doubts R. Bentancur suspended, Sávio injured, Pedro Porro injured, A. Phillips unavailable, L. Bergvall injured, M. Mudryk injured, M. Moore unavailable, D. Kulusevski doubtful

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Our call: 50% TOT · 25% draw · 25% IPS  ·  expected goals 1.63–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 12:57

The whole season

All 38 of Ipswich Town's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 4 of 7 of their decided matches so far. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 28% 26% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–1
2 Sun 30 Aug, 16:30 Manchester United (A) 11% 18% 71% LoseConfidence: Very strong 2–5
3 Fri 4 Sept, 20:00 Liverpool (H) 17% 21% 62% LoseConfidence: Strong 0–2
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Crystal Palace (A) 20% 24% 56% LoseConfidence: Fair 3–2
5 Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 Everton (A) 16% 22% 62% LoseConfidence: Strong 0–1
6 Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Fulham (H) 30% 26% 44% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–1
7 Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 6% 11% 83% LoseConfidence: Very strong 2–3
8 Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 30% 26% 44% LoseConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Hull City (A) 29% 26% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight –
10 Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Bournemouth (H) 20% 23% 56% LoseConfidence: Fair –
11 Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 25% 25% 50% LoseConfidence: Fair –
12 Sat 28 Nov, 17:30 Aston Villa (H) 23% 25% 53% LoseProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Coventry City (A) 27% 25% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Leeds United (A) 21% 25% 54% LoseProjected: Fair –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Newcastle United (H) 28% 25% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 13% 20% 67% LoseProjected: Strong –
17 Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 Brentford (H) 28% 25% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 20:15 Chelsea (H) 24% 25% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Arsenal (A) 6% 12% 82% LoseProjected: Very strong –
20 Wed 6 Jan, 19:30 Coventry City (H) 39% 26% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 14% 20% 67% LoseProjected: Strong –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Hull City (H) 41% 26% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 14% 20% 66% LoseProjected: Strong –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 36% 27% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Arsenal (H) 10% 18% 72% LoseProjected: Very strong –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Chelsea (A) 15% 21% 64% LoseProjected: Strong –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 21% 24% 55% LoseProjected: Fair –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Brentford (A) 18% 22% 60% LoseProjected: Strong –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 10% 17% 73% LoseProjected: Very strong –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 35% 26% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 23% 24% 53% LoseProjected: Fair –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Manchester United (H) 20% 23% 57% LoseProjected: Strong –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 18% 22% 60% LoseProjected: Strong –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 32% 27% 42% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Fulham (A) 19% 23% 58% LoseProjected: Strong –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 12% 18% 70% LoseProjected: Very strong –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (A) 20% 23% 57% LoseProjected: Fair –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Everton (H) 28% 25% 47% LoseProjected: Slight –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call