Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United
Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 1
Nottingham Forest win
Confidence: Slight
More statsLess
The key stat: XI attacking output. This is the widest gap between them. It goes to Leeds United: 2.80 to 2.38. In matches like this, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat usually wins — about 71% of the time. It points the other way to our call, though: we still favour Nottingham Forest, who lead on goal difference, their home-and-away records and goal difference in this setting. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.
- The callNottingham Forest to win: 44% against 30%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence slight.
- For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 75% v 62% (decisive); Goal difference 1.20 v 0.00 (clear); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v -0.40 (useful).
- For Leeds UnitedPossession 53% v 47% (useful); XI attacking output 2.80 v 2.38 (useful); XI defensive record 1.40 v 1.45 (marginal).
- FormNottingham Forest W-W-D-L-D, Leeds United D-W-D-W-L.
NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest 4-4-2
Expected starting XI
Leeds United 3-5-2
Expected starting XI
- Sels98%
- Aina98%
- Murillo97%
- Milenković83%
- N.Williams83%
- Gibbs-White81%
- I.Sangaré77%
- Hudson-Odoi76%
- Hutchinson59%
- Igor Jesus94%
- Wood59%
- TraffordNEW98%
- Justin98%
- Bijol97%
- Bogle96%
- Ampadu98%
- Stach98%
- Tanaka96%
- Aaronson77%
- Okafor75%
- Calvert-Lewin98%
- Nmecha27%
Likely subs John, Morato, Jair Cunha, Netz, Dominguez, Bakwa, Abbott
Likely subs Perri, Rodon, Wilson, James, Longstaff, Muharemović, Elvedi
Doubts Savona injured, Yates injured
Doubts Gudmundsson injured, Gruev injured, Bornauw unavailable, Harrison unavailable, Gnonto injured, Piroe unavailable, Mateo Joseph injured
Our call: 44% NFO · 25% draw · 30% LEE · expected goals 1.58–1.27
Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

