Which Team Will Win?

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Ipswich Town

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Tottenham Hotspur win

Tottenham Hotspur crest
◀ Tottenham win Ipswich Town win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
TOT IPS L-D-D-L-D L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 54% 46% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.63 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.27 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Below average 1454 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.13 1.88 Defence Conceded per game 65% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.5 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game TOT IPS L-D-D-L-D L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 54% 46% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.63 1.09 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.27 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Below average 1454 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.13 1.88 Defence Conceded per game 65% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.5 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Tottenham Hotspur come out on top, 1.27 against 1.76. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 74% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callTottenham Hotspur to win: 50% against 25%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is recent shots on target.
  • For Tottenham HotspurXI defensive record 1.27 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.13 v 1.88 (decisive); GK save rate 65% v 58% (clear).
  • For Ipswich TownShots on target 4.2 v 3.5 (slight); Goal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal).
  • FormTottenham Hotspur L-D-D-L-D, Ipswich Town L-W-L-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1 expected · 16 unavailable · 1 doubtfulIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

31 Kinsky 6 J. Van Hecke 37 Van de Ven 3 A. Robertson 16 S. Tonali 14 A. Gray 18 M. Fernandes 11 M. Tel 8 C. Gallagher 22 O. Marmoush 19 Solanke
28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. J. Van Hecke98%
  3. M. Van de Ven81%
  4. A. Robertson61%
  5. S. Tonali98%
  6. A. Gray64%
  7. M. Fernandes54%
  8. M. Tel39%
  9. C. Gallagher38%
  10. O. Marmoush80%
  11. Solanke57%
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%

Likely subs D. Udogie, M. Kudus, J. Maddison, Tosin, M. Dubravka, B. Davies, Senesi

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Doubts R. Bentancur suspended, Sávio injured, Pedro Porro injured, A. Phillips unavailable, L. Bergvall injured, M. Mudryk injured, M. Moore unavailable, D. Kulusevski doubtful

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Our call: 50% TOT · 25% draw · 25% IPS  ·  expected goals 1.63–1.09

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ TottenhamIpswich Town ▸Goals
Home advantage 0.27
Long-run strength 0.27
Shots on target 0.08
Defence 0.08
Settled eleven 0.04
XI defensive record 0.03
Everything else 0.01
Tottenham ahead by 0.54

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Tottenham come out 0.54 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Ipswich Town goals Tottenham goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Tottenham 0–0 Ipswich Town: 7% Tottenham 0–1 Ipswich Town: 7% Tottenham 0–2 Ipswich Town: 4% Tottenham 0–3 Ipswich Town: 1% Tottenham 0–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 0–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 1–0 Ipswich Town: 10% Tottenham 1–1 Ipswich Town: 12% Tottenham 1–2 Ipswich Town: 6% Tottenham 1–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Tottenham 1–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 1–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 2–0 Ipswich Town: 9% Tottenham 2–1 Ipswich Town: 10% Tottenham 2–2 Ipswich Town: 5% Tottenham 2–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Tottenham 2–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 2–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 3–0 Ipswich Town: 5% Tottenham 3–1 Ipswich Town: 5% Tottenham 3–2 Ipswich Town: 3% Tottenham 3–3 Ipswich Town: 1% Tottenham 3–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 3–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 4–0 Ipswich Town: 2% Tottenham 4–1 Ipswich Town: 2% Tottenham 4–2 Ipswich Town: 1% Tottenham 4–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 4–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 5–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 5–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 5–2 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 5–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 6–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 6–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Tottenham 6–2 Ipswich Town: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Tottenham win, above it Ipswich Town do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →