Which Team Will Win?

Bournemouth

Every published prediction involving Bournemouth, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Bournemouth finish 7th on about 55 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 18th 1 pts projected GW 2 · 17th 2 pts projected GW 3 · 15th 3 pts projected GW 4 · 12th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 14th 7 pts projected GW 6 · 12th 8 pts projected GW 7 · 11th 10 pts projected GW 8 · 12th 11 pts projected GW 9 · 11th 12 pts projected GW 10 · 10th 14 pts projected GW 11 · 7th 16 pts projected GW 12 · 7th 17 pts projected GW 13 · 8th 19 pts projected GW 14 · 6th 21 pts projected GW 15 · 7th 22 pts projected GW 16 · 7th 24 pts projected GW 17 · 7th 25 pts projected GW 18 · 7th 26 pts projected GW 19 · 7th 28 pts projected GW 20 · 7th 29 pts projected GW 21 · 7th 31 pts projected GW 22 · 7th 32 pts projected GW 23 · 6th 34 pts projected GW 24 · 7th 35 pts projected GW 25 · 7th 37 pts projected GW 26 · 7th 38 pts projected GW 27 · 7th 40 pts projected GW 28 · 7th 42 pts projected GW 29 · 7th 43 pts projected GW 30 · 7th 45 pts projected GW 31 · 7th 46 pts projected GW 32 · 7th 47 pts projected GW 33 · 7th 48 pts projected GW 34 · 7th 50 pts projected GW 35 · 7th 51 pts projected GW 36 · 7th 53 pts projected GW 37 · 7th 54 pts projected GW 38 · 7th 55 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Bournemouth have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth

Sunday 23rd August 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester City win

◀ Man City win Bournemouth win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 20%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Manchester City crest
MCI BOU D-W-W-D-L D-W-W-D-D Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 1.00 0.80 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-W-W-W-L D-W-W-W-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 1.20 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 56% 44% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.16 0.98 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 3.15 2.40 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 6.1 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 70% 73% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Exceptional 1724 Strong 1594 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.91 1.69 Attack Goals and expected goals per game
Bournemouth crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Manchester City: 3.15 to 2.40. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 74% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester City to win: 64% against 16%, with the draw at 20%. Confidence strong.
  • For Manchester CityShots on target 6.1 v 3.9 (decisive); Goals 2.16 v 0.98 (clear); Possession 56% v 44% (clear).
  • For BournemouthGK save rate 73% v 70% (slight); Home and away form D-W-W-W-D v D-W-W-W-L (marginal).
  • FormManchester City D-W-W-D-L, Bournemouth D-W-W-D-D.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Donnarumma98%
  2. O'Reilly98%
  3. Guéhi98%
  4. Khusanov98%
  5. Matheus N.98%
  6. Semenyo94%
  7. AndersonNEW81%
  8. Grealish81%
  9. Foden45%
  10. Savinho44%
  11. Haaland98%
  1. Petrović98%
  2. Hill98%
  3. Truffert98%
  4. Smith61%
  5. Diakité38%
  6. Tavernier98%
  7. Scott98%
  8. Rayan79%
  9. Adams47%
  10. Kluivert44%
  11. Evanilson95%

Likely subs Bettinelli, Rúben, Aït-Nouri, Gvardiol, Cherki, Lewis, N.Gonzalez

Likely subs Forster, Cook, Tóth.A, Brooks, Gannon-Doak, Soler, Rodríguez

Doubts Rodrigo unavailable, Doku injured, Phillips unavailable, Reijnders unavailable, Alleyne unavailable

Doubts Kroupi.Jr injured, Christie suspended, Adams doubtful, Milosavljević injured, J.Araujo injured, Brooks doubtful, Adli injured, Soler doubtful

Our call: 64% MCI · 20% draw · 16% BOU  ·  expected goals 2.16–0.98

Last updated today at 14:46

Bournemouth vs. Everton

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Bournemouth win

◀ Bournemouth win Everton win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 26%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Bournemouth crest
BOU EVE D-W-W-D-D L-D-D-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 0.80 -0.80 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-D-D-W-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 54% 46% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.57 1.21 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT — AGAINST THE CALL 1.45 1.44 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1594 Average 1522 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.69 1.25 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 73% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.9 4.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game
Everton crest

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Everton come out on top, 1.44 against 1.45. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 74% of the time. That cuts against our verdict. Bournemouth are tipped because they lead on recent form, goal difference and their home-and-away records. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBournemouth to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • For BournemouthGK save rate 73% v 62% (decisive); Goal difference 0.80 v -0.80 (clear); Home and away form D-D-D-W-D v L-D-L-D-L (clear).
  • For EvertonShots on target 4.8 v 3.9 (useful); XI defensive record 1.44 v 1.45 (marginal).
  • FormBournemouth D-W-W-D-D, Everton L-D-D-L-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Everton 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Petrović98%
  2. Hill98%
  3. Truffert98%
  4. Smith61%
  5. Diakité38%
  6. Tavernier98%
  7. Scott98%
  8. Rayan79%
  9. Adams47%
  10. Kluivert44%
  11. Evanilson95%
  1. Pickford98%
  2. Tarkowski98%
  3. Keane98%
  4. Mykolenko98%
  5. O'Brien96%
  6. Dewsbury-Hall98%
  7. Ndiaye98%
  8. JohnsonNEW79%
  9. Röhl77%
  10. Dibling39%
  11. Beto75%

Likely subs Forster, Cook, Tóth.A, Brooks, Gannon-Doak, Soler, Rodríguez

Likely subs Travers, Branthwaite, Barry, Patterson, Garner, Armstrong, George

Doubts Kroupi.Jr injured, Christie suspended, Adams doubtful, Milosavljević injured, J.Araujo injured, Brooks doubtful, Adli injured, Soler doubtful

Doubts Garner doubtful, Iroegbunam injured, Nørgaard injured

Our call: 45% BOU · 26% draw · 29% EVE  ·  expected goals 1.57–1.21

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

The road ahead

The rest of Bournemouth's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 12:30 3 Newcastle United (A) 30% 27% 43% Lose 43%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Brentford (H) 50% 26% 24% Win 50%
Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 5 Liverpool (H) 36% 26% 38% Lose 38%
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 6 Chelsea (A) 32% 27% 41% Lose 41%
Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 7 Sunderland (H) 50% 26% 24% Win 50%
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 8 Manchester United (A) 24% 25% 51% Lose 51%
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 9 Leeds United (H) 49% 25% 26% Win 49%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Ipswich Town (A) 55% 24% 21% Win 55%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Nottingham Forest (H) 48% 26% 26% Win 48%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Fulham (A) 34% 28% 38% Lose 38%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 42% 26% 32% Win 42%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Hull City (H) 71% 18% 11% Win 71%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Arsenal (A) 15% 21% 64% Lose 64%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Coventry City (H) 56% 24% 20% Win 56%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 40% 27% 33% Win 40%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Crystal Palace (A) 37% 27% 36% Win 37%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Aston Villa (H) 38% 26% 35% Win 38%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%