Which Team Will Win?

Ipswich Town vs. Bournemouth

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Bournemouth win

Ipswich Town crest
◀ Ipswich Town win Bournemouth win ▶ 23% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Bournemouth crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
IPS BOU L-W-L-W-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.01 1.84 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.23 2.92 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.76 1.19 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.88 1.12 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1388 Strong 1571 Elo performance 1500 is average 58% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved IPS BOU L-W-L-W-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.01 1.84 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.23 2.92 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.76 1.19 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.88 1.12 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1388 Strong 1571 Elo performance 1500 is average 58% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Bournemouth: 2.92 to 2.23. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBournemouth to win: 56% against 20%, with the draw at 23%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, the defence in front of them and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For BournemouthXI defensive record 1.19 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.12 v 1.88 (decisive); Elo performance 1571 v 1388 (clear).
  • For Ipswich TownHome and away form L-L-W-L-W v W-D-L-D-L (marginal); Goal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal); Goal difference at this venue -0.60 v -0.80 (marginal).
  • FormIpswich Town L-W-L-W-L, Bournemouth D-D-L-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailableBournemouth 4-2-3-1 expected · 6 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
1 Đ. Petrović 5 J. Hill 3 A. Truffert 14 A. Silva 15 A. Smith 37 Rayan 12 T. Adams 16 M. Tavernier 10 R. Christie 19 J. Kluivert 9 Evanilson
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%
  1. Đ. Petrović98%
  2. J. Hill98%
  3. A. Truffert98%
  4. A. Silva98%
  5. A. Smith97%
  6. Rayan98%
  7. T. Adams97%
  8. M. Tavernier95%
  9. R. Christie59%
  10. J. Kluivert39%
  11. Evanilson98%

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Likely subs M. Di Gregorio, Á. Rodríguez, D. Brooks, B. Diakité, B. Gannon-Doak, A. Adli, Sanchez

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Doubts A. Scott injured, W. Dennis unavailable, Kroupi.Jr injured, E. Ünal unavailable, Milosavljević injured, J.Araujo injured

Our call: 20% IPS · 23% draw · 56% BOU  ·  expected goals 1.01–1.84

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ Ipswich TownBournemouth ▸Goals
Long-run strength 0.77
Home advantage 0.28
Defence 0.08
XI attacking output 0.06
Shots on target 0.04
XI defensive record 0.04
Everything else 0.11
Bournemouth ahead by 0.83

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Bournemouth come out 0.83 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Bournemouth goals Ipswich Town goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Ipswich Town 0–0 Bournemouth: 6% Ipswich Town 0–1 Bournemouth: 10% Ipswich Town 0–2 Bournemouth: 10% Ipswich Town 0–3 Bournemouth: 6% Ipswich Town 0–4 Bournemouth: 3% Ipswich Town 0–5 Bournemouth: 1% Ipswich Town 0–6 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 1–0 Bournemouth: 6% Ipswich Town 1–1 Bournemouth: 11% Ipswich Town 1–2 Bournemouth: 10% Ipswich Town 1–3 Bournemouth: 6% Ipswich Town 1–4 Bournemouth: 3% Ipswich Town 1–5 Bournemouth: 1% Ipswich Town 1–6 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 2–0 Bournemouth: 3% Ipswich Town 2–1 Bournemouth: 5% Ipswich Town 2–2 Bournemouth: 5% Ipswich Town 2–3 Bournemouth: 3% Ipswich Town 2–4 Bournemouth: 1% Ipswich Town 2–5 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 2–6 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 3–0 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 3–1 Bournemouth: 2% Ipswich Town 3–2 Bournemouth: 2% Ipswich Town 3–3 Bournemouth: 1% Ipswich Town 3–4 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 3–5 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 3–6 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 4–0 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 4–1 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 4–2 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 4–3 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 4–4 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 5–0 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 5–1 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 5–2 Bournemouth: <1% Ipswich Town 5–3 Bournemouth: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Ipswich Town win, above it Bournemouth do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →