Which Team Will Win?

Hull City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday 22nd November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Brighton & Hove Albion win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brighton win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Brighton & Hove Albion crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game HUL BHA D-D-L-D-L D-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 3.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-L-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.03 1.69 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 0.83 2.48 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.95 1.21 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Weak 1423 Strong 1596 Elo performance 1500 is average 75% 71% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.62 2.44 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 3.8 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Attack. This is the widest gap between them. Brighton & Hove Albion come out on top, 2.48 against 0.83. In matches like this, the side scoring more freely usually wins – about 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 52% against 23%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionGoal difference 3.00 v -0.40 (decisive); Attack 2.48 v 0.83 (decisive); Defence 1.21 v 1.95 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 71% (useful).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brighton & Hove Albion D-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 expected · 12 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 B. Verbruggen 44 Vuskovic 24 F.Kadıoğlu 29 M. De Cuyper 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 13 P. Groß 26 Y. Ayari 25 Gomez 14 Andrés 19 C. Kostoulas
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. B. Verbruggen98%
  2. Vuskovic98%
  3. F.Kadıoğlu98%
  4. M. De Cuyper97%
  5. O. Boscagli96%
  6. L. Dunk63%
  7. P. Groß98%
  8. Y. Ayari98%
  9. Gomez98%
  10. Andrés62%
  11. C. Kostoulas94%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs M. Yalcouyé, P. Struijk, J. Hinshelwood, M. O'Riley, Georginio, M. Svoboda, I. Osman

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts F. Azeez injured, P. Struijk doubtful, A. Cozier-Duberry unavailable, Z. Yohanna injured, Mitoma injured, Y. Minteh injured, S. Tzimas injured, F. Buonanotte unavailable

Our call: 23% HUL · 25% draw · 52% BHA  ·  expected goals 1.03–1.69

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ Hull CityBrighton ▸Goals
Long-run strength 0.71
Home advantage 0.27
Shots on target 0.18
Defence 0.08
XI attacking output 0.07
Settled eleven 0.01
Everything else 0.12
Brighton ahead by 0.66

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Brighton come out 0.66 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Brighton goals Hull City goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Hull City 0–0 Brighton: 7% Hull City 0–1 Brighton: 11% Hull City 0–2 Brighton: 9% Hull City 0–3 Brighton: 5% Hull City 0–4 Brighton: 2% Hull City 0–5 Brighton: <1% Hull City 0–6 Brighton: <1% Hull City 1–0 Brighton: 6% Hull City 1–1 Brighton: 12% Hull City 1–2 Brighton: 10% Hull City 1–3 Brighton: 5% Hull City 1–4 Brighton: 2% Hull City 1–5 Brighton: <1% Hull City 1–6 Brighton: <1% Hull City 2–0 Brighton: 4% Hull City 2–1 Brighton: 6% Hull City 2–2 Brighton: 5% Hull City 2–3 Brighton: 3% Hull City 2–4 Brighton: 1% Hull City 2–5 Brighton: <1% Hull City 2–6 Brighton: <1% Hull City 3–0 Brighton: 1% Hull City 3–1 Brighton: 2% Hull City 3–2 Brighton: 2% Hull City 3–3 Brighton: <1% Hull City 3–4 Brighton: <1% Hull City 3–5 Brighton: <1% Hull City 4–0 Brighton: <1% Hull City 4–1 Brighton: <1% Hull City 4–2 Brighton: <1% Hull City 4–3 Brighton: <1% Hull City 4–4 Brighton: <1% Hull City 5–0 Brighton: <1% Hull City 5–1 Brighton: <1% Hull City 5–2 Brighton: <1% Hull City 5–3 Brighton: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Hull City win, above it Brighton do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →