Which Team Will Win?

Crystal Palace

Every published prediction involving Crystal Palace, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Crystal Palace finish 14th on about 47 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 16th 1 pts projected GW 2 · 18th 2 pts projected GW 3 · 17th 3 pts projected GW 4 · 16th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 15th 6 pts projected GW 6 · 13th 8 pts projected GW 7 · 14th 9 pts projected GW 8 · 14th 10 pts projected GW 9 · 14th 11 pts projected GW 10 · 15th 12 pts projected GW 11 · 15th 14 pts projected GW 12 · 12th 16 pts projected GW 13 · 13th 17 pts projected GW 14 · 14th 18 pts projected GW 15 · 13th 19 pts projected GW 16 · 14th 20 pts projected GW 17 · 15th 21 pts projected GW 18 · 15th 22 pts projected GW 19 · 15th 23 pts projected GW 20 · 14th 25 pts projected GW 21 · 15th 26 pts projected GW 22 · 14th 27 pts projected GW 23 · 14th 29 pts projected GW 24 · 14th 31 pts projected GW 25 · 13th 32 pts projected GW 26 · 14th 33 pts projected GW 27 · 13th 35 pts projected GW 28 · 14th 35 pts projected GW 29 · 14th 37 pts projected GW 30 · 14th 39 pts projected GW 31 · 13th 40 pts projected GW 32 · 14th 41 pts projected GW 33 · 16th 41 pts projected GW 34 · 15th 43 pts projected GW 35 · 15th 44 pts projected GW 36 · 15th 45 pts projected GW 37 · 16th 46 pts projected GW 38 · 14th 47 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Crystal Palace have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Everton vs. Crystal Palace

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Everton win

◀ Everton win Crystal Palace win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 26%

Confidence: Slight

More statsLess
Everton crest
EVE CRY L-D-D-L-L L-D-L-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.80 -1.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-W-L-D-L W-L-L-L-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 47% 53% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.58 1.18 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT — AGAINST THE CALL 2.07 2.64 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 62% 65% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 4.8 3.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.47 1.70 Defence Conceded per game 1.44 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven
Crystal Palace crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Crystal Palace lead it, 2.64 to 2.07. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat tends to win, in around 73% of cases. Our call goes the other way — Everton are favoured on the strength of goal difference, their home-and-away records and goal difference in this setting. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callEverton to win: 46% against 28%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • For EvertonGoal difference at this venue 0.40 v -1.20 (clear); Shots on target 4.8 v 3.6 (useful); Home and away form W-W-L-D-L v W-L-L-L-D (useful).
  • For Crystal PalaceXI attacking output 2.64 v 2.07 (useful); Possession 53% v 47% (useful); GK save rate 65% v 62% (slight).
  • FormEverton L-D-D-L-L, Crystal Palace L-D-L-D-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Everton 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Pickford98%
  2. Tarkowski98%
  3. Keane98%
  4. Mykolenko98%
  5. O'Brien96%
  6. Dewsbury-Hall98%
  7. Ndiaye98%
  8. JohnsonNEW79%
  9. Röhl77%
  10. Dibling39%
  11. Beto75%
  1. Henderson75%
  2. Canvot98%
  3. Muñoz93%
  4. TomiyasuNEW80%
  5. Hughes92%
  6. Devenny81%
  7. McNeilNEW76%
  8. Kamada75%
  9. Sarr62%
  10. Lerma62%
  11. Strand Larsen76%

Likely subs Travers, Branthwaite, Barry, Patterson, Garner, Armstrong, George

Likely subs Chadi Riad, Mitchell, Richards, Yeremy, Wharton, Nketiah, Guessand

Doubts Garner doubtful, Iroegbunam injured, Nørgaard injured

Doubts Henderson doubtful, Cardines unavailable, Uche unavailable

Our call: 46% EVE · 26% draw · 28% CRY  ·  expected goals 1.58–1.18

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City

Friday 28th August 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester City win

◀ Crystal Palace win Man City win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 22%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Crystal Palace crest
CRY MCI L-D-L-D-L D-W-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -1.40 1.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) D-W-D-D-L D-W-W-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.00 0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 43% 57% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.09 2.02 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1518 Exceptional 1724 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.64 3.15 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.48 1.35 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.70 1.30 Defence Conceded per game 3.6 6.1 Exp: Shots on target Per game
Manchester City crest

The key stat: Elo performance. No other measure separates them as clearly. It goes to Manchester City: Exceptional to Average. the better-rated side normally comes out on top here — 75% of the time in recent seasons. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callManchester City to win: 58% against 20%, with the draw at 22%. Confidence strong.
  • For Manchester CityGoal difference 1.00 v -1.40 (decisive); Shots on target 6.1 v 3.6 (decisive); Elo performance 1724 v 1518 (decisive).
  • For Crystal PalaceNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormCrystal Palace L-D-L-D-L, Manchester City D-W-W-D-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Henderson75%
  2. Canvot98%
  3. Muñoz93%
  4. TomiyasuNEW80%
  5. Hughes92%
  6. Devenny81%
  7. McNeilNEW76%
  8. Kamada75%
  9. Sarr62%
  10. Lerma62%
  11. Strand Larsen76%
  1. Donnarumma98%
  2. O'Reilly98%
  3. Guéhi98%
  4. Khusanov98%
  5. Matheus N.98%
  6. Semenyo94%
  7. AndersonNEW81%
  8. Grealish81%
  9. Foden45%
  10. Savinho44%
  11. Haaland98%

Likely subs Chadi Riad, Mitchell, Richards, Yeremy, Wharton, Nketiah, Guessand

Likely subs Bettinelli, Rúben, Aït-Nouri, Gvardiol, Cherki, Lewis, N.Gonzalez

Doubts Henderson doubtful, Cardines unavailable, Uche unavailable

Doubts Rodrigo unavailable, Doku injured, Phillips unavailable, Reijnders unavailable, Alleyne unavailable

Our call: 20% CRY · 22% draw · 58% MCI  ·  expected goals 1.09–2.02

Last updated today at 14:46

The road ahead

The rest of Crystal Palace's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Fulham (A) 25% 26% 49% Lose 49%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Ipswich Town (H) 61% 22% 16% Win 61%
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 5 Leeds United (A) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%
Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 6 Nottingham Forest (H) 41% 26% 33% Win 41%
Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 7 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 23% 24% 52% Lose 52%
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 8 Newcastle United (H) 39% 26% 35% Win 39%
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 9 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 33% 27% 40% Lose 40%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Liverpool (H) 29% 26% 45% Lose 45%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Coventry City (A) 36% 26% 38% Lose 38%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Hull City (H) 64% 20% 16% Win 64%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Chelsea (A) 26% 26% 48% Lose 48%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Aston Villa (A) 21% 23% 56% Lose 56%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Manchester United (H) 29% 25% 46% Lose 46%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Sunderland (A) 31% 27% 42% Lose 42%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Arsenal (H) 19% 22% 58% Lose 58%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Bournemouth (H) 36% 27% 37% Lose 37%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Brentford (A) 31% 27% 42% Lose 42%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Chelsea (H) 38% 27% 35% Win 38%