Which Team Will Win?

Nottingham Forest

Every published prediction involving Nottingham Forest, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Nottingham Forest finish 12th on about 50 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 7th 2 pts projected GW 2 · 13th 2 pts projected GW 3 · 11th 4 pts projected GW 4 · 14th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 10th 7 pts projected GW 6 · 11th 8 pts projected GW 7 · 12th 9 pts projected GW 8 · 11th 11 pts projected GW 9 · 12th 12 pts projected GW 10 · 13th 13 pts projected GW 11 · 13th 14 pts projected GW 12 · 13th 15 pts projected GW 13 · 12th 17 pts projected GW 14 · 12th 19 pts projected GW 15 · 12th 20 pts projected GW 16 · 12th 21 pts projected GW 17 · 12th 22 pts projected GW 18 · 12th 23 pts projected GW 19 · 12th 25 pts projected GW 20 · 9th 27 pts projected GW 21 · 12th 28 pts projected GW 22 · 12th 29 pts projected GW 23 · 12th 30 pts projected GW 24 · 11th 32 pts projected GW 25 · 11th 33 pts projected GW 26 · 10th 34 pts projected GW 27 · 11th 35 pts projected GW 28 · 11th 37 pts projected GW 29 · 10th 38 pts projected GW 30 · 11th 39 pts projected GW 31 · 11th 41 pts projected GW 32 · 12th 42 pts projected GW 33 · 11th 44 pts projected GW 34 · 12th 45 pts projected GW 35 · 12th 46 pts projected GW 36 · 12th 47 pts projected GW 37 · 12th 49 pts projected GW 38 · 12th 50 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Nottingham Forest have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Nottingham Forest vs. Leeds United

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 1

Nottingham Forest win

◀ Forest win Leeds United win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 25%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Nottingham Forest crest
NFO LEE W-W-D-L-D D-W-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) 1.20 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-D-W-D-D D-W-D-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 -0.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 47% 53% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.58 1.27 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT — AGAINST THE CALL 2.38 2.80 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 62% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.45 1.40 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Above average 1527 Average 1498 Elo performance 1500 is average 4.6 4.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game
Leeds United crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is the widest gap between them. It goes to Leeds United: 2.80 to 2.38. In matches like this, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat usually wins — about 71% of the time. It points the other way to our call, though: we still favour Nottingham Forest, who lead on goal difference, their home-and-away records and goal difference in this setting. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callNottingham Forest to win: 44% against 30%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence slight.
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 75% v 62% (decisive); Goal difference 1.20 v 0.00 (clear); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v -0.40 (useful).
  • For Leeds UnitedPossession 53% v 47% (useful); XI attacking output 2.80 v 2.38 (useful); XI defensive record 1.40 v 1.45 (marginal).
  • FormNottingham Forest W-W-D-L-D, Leeds United D-W-D-W-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

Expected starting XI

Leeds United 3-5-2

Expected starting XI

  1. Sels98%
  2. Aina98%
  3. Murillo97%
  4. Milenković83%
  5. N.Williams83%
  6. Gibbs-White81%
  7. I.Sangaré77%
  8. Hudson-Odoi76%
  9. Hutchinson59%
  10. Igor Jesus94%
  11. Wood59%
  1. TraffordNEW98%
  2. Justin98%
  3. Bijol97%
  4. Bogle96%
  5. Ampadu98%
  6. Stach98%
  7. Tanaka96%
  8. Aaronson77%
  9. Okafor75%
  10. Calvert-Lewin98%
  11. Nmecha27%

Likely subs John, Morato, Jair Cunha, Netz, Dominguez, Bakwa, Abbott

Likely subs Perri, Rodon, Wilson, James, Longstaff, Muharemović, Elvedi

Doubts Savona injured, Yates injured

Doubts Gudmundsson injured, Gruev injured, Bornauw unavailable, Harrison unavailable, Gnonto injured, Piroe unavailable, Mateo Joseph injured

Our call: 44% NFO · 25% draw · 30% LEE  ·  expected goals 1.58–1.27

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

Liverpool vs. Nottingham Forest

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 2

Liverpool win

◀ Liverpool win Forest win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 23%

Confidence: Fair

More statsLess
Liverpool crest
LIV NFO W-L-D-L-D W-W-D-L-D Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.20 1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-W-W-D-D D-W-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.80 1.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 57% 43% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.88 1.12 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Very strong 1635 Above average 1527 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.40 1.45 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 5.1 4.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 67% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.44 1.61 Defence Conceded per game
Nottingham Forest crest

The key stat: Elo performance. This is the widest gap between them. Liverpool come out on top, Very strong against Above average. In matches like this, the side carrying the stronger record usually wins — about 72% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callLiverpool to win: 55% against 22%, with the draw at 23%. Confidence fair.
  • For LiverpoolPossession 57% v 43% (decisive); Goals 1.88 v 1.12 (useful); Elo performance 1635 v 1527 (useful).
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 75% v 67% (clear); Goal difference 1.20 v -0.20 (clear); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v 0.80 (useful).
  • FormLiverpool W-L-D-L-D, Nottingham Forest W-W-D-L-D.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

Expected starting XI

  1. A.Becker98%
  2. Virgil98%
  3. Tsimikas94%
  4. Kerkez43%
  5. Frimpong42%
  6. Szoboszlai98%
  7. Mac Allister98%
  8. Gakpo98%
  9. Gravenberch79%
  10. C.Jones75%
  11. Isak42%
  1. Sels98%
  2. Aina98%
  3. Murillo97%
  4. Milenković83%
  5. N.Williams83%
  6. Gibbs-White81%
  7. I.Sangaré77%
  8. Hudson-Odoi76%
  9. Hutchinson59%
  10. Igor Jesus94%
  11. Wood59%

Likely subs Mamardashvili, Woodman, Wirtz, Ngumoha, Endo, Elliott, Chiesa

Likely subs John, Morato, Jair Cunha, Netz, Dominguez, Bakwa, Abbott

Doubts C.Jones doubtful, Bradley injured, Ekitiké injured, Bajcetic injured, Gomez injured, Danns injured, Jaros injured, Pecsi unavailable

Doubts Savona injured, Yates injured

Our call: 55% LIV · 23% draw · 22% NFO  ·  expected goals 1.88–1.12

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

The road ahead

The rest of Nottingham Forest's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 48% 26% 27% Win 48%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Aston Villa (A) 23% 24% 54% Lose 54%
Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 5 Coventry City (H) 52% 24% 24% Win 52%
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 6 Crystal Palace (A) 33% 26% 41% Lose 41%
Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 7 Arsenal (H) 21% 23% 56% Lose 56%
Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 8 Ipswich Town (A) 51% 25% 24% Win 51%
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 9 Brentford (A) 33% 27% 40% Lose 40%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Manchester City (H) 22% 22% 56% Lose 56%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Bournemouth (A) 26% 26% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Chelsea (H) 40% 26% 33% Win 40%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Hull City (A) 54% 23% 23% Win 54%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 37% 26% 37% Win 37%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Sunderland (A) 33% 27% 40% Lose 40%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Everton (H) 43% 26% 32% Win 43%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Manchester United (A) 20% 23% 57% Lose 57%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Newcastle United (A) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Fulham (H) 42% 27% 31% Win 42%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Hull City (H) 67% 19% 14% Win 67%