Which Team Will Win?

Nottingham Forest

Where we have Nottingham Forest finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Nottingham Forest finish 14th on 38 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 12th FUL · 0 pts14th SUN · 0 pts15th NFO · 0 pts16th CRY · 0 pts18th COV · 0 pts GW 2 11th SUN · 3 pts15th NFO · 1 pts16th FUL · 0 pts17th COV · 0 pts18th CRY · 0 pts GW 3 12th SUN · 4 pts13th CRY · 3 pts16th NFO · 2 pts19th FUL · 0 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 4 11th NFO · 5 pts14th SUN · 4 pts16th CRY · 3 pts18th FUL · 1 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 5 13th NFO · 5 pts14th SUN · 4 pts15th CRY · 4 pts18th COV · 3 pts19th FUL · 2 pts GW 6 12th CRY · 7 pts14th COV · 6 pts15th NFO · 5 pts17th SUN · 4 pts20th FUL · 2 pts GW 7 14th CRY · 7 pts17th COV · 6 pts18th FUL · 5 pts19th NFO · 5 pts20th SUN · 4 pts GW 8 · projected 13th FUL · 8 pts14th NFO · 8 pts16th SUN · 7 pts17th CRY · 7 pts19th COV · 6 pts GW 9 · projected 13th SUN · 10 pts17th FUL · 8 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 10 · projected 13th FUL · 11 pts15th SUN · 10 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 11 · projected 15th FUL · 11 pts16th SUN · 10 pts18th COV · 9 pts19th NFO · 8 pts20th CRY · 7 pts GW 12 · projected 13th SUN · 13 pts16th FUL · 11 pts17th CRY · 10 pts19th COV · 9 pts20th NFO · 8 pts GW 13 · projected 11th FUL · 14 pts14th SUN · 13 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 14 · projected 13th FUL · 14 pts14th SUN · 13 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 15 · projected 12th FUL · 17 pts14th SUN · 16 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 16 · projected 12th SUN · 19 pts13th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 17 · projected 13th SUN · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 18 · projected 13th SUN · 19 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 19 · projected 12th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 17 pts15th NFO · 17 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 20 · projected 13th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th COV · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 21 · projected 13th SUN · 22 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts18th COV · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 22 · projected 13th SUN · 25 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts19th CRY · 13 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 23 · projected 13th SUN · 25 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th CRY · 16 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 24 · projected 13th SUN · 25 pts14th NFO · 23 pts16th FUL · 20 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 25 · projected 13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 26 · projected 13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 27 · projected 13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 23 pts16th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 28 · projected 13th SUN · 28 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 29 · projected 13th FUL · 29 pts14th SUN · 28 pts15th NFO · 26 pts17th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 30 · projected 13th FUL · 29 pts14th SUN · 28 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 31 · projected 13th SUN · 31 pts14th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 32 · projected 13th FUL · 32 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 33 · projected 13th FUL · 32 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 34 · projected 13th FUL · 35 pts14th SUN · 31 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 35 · projected 13th FUL · 38 pts14th NFO · 32 pts15th SUN · 31 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 36 · projected 12th FUL · 41 pts14th NFO · 32 pts15th SUN · 31 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 37 · projected 12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 35 pts15th SUN · 31 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 38 · projected 12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 38 pts15th SUN · 31 pts16th CRY · 28 pts19th COV · 15 pts
Nottingham Forest Coventry City relegationSunderland relegationFulham relegationCrystal Palace relegation
Nottingham Forest solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 5 places behind our projection.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 8 places behind Projected 7thActual 15th GW 2 · 1 place behind Projected 14thActual 15th GW 3 · 4 places behind Projected 12thActual 16th GW 4 · 3 places ahead Actual 11thProjected 14th GW 5 · 1 place behind Projected 12thActual 13th GW 6 · 3 places behind Projected 12thActual 15th GW 7 · 5 places behind Projected 13thActual 18th GW 8 Projected 13th GW 9 Projected 13th GW 10 Projected 15th GW 11 Projected 15th GW 12 Projected 15th GW 13 Projected 15th GW 14 Projected 12th GW 15 Projected 13th GW 16 Projected 12th GW 17 Projected 14th GW 18 Projected 14th GW 19 Projected 13th GW 20 Projected 12th GW 21 Projected 13th GW 22 Projected 12th GW 23 Projected 12th GW 24 Projected 12th GW 25 Projected 12th GW 26 Projected 13th GW 27 Projected 14th GW 28 Projected 13th GW 29 Projected 13th GW 30 Projected 13th GW 31 Projected 13th GW 32 Projected 13th GW 33 Projected 13th GW 34 Projected 13th GW 35 Projected 13th GW 36 Projected 13th GW 37 Projected 13th GW 38 Projected 13th

Where Nottingham Forest actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal

Sunday 18th October 2026 (Kick Off: 16:30) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Arsenal win

0–1Full time

Nottingham Forest crest
◀ Forest win Arsenal win ▶ 21% draw chance bookmakers
Arsenal crest

Confidence: Strong

NFO ARS D-D-W-L-L W-W-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-L-D-L W-W-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 0.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 43% 57% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 0.89 2.01 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1506 Exceptional 1752 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.80 1.88 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 2.37 3.10 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.52 0.83 Defence Conceded per game 70% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.2 5.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game NFO ARS D-D-W-L-L W-W-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-L-D-L W-W-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 0.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 43% 57% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 0.89 2.01 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1506 Exceptional 1752 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.80 1.88 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 2.37 3.10 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.52 0.83 Defence Conceded per game 70% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.2 5.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Elo performance. No other measure separates them as clearly. Arsenal lead it, Exceptional to Average. the better-rated side normally comes out on top here – 75% of the time in recent seasons. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callArsenal to win: 63% against 16%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For ArsenalHome and away form W-W-W-W-L v D-D-L-D-L (decisive); Elo performance 1752 v 1506 (decisive); Possession 57% v 43% (decisive).
  • For Nottingham ForestNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormNottingham Forest D-D-W-L-L, Arsenal W-W-W-L-W.
Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 confirmedArsenal 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Confirmed starting XI

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 3 N. Williams 8 N. Domínguez 21 X. Schlager 27 D. Muñoz 14 D. Ndoye 24 J. McAtee 19 L. Delap
1 David Raya 33 R. Calafiori 6 Gabriel Magalhães 15 E. Konsa 4 B. White 39 Bruno Guimarães 41 D. Rice 10 E. Eze 8 M. Ødegaard 7 B. Saka 29 K. Havertz
  1. M. Sels
  2. Murillo
  3. O. Diomande
  4. Jair Cunha
  5. N. Williams
  6. N. Domínguez
  7. X. Schlager
  8. D. Muñoz
  9. D. Ndoye
  10. J. McAtee
  11. L. Delap
  1. David Raya
  2. R. Calafiori
  3. Gabriel Magalhães
  4. E. Konsa
  5. B. White
  6. Bruno Guimarães
  7. D. Rice
  8. E. Eze
  9. M. Ødegaard
  10. B. Saka
  11. K. Havertz

Substitutes O. Aina, C. Hudson-Odoi, A. Kalimuendo, John Victor, N. Milenković, L. Netz, I. Sangaré, C. Wood, R. Yates

Substitutes M. Dowman, V. Gyökeres, M. Lewis-Skelly, N. Madueke, Mikel Merino, I. Meslier, Cristhian Mosquera, J. Timber, Martín Zubimendi

Our call: 16% NFO · 21% draw · 63% ARS  ·  bookmakers: 17% / 25% / 59%  ·  expected goals 0.89–2.01

Last updated 18 Oct at 15:46

Ipswich Town vs. Nottingham Forest

Friday 23rd October 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Nottingham Forest win

Ipswich Town crest
◀ Ipswich Town win Forest win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Slight

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IPS NFO L-W-L-W-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.19 1.49 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 58% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1388 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.88 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 2.23 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven IPS NFO L-W-L-W-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.19 1.49 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 58% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1388 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.88 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 2.23 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven

The key stat: XI defensive record. This is the widest gap between them. Nottingham Forest lead it, 1.34 to 1.76. In matches like this, whoever fielded the more solid defence usually wins – about 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callNottingham Forest to win: 44% against 30%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, the defence in front of them and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 68% v 58% (decisive); XI defensive record 1.34 v 1.76 (decisive); Defence 1.42 v 1.88 (useful).
  • For Ipswich TownGoal difference -0.40 v -0.60 (marginal).
  • FormIpswich Town L-W-L-W-L, Nottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailableNottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Our call: 30% IPS · 26% draw · 44% NFO  ·  bookmakers: 31% / 27% / 42%  ·  expected goals 1.19–1.49

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Brentford vs. Nottingham Forest

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Brentford crest
◀ Brentford win Forest win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Fair

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BRE NFO D-D-W-D-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.67 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.78 1.42 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.54 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Above average 1559 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.8 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game 112% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven BRE NFO D-D-W-D-L D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches 0.40 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-D-W-L W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.00 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.67 1.16 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.78 1.42 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 74% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.54 1.34 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Above average 1559 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.8 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game 112% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: Defence. No other measure separates them as clearly. It goes to Nottingham Forest: 1.42 to 1.78. whoever was harder to score against normally comes out on top here – 68% of the time in recent seasons. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

Against the call – it leans Nottingham Forest's way, and the verdict still goes to Brentford, who lead on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the strength of this eleven against their usual one.

  • The callBrentford to win: 49% against 26%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the strength of this eleven against their usual one – the strongest pull the other way is a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For BrentfordGK save rate 74% v 68% (clear); XI strength vs usual 112% v 100% (useful); Goal difference 0.40 v -0.60 (useful).
  • For Nottingham ForestDefence 1.42 v 1.78 (useful); XI defensive record 1.34 v 1.54 (useful); Shots on target 4.2 v 3.8 (slight).
  • FormBrentford D-D-W-D-L, Nottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Brentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtfulNottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Our call: 49% BRE · 25% draw · 26% NFO  ·  bookmakers: 47% / 26% / 27%  ·  expected goals 1.67–1.16

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City

Saturday 7th November 2026 (Kick Off: 17:30) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester City win

Nottingham Forest crest
◀ Forest win Man City win ▶ 22% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Manchester City crest

Confidence: Strong

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NFO MCI D-W-L-L-L W-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-D-L-L D-D-W-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 1.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 44% 56% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.00 1.95 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1501 Exceptional 1758 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.57 3.12 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.53 2.03 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.34 1.53 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 68% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.2 4.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game NFO MCI D-W-L-L-L W-W-W-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-D-L-L D-D-W-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 1.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 44% 56% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.00 1.95 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1501 Exceptional 1758 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.57 3.12 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.53 2.03 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.34 1.53 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 68% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.2 4.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Elo performance. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Manchester City come out on top, Exceptional against Average. When this gap appears, the side carrying the stronger record tends to win, in around 75% of cases. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester City to win: 59% against 19%, with the draw at 22%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For Manchester CityHome and away form D-D-W-W-W v D-L-D-L-L (decisive); Elo performance 1758 v 1501 (decisive); Goal difference 1.60 v -0.60 (decisive).
  • For Nottingham ForestXI defensive record 1.34 v 1.53 (useful).
  • FormNottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L, Manchester City W-W-W-W-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtfulManchester City 4-2-3-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
1 G. Donnarumma 6 M. Guéhi 3 Rúben 27 Matheus N. 24 J. Gvardiol 5 E. Anderson 17 Enzo 7 I. Ndiaye 10 R. Cherki 42 A. Semenyo 9 E. Haaland
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%
  1. G. Donnarumma98%
  2. M. Guéhi98%
  3. Rúben98%
  4. Matheus N.79%
  5. J. Gvardiol65%
  6. E. Anderson81%
  7. Enzo80%
  8. I. Ndiaye79%
  9. R. Cherki73%
  10. A. Semenyo61%
  11. E. Haaland98%

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Likely subs N. O'Reilly, P. Foden, G. Rulli, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Aït-Nouri, J. Doku

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Doubts A. Semenyo doubtful, J. Monga unavailable, C. Echeverri unavailable, M. Alleyne unavailable, D. Mukasa unavailable, Rodrigo unavailable, T. Reijnders unavailable, K. Phillips unavailable

Our call: 18% NFO · 22% draw · 59% MCI  ·  expected goals 1.00–1.95

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Bournemouth win

Bournemouth crest
◀ Bournemouth win Forest win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Fair

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BOU NFO D-D-L-L-W D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-D-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.20 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.72 1.03 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.92 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1571 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.45 1.53 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 62% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.12 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 4.6 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game BOU NFO D-D-L-L-W D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-D-D-L-W W-L-D-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.20 0.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 50% 50% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.72 1.03 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.92 2.57 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1571 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.45 1.53 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 62% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.12 1.42 Defence Conceded per game 4.6 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is the widest gap between them. Bournemouth come out on top, 2.92 against 2.57. In matches like this, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat usually wins – about 72% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callBournemouth to win: 53% against 22%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target.
  • For BournemouthGoals 1.72 v 1.03 (useful); Defence 1.12 v 1.42 (useful); Elo performance 1571 v 1501 (slight).
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 68% v 62% (clear); Home and away form W-L-D-W-L v D-D-D-L-W (marginal); Attack 1.53 v 1.45 (marginal).
  • FormBournemouth D-D-L-L-W, Nottingham Forest D-W-L-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 expected · 6 unavailableNottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

1 Đ. Petrović 5 J. Hill 3 A. Truffert 14 A. Silva 15 A. Smith 37 Rayan 12 T. Adams 16 M. Tavernier 10 R. Christie 19 J. Kluivert 9 Evanilson
26 M. Sels 5 Murillo 3 N.Williams 27 Muñoz 2 O. Diomande 23 Jair Cunha 24 J. McAtee 21 X. Schlager 14 D. Ndoye 10 M. Gibbs-White 19 L. Delap
  1. Đ. Petrović98%
  2. J. Hill98%
  3. A. Truffert98%
  4. A. Silva98%
  5. A. Smith97%
  6. Rayan98%
  7. T. Adams97%
  8. M. Tavernier95%
  9. R. Christie59%
  10. J. Kluivert39%
  11. Evanilson98%
  1. M. Sels98%
  2. Murillo98%
  3. N.Williams98%
  4. Muñoz82%
  5. O. Diomande78%
  6. Jair Cunha59%
  7. J. McAtee98%
  8. X. Schlager98%
  9. D. Ndoye90%
  10. M. Gibbs-White60%
  11. L. Delap97%

Likely subs M. Di Gregorio, Á. Rodríguez, D. Brooks, B. Diakité, B. Gannon-Doak, A. Adli, Sanchez

Likely subs O. Aina, S. Benda, C. Hudson-Odoi, C. Wood, N. Milenković, A. Kalimuendo, I.Sangaré

Doubts A. Scott injured, W. Dennis unavailable, Kroupi.Jr injured, E. Ünal unavailable, Milosavljević injured, J.Araujo injured

Doubts M. Gibbs-White doubtful, T. Bindon unavailable, Igor Jesus injured, D. Bakwa unavailable, O. Hutchinson unavailable, Morato unavailable, N. Savona injured, Z. Abbott unavailable

Our call: 53% BOU · 24% draw · 22% NFO  ·  expected goals 1.72–1.03

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Nottingham Forest's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 2 of 5 of their decided matches so far; 2 were draws, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 45% 26% 29% WinConfidence: Slight 0–1
2 Sat 29 Aug, 12:30 Liverpool (A) 16% 21% 62% LoseConfidence: Strong 2–2
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 49% 26% 26% WinConfidence: Fair 0–0
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 27% 26% 47% LoseConfidence: Slight 2–1
5 Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 Coventry City (H) 60% 22% 17% WinConfidence: Strong 0–1
6 Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Crystal Palace (A) 35% 27% 38% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 1–3
7 Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 Arsenal (H) 16% 21% 63% LoseConfidence: Strong 0–1
8 Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 Ipswich Town (A) 44% 26% 30% WinConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Brentford (A) 26% 25% 49% LoseConfidence: Fair –
10 Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 Manchester City (H) 18% 22% 59% LoseConfidence: Strong –
11 Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 22% 24% 53% LoseConfidence: Fair –
12 Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 Chelsea (H) 36% 27% 38% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Hull City (A) 41% 27% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 33% 27% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 34% 26% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Everton (H) 40% 27% 33% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
17 Sun 27 Dec, 16:30 Manchester United (A) 21% 23% 56% LoseProjected: Fair –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 19:30 Newcastle United (A) 28% 26% 46% LoseProjected: Slight –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Fulham (H) 41% 27% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
20 Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 Hull City (H) 55% 24% 21% WinProjected: Fair –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 12% 19% 69% LoseProjected: Very strong –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Bournemouth (H) 33% 27% 40% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Chelsea (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseProjected: Fair –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Brentford (H) 40% 26% 34% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Fulham (A) 29% 27% 44% LoseProjected: Slight –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Manchester United (H) 32% 26% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Everton (A) 28% 26% 46% LoseProjected: Slight –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Newcastle United (H) 40% 26% 33% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 36% 27% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Aston Villa (H) 34% 27% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Leeds United (A) 32% 27% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Liverpool (H) 28% 26% 46% LoseProjected: Slight –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 47% 25% 27% WinProjected: Slight –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 22% 25% 54% LoseProjected: Fair –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 48% 25% 26% WinProjected: Slight –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Arsenal (A) 11% 18% 71% LoseProjected: Very strong –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Ipswich Town (H) 57% 23% 20% WinProjected: Fair –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Coventry City (A) 39% 27% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call