Which Team Will Win?

Hull City

Every published prediction involving Hull City, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Hull City finish 20th on about 27 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

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Against pre-season expectations

Once Hull City have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Hull City vs. Manchester United

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester United win

◀ Hull City win Man United win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 19%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Hull City crest
HUL MUN W-D-L-L-L W-W-D-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -2.00 1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-W-W-L-L L-D-W-D-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 0.96 2.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.6 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.94 1.38 Defence Conceded per game 0.91 1.76 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1398 Very strong 1628 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.49 1.38 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven
Manchester United crest

The key stat: Shots on target. No other measure separates them as clearly. Manchester United lead it, 5.4 to 2.6. the side testing the goalkeeper more often normally comes out on top here — 73% of the time in recent seasons. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester United to win: 67% against 14%, with the draw at 19%. Confidence strong.
  • For Manchester UnitedGoal difference 1.20 v -2.00 (decisive); Shots on target 5.4 v 2.6 (decisive); Defence 1.38 v 2.94 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityHome and away form W-W-W-L-L v L-D-W-D-W (marginal).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L, Manchester United W-W-D-W-W.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Hull City 4-3-3

Expected starting XI

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. TzolakisNEW0%
  2. AjayiNEW98%
  3. EganNEW96%
  4. McNairNEW62%
  5. GilesNEW42%
  6. DowellNEW96%
  7. BelloumiNEW0%
  8. MillarNEW0%
  9. McBurnieNEW81%
  10. DramehNEW27%
  11. TargettNEW20%
  1. Lammens98%
  2. Maguire98%
  3. Shaw98%
  4. Martinez98%
  5. Dalot81%
  6. B.Fernandes98%
  7. Cunha98%
  8. Mainoo98%
  9. TielemansNEW80%
  10. Amad79%
  11. Šeško58%

Likely subs Ömür, Akintola, Morita, Hjertø-Dahl, Stroud, Gourna-Douath, Crooks

Likely subs Mazraoui, Amass, Mbeumo, Darlow, Andrey Santos, Heaven, Rashford

Doubts Butland injured, Gelhardt injured, Burstow unavailable, Gyabi injured, Kamara unavailable, Morita doubtful, Matazo injured, Zambrano injured

Doubts De Ligt injured, Darlow doubtful, Bayindir unavailable, Heaton injured, Šeško doubtful, Mount doubtful, Fredricson unavailable, Ugarte injured

Our call: 14% HUL · 19% draw · 67% MUN  ·  expected goals 0.96–2.32

Last updated today at 12:19

Coventry City vs. Hull City

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Coventry City win

◀ Coventry win Hull City win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 21%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Coventry City crest
COV HUL 2.13 1.12 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.98 1.87 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1430 Weak 1398 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.49 1.49 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.00 0.46 Availability This eleven against the usual one
Hull City crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Coventry City lead it, 2.98 to 1.87. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat tends to win, in around 73% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callCoventry City to win: 60% against 19%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • For Coventry CityXI attacking output 2.98 v 1.87 (decisive); Goals 2.13 v 1.12 (clear); Elo performance 1430 v 1398 (slight).
  • For Hull CityAvailability 0.46 v 0.00 (clear).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L. Coventry City have no Premier League record.

NB Coventry City came up from the Championship, and we hold no Championship results, so their half of this comparison rests on the players rather than on past results. The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 4-3-3

Provisional starting XI

Hull City 4-3-3

Expected starting XI

  1. Rushworth
  2. Thomas
  3. Kitching
  4. van Ewijk
  5. Dasilva
  6. Mason-Clark
  7. Torp
  8. Tchaouna
  9. Awoniyi
  10. Thomas-Asante
  11. Simms
  1. TzolakisNEW0%
  2. AjayiNEW98%
  3. EganNEW96%
  4. McNairNEW62%
  5. GilesNEW42%
  6. DowellNEW96%
  7. BelloumiNEW0%
  8. MillarNEW0%
  9. McBurnieNEW81%
  10. DramehNEW27%
  11. TargettNEW20%

Likely subs Hamer, Onyeka, Rudoni, Kesler-Hayden, Grimes, Wilson, Bidwell

Likely subs Ömür, Akintola, Morita, Hjertø-Dahl, Stroud, Gourna-Douath, Crooks

Doubts Wright injured, Markelo unavailable, Bassette unavailable

Doubts Butland injured, Gelhardt injured, Burstow unavailable, Gyabi injured, Kamara unavailable, Morita doubtful, Matazo injured, Zambrano injured

Our call: 60% COV · 21% draw · 19% HUL  ·  expected goals 2.13–1.12

Last updated today at 12:19

The road ahead

The rest of Hull City's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 17:30 3 Aston Villa (H) 17% 21% 62% Lose 62%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Chelsea (A) 12% 18% 69% Lose 69%
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 5 Newcastle United (A) 13% 19% 68% Lose 68%
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 6 Everton (H) 22% 23% 55% Lose 55%
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 7 Fulham (A) 14% 20% 66% Lose 66%
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 8 Brentford (H) 25% 25% 50% Lose 50%
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 9 Ipswich Town (H) 42% 26% 32% Win 42%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Arsenal (A) 4% 9% 88% Lose 88%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 18% 21% 61% Lose 61%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Crystal Palace (A) 16% 20% 64% Lose 64%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Nottingham Forest (H) 23% 23% 54% Lose 54%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Bournemouth (A) 11% 18% 71% Lose 71%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 27% 25% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Manchester City (A) 4% 8% 88% Lose 88%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Liverpool (H) 14% 19% 67% Lose 67%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Leeds United (H) 23% 23% 53% Lose 53%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Sunderland (A) 16% 21% 63% Lose 63%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Nottingham Forest (A) 14% 19% 67% Lose 67%