Which Team Will Win?

Hull City

Where we have Hull City finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Hull City finish 18th on 18 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 5th HUL · 3 pts9th LEE · 3 pts13th BOU · 0 pts17th MUN · 0 pts20th AVL · 0 pts GW 2 3rd HUL · 6 pts8th LEE · 4 pts10th MUN · 3 pts14th BOU · 1 pts19th AVL · 0 pts GW 3 3rd HUL · 7 pts9th LEE · 5 pts11th MUN · 4 pts15th BOU · 2 pts17th AVL · 1 pts GW 4 3rd LEE · 8 pts4th HUL · 8 pts13th MUN · 4 pts15th BOU · 3 pts19th AVL · 1 pts GW 5 5th LEE · 9 pts8th HUL · 8 pts12th MUN · 5 pts16th AVL · 4 pts17th BOU · 3 pts GW 6 7th LEE · 9 pts8th HUL · 9 pts13th MUN · 6 pts16th AVL · 5 pts18th BOU · 3 pts GW 7 7th LEE · 10 pts9th HUL · 9 pts12th AVL · 8 pts13th MUN · 7 pts15th BOU · 6 pts GW 8 · projected 8th LEE · 10 pts9th MUN · 10 pts11th HUL · 9 pts15th AVL · 8 pts18th BOU · 6 pts GW 9 · projected 8th HUL · 12 pts9th AVL · 11 pts10th LEE · 10 pts11th MUN · 10 pts14th BOU · 9 pts GW 10 · projected 8th LEE · 13 pts9th MUN · 13 pts11th HUL · 12 pts12th BOU · 12 pts14th AVL · 11 pts GW 11 · projected 7th BOU · 15 pts8th AVL · 14 pts10th LEE · 13 pts12th MUN · 13 pts13th HUL · 12 pts GW 12 · projected 7th BOU · 18 pts8th AVL · 17 pts9th LEE · 16 pts10th MUN · 16 pts14th HUL · 12 pts GW 13 · projected 6th BOU · 21 pts7th AVL · 20 pts9th MUN · 19 pts10th LEE · 16 pts15th HUL · 12 pts GW 14 · projected 6th BOU · 24 pts7th AVL · 23 pts8th MUN · 22 pts10th LEE · 19 pts15th HUL · 12 pts GW 15 · projected 6th AVL · 26 pts7th MUN · 25 pts8th BOU · 24 pts11th LEE · 19 pts15th HUL · 15 pts GW 16 · projected 6th BOU · 27 pts7th AVL · 26 pts8th MUN · 25 pts10th LEE · 22 pts15th HUL · 15 pts GW 17 · projected 6th BOU · 30 pts7th AVL · 29 pts8th MUN · 28 pts10th LEE · 22 pts15th HUL · 15 pts GW 18 · projected 6th BOU · 33 pts7th MUN · 31 pts8th AVL · 29 pts10th LEE · 25 pts15th HUL · 15 pts GW 19 · projected 6th BOU · 36 pts8th MUN · 31 pts9th AVL · 29 pts10th LEE · 28 pts16th HUL · 15 pts GW 20 · projected 6th BOU · 36 pts7th MUN · 34 pts9th AVL · 29 pts10th LEE · 28 pts16th HUL · 15 pts GW 21 · projected 6th BOU · 39 pts7th MUN · 34 pts8th AVL · 32 pts10th LEE · 28 pts16th HUL · 15 pts GW 22 · projected 6th BOU · 42 pts7th MUN · 37 pts8th AVL · 35 pts10th LEE · 28 pts16th HUL · 15 pts GW 23 · projected 6th BOU · 45 pts7th MUN · 40 pts8th AVL · 38 pts10th LEE · 31 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 24 · projected 6th BOU · 48 pts7th MUN · 43 pts8th AVL · 41 pts10th LEE · 31 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 25 · projected 6th BOU · 48 pts7th MUN · 46 pts8th AVL · 44 pts11th LEE · 31 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 26 · projected 6th BOU · 51 pts7th MUN · 49 pts8th AVL · 47 pts11th LEE · 31 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 27 · projected 6th BOU · 54 pts7th AVL · 50 pts8th MUN · 49 pts12th LEE · 31 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 28 · projected 6th BOU · 57 pts7th MUN · 52 pts8th AVL · 50 pts11th LEE · 34 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 29 · projected 6th BOU · 60 pts7th MUN · 55 pts8th AVL · 53 pts11th LEE · 34 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 30 · projected 6th BOU · 63 pts7th AVL · 56 pts8th MUN · 55 pts12th LEE · 34 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 31 · projected 6th BOU · 63 pts7th AVL · 59 pts8th MUN · 58 pts11th LEE · 37 pts18th HUL · 15 pts GW 32 · projected 6th BOU · 66 pts7th MUN · 61 pts8th AVL · 59 pts12th LEE · 37 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 33 · projected 6th BOU · 66 pts7th MUN · 64 pts8th AVL · 62 pts12th LEE · 37 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 34 · projected 5th BOU · 69 pts7th MUN · 67 pts8th AVL · 65 pts12th LEE · 40 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 35 · projected 5th BOU · 72 pts7th MUN · 67 pts8th AVL · 65 pts12th LEE · 40 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 36 · projected 5th BOU · 75 pts7th MUN · 70 pts8th AVL · 68 pts13th LEE · 40 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 37 · projected 5th BOU · 78 pts6th MUN · 73 pts8th AVL · 68 pts13th LEE · 43 pts18th HUL · 18 pts GW 38 · projected 5th BOU · 78 pts6th MUN · 76 pts8th AVL · 71 pts13th LEE · 43 pts18th HUL · 18 pts
Hull City Leeds United derbyBournemouth mid-tableManchester United mid-tableAston Villa mid-table
Hull City solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 11 places ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 14 places ahead Actual 5thProjected 19th GW 2 · 17 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 20th GW 3 · 17 places ahead Actual 3rdProjected 20th GW 4 · 16 places ahead Actual 4thProjected 20th GW 5 · 12 places ahead Actual 8thProjected 20th GW 6 · 12 places ahead Actual 8thProjected 20th GW 7 · 11 places ahead Actual 9thProjected 20th GW 8 Projected 20th GW 9 Projected 19th GW 10 Projected 20th GW 11 Projected 20th GW 12 Projected 20th GW 13 Projected 20th GW 14 Projected 20th GW 15 Projected 20th GW 16 Projected 20th GW 17 Projected 20th GW 18 Projected 20th GW 19 Projected 20th GW 20 Projected 20th GW 21 Projected 20th GW 22 Projected 20th GW 23 Projected 20th GW 24 Projected 20th GW 25 Projected 20th GW 26 Projected 20th GW 27 Projected 20th GW 28 Projected 20th GW 29 Projected 20th GW 30 Projected 20th GW 31 Projected 20th GW 32 Projected 20th GW 33 Projected 20th GW 34 Projected 20th GW 35 Projected 20th GW 36 Projected 20th GW 37 Projected 20th GW 38 Projected 20th

Where Hull City actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Fulham 1–0 Hull City

Saturday 17th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Fulham win

1–0Full time

Fulham crest
◀ Fulham win Hull City win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Hull City crest

Confidence: Fair

FUL HUL L-L-D-D-L W-D-D-L-D Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.69 1.04 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.53 2.04 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Average 1494 Weak 1429 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.54 0.96 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.52 1.82 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 4.1 3.5 Exp: Shots on target Per game FUL HUL L-L-D-D-L W-D-D-L-D Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.69 1.04 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.53 2.04 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Average 1494 Weak 1429 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.54 0.96 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.52 1.82 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 4.1 3.5 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Defence. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Fulham come out on top, 1.53 against 2.04. Historically, whoever was harder to score against takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callFulham to win: 52% against 23%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and recent shots on target.
  • For FulhamAttack 1.54 v 0.96 (clear); Defence 1.53 v 2.04 (clear); XI attacking output 2.52 v 1.82 (clear).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 74% v 69% (useful); Goal difference 0.00 v -0.60 (slight); Home and away form D-L-W-D-L v L-W-L-L-D (marginal).
  • FormFulham L-L-D-D-L, Hull City W-D-D-L-D.
Fulham 4-2-3-1 confirmedHull City 5-4-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Hull City 5-4-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 B. Leno 33 A. Robinson 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 16 S. Berge 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 7 Gonzalo García
19 K. Tzolakis 22 Herrington 15 J. Egan 6 S. Ajayi 18 Norton-Cuffy 2 L. Coyle 7 S. Thomas 27 R. Slater 25 M. Crooks 10 M. Belloumi 9 O. McBurnie
  1. B. Leno
  2. A. Robinson
  3. C. Bassey
  4. D. Affengruber
  5. T. Castagne
  6. S. Charles
  7. S. Berge
  8. A. Iwobi
  9. J. King
  10. O. Bobb
  11. Gonzalo García
  1. K. Tzolakis
  2. L. Herrington
  3. J. Egan
  4. S. Ajayi
  5. B. Norton-Cuffy
  6. L. Coyle
  7. S. Thomas
  8. R. Slater
  9. M. Crooks
  10. M. Belloumi
  11. O. McBurnie

Substitutes J. Andersen, T. Cairney, B. Lecomte, Manuel Ángel, Rodrigo Muniz, César Palacios, Kevin, R. Sessegnon, K. Tete

Substitutes P. McNair, J. Gelhardt, R. Giles, J. Hjertø-Dahl, T. Iroegbunam, H. Morita, D. Phillips, E. Stroud, R. Vaz

Our call: 52% FUL · 25% draw · 23% HUL  ·  bookmakers: 55% / 24% / 21%  ·  expected goals 1.69–1.04

Last updated 17 Oct at 14:09

Hull City vs. Brentford

Sunday 25th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brentford win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Brentford crest

Confidence: Slight

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HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brentford come out on top, 2.77 against 1.62. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 70% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callBrentford to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, what this eleven creates and the strength of this eleven against their usual one – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For BrentfordXI attacking output 2.77 v 1.62 (decisive); Attack 1.55 v 0.83 (clear); XI strength vs usual 112% v 96% (clear).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 74% (slight); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-D-D-D-D (marginal); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.54 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 29% HUL · 26% draw · 45% BRE  ·  bookmakers: 22% / 24% / 54%  ·  expected goals 1.19–1.54

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Hull City vs. Ipswich Town

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Hull City win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Ipswich Town win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Slight

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HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Hull City come out on top, 1.48 against 1.76. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callHull City to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defenders they face – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 58% (decisive); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.76 (clear); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-L-W-L-L (slight).
  • For Ipswich TownAttack 1.46 v 0.83 (clear); XI attacking output 2.23 v 1.62 (useful); Defence 1.88 v 1.95 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Ipswich Town L-W-L-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Our call: 45% HUL · 26% draw · 29% IPS  ·  bookmakers: 36% / 27% / 36%  ·  expected goals 1.52–1.19

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Arsenal vs. Hull City

Saturday 7th November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Arsenal win

Arsenal crest
◀ Arsenal win Hull City win ▶ 12% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Hull City crest

Confidence: Very strong

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ARS HUL W-W-L-W-W D-D-L-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-W-W-W-W L-W-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 2.77 0.60 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1757 Weak 1423 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.71 1.95 Defence Conceded per game 2.81 1.62 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 0.95 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.68 0.83 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ARS HUL W-W-L-W-W D-D-L-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-W-W-W-W L-W-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.80 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 2.77 0.60 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1757 Weak 1423 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.71 1.95 Defence Conceded per game 2.81 1.62 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 0.95 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.68 0.83 Attack Goals and expected goals per game

The key stat: Elo performance. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Arsenal come out on top, Exceptional against Weak. When this gap appears, the side carrying the stronger record tends to win, in around 75% of cases. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callArsenal to win: 82% against 5%, with the draw at 12%. Confidence very strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and the defence in front of them.
  • For ArsenalHome and away form W-W-W-W-W v L-W-D-L-L (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v -1.00 (decisive); Goals 2.77 v 0.60 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 75% (marginal).
  • FormArsenal W-W-L-W-W, Hull City D-D-L-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Arsenal 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailableHull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

1 Raya 6 Gabriel 15 Konsa 33 R. Calafiori 4 B. White 7 B. Saka 41 D. Rice 8 M. Ødegaard 49 Lewis-Skelly 39 Bruno G. 29 K. Havertz
19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
  1. Raya98%
  2. Gabriel98%
  3. Konsa98%
  4. R. Calafiori97%
  5. B. White71%
  6. B. Saka98%
  7. D. Rice98%
  8. M. Ødegaard97%
  9. M. Lewis-Skelly51%
  10. Bruno G.41%
  11. K. Havertz94%
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%

Likely subs J.Timber, V. Gyökeres, N. Madueke, Merino, M. Dowman, C. Mosquera, Zubimendi

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Doubts C. Tzolis injured, Hincapie injured, Martinelli unavailable, W. Saliba injured, G.Jesus unavailable, Fábio Vieira unavailable, R. Nelson unavailable, E. Nwaneri unavailable

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Our call: 82% ARS · 12% draw · 5% HUL  ·  expected goals 2.77–0.60

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Hull City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday 22nd November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brighton win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Confidence: Fair

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HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Attack. This is the widest gap between them. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 0.83. In matches like this, the side scoring more freely usually wins – about 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 52% against 23%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v -0.40 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 0.83 (decisive); Defence 1.21 v 1.95 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 71% (useful).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Our call: 23% HUL · 25% draw · 52% BHA  ·  expected goals 1.03–1.69

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Hull City's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 2 of 4 of their decided matches so far; 3 were draws, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sat 22 Aug, 12:30 Manchester United (H) 14% 19% 67% LoseConfidence: Strong 2–0
2 Sat 29 Aug, 15:00 Coventry City (A) 24% 24% 52% LoseConfidence: Fair 1–0
3 Sat 5 Sept, 17:30 Aston Villa (H) 22% 25% 53% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–0
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Chelsea (A) 15% 20% 65% LoseConfidence: Strong 2–2
5 Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 17% 23% 60% LoseConfidence: Strong 1–2
6 Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Everton (H) 28% 26% 46% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–2
7 Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Fulham (A) 23% 25% 52% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–1
8 Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Brentford (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Ipswich Town (H) 45% 26% 29% WinConfidence: Slight –
10 Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Arsenal (A) 5% 12% 82% LoseConfidence: Very strong –
11 Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 23% 25% 52% LoseConfidence: Fair –
12 Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 Crystal Palace (A) 25% 25% 50% LoseProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 32% 27% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 15% 21% 65% LoseProjected: Strong –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 38% 27% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 7% 14% 79% LoseProjected: Very strong –
17 Sat 26 Dec, 17:30 Liverpool (H) 19% 23% 58% LoseProjected: Strong –
18 Tue 29 Dec, 19:30 Leeds United (H) 33% 27% 40% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseProjected: Fair –
20 Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 Nottingham Forest (A) 21% 24% 55% LoseProjected: Fair –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Arsenal (H) 11% 19% 70% LoseProjected: Very strong –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Ipswich Town (A) 32% 26% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 37% 27% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 14% 21% 65% LoseProjected: Strong –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Sunderland (H) 36% 26% 38% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 11% 18% 71% LoseProjected: Very strong –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 13% 19% 67% LoseProjected: Strong –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Leeds United (A) 22% 25% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 15% 21% 64% LoseProjected: Strong –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Chelsea (H) 25% 25% 49% LoseProjected: Fair –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Manchester United (A) 13% 19% 68% LoseProjected: Strong –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Coventry City (H) 40% 27% 33% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 26% 26% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Bournemouth (H) 23% 25% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Everton (A) 19% 23% 58% LoseProjected: Strong –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Fulham (H) 30% 27% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Brentford (A) 19% 23% 58% LoseProjected: Strong –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Newcastle United (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call