Which Team Will Win?

Crystal Palace

Where we have Crystal Palace finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Crystal Palace finish 16th on 28 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 1st BHA · 3 pts7th IPS · 3 pts12th FUL · 0 pts15th NFO · 0 pts16th CRY · 0 pts GW 2 9th BHA · 3 pts12th IPS · 3 pts15th NFO · 1 pts16th FUL · 0 pts18th CRY · 0 pts GW 3 10th BHA · 4 pts13th CRY · 3 pts14th IPS · 3 pts16th NFO · 2 pts19th FUL · 0 pts GW 4 5th BHA · 7 pts10th IPS · 6 pts11th NFO · 5 pts16th CRY · 3 pts18th FUL · 1 pts GW 5 3rd BHA · 10 pts11th IPS · 6 pts13th NFO · 5 pts15th CRY · 4 pts19th FUL · 2 pts GW 6 3rd BHA · 13 pts10th IPS · 9 pts12th CRY · 7 pts15th NFO · 5 pts20th FUL · 2 pts GW 7 3rd BHA · 16 pts10th IPS · 9 pts14th CRY · 7 pts18th FUL · 5 pts19th NFO · 5 pts GW 8 · projected 3rd BHA · 16 pts12th IPS · 9 pts13th FUL · 8 pts14th NFO · 8 pts17th CRY · 7 pts GW 9 · projected 4th BHA · 16 pts15th IPS · 9 pts17th FUL · 8 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 10 · projected 4th BHA · 19 pts13th FUL · 11 pts16th IPS · 9 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts GW 11 · projected 4th BHA · 22 pts15th FUL · 11 pts17th IPS · 9 pts19th NFO · 8 pts20th CRY · 7 pts GW 12 · projected 4th BHA · 25 pts16th FUL · 11 pts17th CRY · 10 pts18th IPS · 9 pts20th NFO · 8 pts GW 13 · projected 5th BHA · 25 pts11th FUL · 14 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 14 · projected 5th BHA · 28 pts13th FUL · 14 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 15 · projected 4th BHA · 31 pts12th FUL · 17 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 16 · projected 4th BHA · 34 pts13th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 17 · projected 4th BHA · 37 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 18 · projected 4th BHA · 40 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 19 · projected 4th BHA · 43 pts14th FUL · 17 pts15th NFO · 17 pts19th CRY · 10 pts20th IPS · 9 pts GW 20 · projected 4th BHA · 46 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts19th IPS · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 21 · projected 4th BHA · 49 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts19th IPS · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 22 · projected 5th BHA · 49 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts18th IPS · 15 pts19th CRY · 13 pts GW 23 · projected 5th BHA · 52 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th CRY · 16 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 24 · projected 3rd BHA · 55 pts14th NFO · 23 pts16th FUL · 20 pts17th CRY · 19 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 25 · projected 4th BHA · 55 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 26 · projected 4th BHA · 58 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 27 · projected 4th BHA · 61 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 23 pts16th CRY · 22 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 28 · projected 4th BHA · 64 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 22 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 29 · projected 4th BHA · 67 pts13th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts17th CRY · 22 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 30 · projected 4th BHA · 70 pts13th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 31 · projected 4th BHA · 70 pts14th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 32 · projected 4th BHA · 73 pts13th FUL · 32 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 33 · projected 4th BHA · 76 pts13th FUL · 32 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 34 · projected 4th BHA · 79 pts13th FUL · 35 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 35 · projected 4th BHA · 82 pts13th FUL · 38 pts14th NFO · 32 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th IPS · 15 pts GW 36 · projected 4th BHA · 85 pts12th FUL · 41 pts14th NFO · 32 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th IPS · 15 pts GW 37 · projected 3rd BHA · 88 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 35 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th IPS · 15 pts GW 38 · projected 4th BHA · 88 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 38 pts16th CRY · 28 pts20th IPS · 15 pts
Crystal Palace Fulham mid-tableIpswich Town mid-tableNottingham Forest mid-tableBrighton & Hove Albion derby
Crystal Palace solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 1 place ahead of where we projected them by now.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 1 place ahead Actual 16thProjected 17th GW 2 Actual 18thProjected 18th GW 3 · 5 places ahead Actual 13thProjected 18th GW 4 · 1 place ahead Actual 16thProjected 17th GW 5 · 1 place ahead Actual 15thProjected 16th GW 6 · 2 places ahead Actual 12thProjected 14th GW 7 · 1 place ahead Actual 14thProjected 15th GW 8 Projected 14th GW 9 Projected 14th GW 10 Projected 14th GW 11 Projected 14th GW 12 Projected 13th GW 13 Projected 13th GW 14 Projected 14th GW 15 Projected 15th GW 16 Projected 15th GW 17 Projected 15th GW 18 Projected 15th GW 19 Projected 16th GW 20 Projected 15th GW 21 Projected 16th GW 22 Projected 16th GW 23 Projected 15th GW 24 Projected 14th GW 25 Projected 13th GW 26 Projected 15th GW 27 Projected 13th GW 28 Projected 15th GW 29 Projected 15th GW 30 Projected 14th GW 31 Projected 14th GW 32 Projected 15th GW 33 Projected 17th GW 34 Projected 16th GW 35 Projected 17th GW 36 Projected 16th GW 37 Projected 17th GW 38 Projected 16th

Where Crystal Palace actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Brighton & Hove Albion 5–0 Crystal Palace

Sunday 18th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
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Brighton & Hove Albion win

5–0Full time

Brighton & Hove Albion crest
◀ Brighton win Crystal Palace win ▶ 23% draw chance bookmakers
Crystal Palace crest

Confidence: Fair

BHA CRY L-D-W-W-W L-W-L-D-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.80 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-D-W L-D-L-W-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.40 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 61% 39% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.94 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.55 2.10 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1590 Average 1511 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.83 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.94 1.51 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 72% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 4.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game BHA CRY L-D-W-W-W L-W-L-D-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.80 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-W-D-W L-D-L-W-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 1.40 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 61% 39% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.94 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.55 2.10 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1590 Average 1511 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.83 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.94 1.51 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 72% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 4.3 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Defence. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brighton & Hove Albion lead it, 1.55 to 2.10. Historically, whoever was harder to score against takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callBrighton & Hove Albion to win: 56% against 21%, with the draw at 23%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target.
  • For Brighton & Hove AlbionPossession 61% v 39% (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.40 v -0.80 (decisive); Goal difference 1.80 v -0.20 (decisive).
  • For Crystal PalaceGK save rate 72% v 69% (slight).
  • FormBrighton & Hove Albion L-D-W-W-W, Crystal Palace L-W-L-D-W.
Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1 confirmedCrystal Palace 3-4-2-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 B. Verbruggen 21 O. Boscagli 5 L. Dunk 44 L. Vušković 24 F. Kadıoğlu 14 Chema Andrés 13 P. Groß 29 M. De Cuyper 26 Y. Ayari 25 D. Gómez 19 C. Kostoulas
44 W. Benítez 21 H. Ahanor 26 C. Richards 6 J. Canvot 3 T. Mitchell 23 Q. Timber 20 A. Wharton 25 A. Khalaili 10 Yéremy Pino 18 D. Kamada 22 J. Strand Larsen
  1. B. Verbruggen
  2. O. Boscagli
  3. L. Dunk
  4. L. Vušković
  5. F. Kadıoğlu
  6. Chema Andrés
  7. P. Groß
  8. M. De Cuyper
  9. Y. Ayari
  10. D. Gómez
  11. C. Kostoulas
  1. W. Benítez
  2. H. Ahanor
  3. C. Richards
  4. J. Canvot
  5. T. Mitchell
  6. Q. Timber
  7. A. Wharton
  8. A. Khalaili
  9. Yéremy Pino
  10. D. Kamada
  11. J. Strand Larsen

Substitutes J. Hadjam, J. Hinshelwood, Costinha, M. O'Riley, I. Osman, G. Rutter, J. Steele, M. Svoboda, M. Yalcouyé

Substitutes W. Hughes, J. Lerma, J. Mateta, R. Matthews, D. McNeil, Óscar Mingueza, E. Nketiah, D. Osorio, I. Sarr

Our call: 56% BHA · 23% draw · 21% CRY  ·  bookmakers: 61% / 21% / 18%  ·  expected goals 1.94–1.11

Last updated 18 Oct at 13:16

Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle United

Sunday 25th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Newcastle United win

Crystal Palace crest
◀ Crystal Palace win Newcastle win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Newcastle United crest

Knife-edge – Newcastle United shade it

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CRY NEW W-L-D-W-L D-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-L-L-W D-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 40% 60% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.38 1.44 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.68 1.51 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.84 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.97 2.34 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.20 1.01 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 67% 65% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Average 1505 Above average 1529 Elo performance 1500 is average CRY NEW W-L-D-W-L D-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-L-L-W D-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 40% 60% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.38 1.44 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.68 1.51 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.84 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.97 2.34 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.20 1.01 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 67% 65% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Average 1505 Above average 1529 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: Defence. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Newcastle United lead it, 1.51 to 2.68. When this gap appears, the side with the tighter defence tends to win, in around 66% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callKnife-edge – Crystal Palace 36%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 38%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Newcastle United comes from a cup tie in the other side's legs, the defence in front of them and the long-run strength gap.
  • For Newcastle UnitedPossession 60% v 40% (decisive); Defence 1.51 v 2.68 (decisive); XI defensive record 1.55 v 1.84 (clear).
  • For Crystal PalaceGoal difference -0.60 v -1.20 (slight); Goal difference at this venue -0.60 v -1.20 (slight); GK save rate 67% v 65% (slight).
  • FormCrystal Palace W-L-D-W-L, Newcastle United D-L-W-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1 expected · 10 unavailable · 1 doubtfulNewcastle United 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

44 Benitez 25 A. Khalaili 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 6 J. Canvot 21 H. Ahanor 20 A. Wharton 18 D. Kamada 23 Q. Timber 10 Yeremy 22 J. Strand Larsen
21 Horníček 3 L. Hall 12 M. Thiaw 4 S. Botman 11 H. Barnes 67 L.Miley 28 J. Willock 6 N.Gonzalez 23 J.Murphy 9 Y. Wissa 20 M. Fernandez-Pardo
  1. Benitez80%
  2. A. Khalaili98%
  3. C. Richards98%
  4. T. Mitchell97%
  5. J. Canvot80%
  6. H. Ahanor38%
  7. A. Wharton98%
  8. D. Kamada98%
  9. Q. Timber94%
  10. Yeremy91%
  11. J. Strand Larsen79%
  1. Horníček98%
  2. L. Hall98%
  3. M. Thiaw98%
  4. S. Botman98%
  5. H. Barnes98%
  6. L.Miley94%
  7. J. Willock74%
  8. N.Gonzalez72%
  9. J.Murphy55%
  10. Y. Wissa98%
  11. M. Fernandez-Pardo75%

Likely subs A. Disasi, D. Osorio, Lerma, J. Mateta, I. Sarr, E. Nketiah, D. McNeil

Likely subs Dedić, S. Steur, W. Osula, B. Touré, N. Pope, F. Schär, D. Burn

Doubts R. Cardines unavailable, T. Tomiyasu injured, D. Henderson doubtful, B. Chilwell injured, J. Devenny unavailable, R. Esse unavailable, C. Uche unavailable, M.França unavailable

Doubts A. Elanga injured, S. Neave unavailable, E. Jaouen injured, L. Shahar unavailable, T. Livramento injured, J.Ramsey injured, N. Woltemade unavailable, A.Murphy unavailable

Our call: 36% CRY · 26% draw · 38% NEW  ·  bookmakers: 34% / 26% / 40%  ·  expected goals 1.38–1.44

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Tottenham Hotspur vs. Crystal Palace

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 17:30) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Tottenham Hotspur win

Tottenham Hotspur crest
◀ Tottenham win Crystal Palace win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Crystal Palace crest

Knife-edge – Tottenham Hotspur shade it

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TOT CRY L-D-D-L-D W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 60% 40% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.44 1.30 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.13 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.27 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Below average 1454 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.5 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 2.30 1.97 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven TOT CRY L-D-D-L-D W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-W-L-D-L D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.40 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 60% 40% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.44 1.30 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.13 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.27 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Below average 1454 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 3.5 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 2.30 1.97 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven

The key stat: Defence. No other measure separates them as clearly. It goes to Tottenham Hotspur: 1.13 to 2.68. whoever was harder to score against normally comes out on top here – 69% of the time in recent seasons. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callKnife-edge – Tottenham Hotspur 40%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 34%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Tottenham Hotspur comes from home advantage, the defence in front of them and a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For Tottenham HotspurPossession 60% v 40% (decisive); Defence 1.13 v 2.68 (decisive); XI defensive record 1.27 v 1.84 (decisive).
  • For Crystal PalaceElo performance 1505 v 1454 (slight); Shots on target 3.9 v 3.5 (slight).
  • FormTottenham Hotspur L-D-D-L-D, Crystal Palace W-L-D-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1 expected · 16 unavailable · 1 doubtfulCrystal Palace 3-4-2-1 expected · 10 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Tottenham Hotspur 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

31 Kinsky 6 J. Van Hecke 37 Van de Ven 3 A. Robertson 16 S. Tonali 14 A. Gray 18 M. Fernandes 11 M. Tel 8 C. Gallagher 22 O. Marmoush 19 Solanke
44 Benitez 25 A. Khalaili 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 6 J. Canvot 21 H. Ahanor 20 A. Wharton 18 D. Kamada 23 Q. Timber 10 Yeremy 22 J. Strand Larsen
  1. Kinsky98%
  2. J. Van Hecke98%
  3. M. Van de Ven81%
  4. A. Robertson61%
  5. S. Tonali98%
  6. A. Gray64%
  7. M. Fernandes54%
  8. M. Tel39%
  9. C. Gallagher38%
  10. O. Marmoush80%
  11. Solanke57%
  1. Benitez80%
  2. A. Khalaili98%
  3. C. Richards98%
  4. T. Mitchell97%
  5. J. Canvot80%
  6. H. Ahanor38%
  7. A. Wharton98%
  8. D. Kamada98%
  9. Q. Timber94%
  10. Yeremy91%
  11. J. Strand Larsen79%

Likely subs D. Udogie, M. Kudus, J. Maddison, Tosin, M. Dubravka, B. Davies, Senesi

Likely subs A. Disasi, D. Osorio, Lerma, J. Mateta, I. Sarr, E. Nketiah, D. McNeil

Doubts R. Bentancur suspended, Sávio injured, Pedro Porro injured, A. Phillips unavailable, L. Bergvall injured, M. Mudryk injured, M. Moore unavailable, D. Kulusevski doubtful

Doubts R. Cardines unavailable, T. Tomiyasu injured, D. Henderson doubtful, B. Chilwell injured, J. Devenny unavailable, R. Esse unavailable, C. Uche unavailable, M.França unavailable

Our call: 40% TOT · 26% draw · 34% CRY  ·  bookmakers: 56% / 24% / 20%  ·  expected goals 1.44–1.30

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool

Sunday 8th November 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Liverpool win

Crystal Palace crest
◀ Crystal Palace win Liverpool win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Liverpool crest

Confidence: Fair

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CRY LIV W-L-D-W-L W-D-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-L-L-W L-D-W-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 40% 60% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.09 1.71 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.68 1.16 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.9 5.1 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.84 1.22 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Average 1505 Very strong 1641 Elo performance 1500 is average 67% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved CRY LIV W-L-D-W-L W-D-W-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 D-L-L-L-W L-D-W-W-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 0.40 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 40% 60% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.09 1.71 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.68 1.16 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.9 5.1 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.84 1.22 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Average 1505 Very strong 1641 Elo performance 1500 is average 67% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved

The key stat: Defence. This is the widest gap between them. Liverpool come out on top, 1.16 against 2.68. In matches like this, the side with the tighter defence usually wins – about 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callLiverpool to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, the defence in front of them and recent shots on target – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For LiverpoolPossession 60% v 40% (decisive); Defence 1.16 v 2.68 (decisive); XI defensive record 1.22 v 1.84 (decisive).
  • For Crystal PalaceNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormCrystal Palace W-L-D-W-L, Liverpool W-D-W-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1 expected · 10 unavailable · 1 doubtfulLiverpool 4-2-3-1 expected · 11 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

44 Benitez 25 A. Khalaili 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 6 J. Canvot 21 H. Ahanor 20 A. Wharton 18 D. Kamada 23 Q. Timber 10 Yeremy 22 J. Strand Larsen
1 A.Becker 4 Virgil 5 J. Jacquet 33 R. Araujo 6 M. Kerkez 7 F. Wirtz 10 A. Mac Allister 29 B. Barcola 23 V. Munoz 18 C. Gakpo 9 A. Isak
  1. Benitez80%
  2. A. Khalaili98%
  3. C. Richards98%
  4. T. Mitchell97%
  5. J. Canvot80%
  6. H. Ahanor38%
  7. A. Wharton98%
  8. D. Kamada98%
  9. Q. Timber94%
  10. Yeremy91%
  11. J. Strand Larsen79%
  1. A.Becker98%
  2. Virgil98%
  3. J. Jacquet98%
  4. R. Araujo93%
  5. M. Kerkez84%
  6. F. Wirtz96%
  7. A. Mac Allister82%
  8. B. Barcola79%
  9. V. Munoz75%
  10. C. Gakpo43%
  11. A. Isak76%

Likely subs A. Disasi, D. Osorio, Lerma, J. Mateta, I. Sarr, E. Nketiah, D. McNeil

Likely subs R. Gravenberch, R. Ngumoha, L. Koumas, J. Gomez, K. Tsimikas, Endo, G. Mamardashvili

Doubts R. Cardines unavailable, T. Tomiyasu injured, D. Henderson doubtful, B. Chilwell injured, J. Devenny unavailable, R. Esse unavailable, C. Uche unavailable, M.França unavailable

Doubts D. Szoboszlai injured, A. Pecsi unavailable, J. Frimpong injured, V. Jaros injured, G. Leoni injured, C. Ramsay unavailable, H. Ekitiké injured, C.Jones unavailable

Our call: 24% CRY · 25% draw · 51% LIV  ·  expected goals 1.09–1.71

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

Coventry City vs. Crystal Palace

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Coventry City win

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Crystal Palace win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Crystal Palace crest

Knife-edge – Coventry City shade it

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COV CRY L-L-L-W-W W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.42 1.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.54 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 61% 67% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.10 1.20 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 117% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven COV CRY L-L-L-W-W W-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.42 1.32 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.76 2.68 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1505 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.54 1.84 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 61% 67% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.9 Exp: Shots on target Per game 1.10 1.20 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 117% 100% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: Defence. No other measure separates them as clearly. Coventry City come out on top, 1.76 against 2.68. whoever was harder to score against normally comes out on top here – 73% of the time in recent seasons. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callKnife-edge – Coventry City 39%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 34%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Coventry City comes from home advantage, the defence in front of them and the strength of this eleven against their usual one.
  • For Coventry CityDefence 1.76 v 2.68 (decisive); XI strength vs usual 117% v 100% (clear); XI defensive record 1.54 v 1.84 (clear).
  • For Crystal PalaceGK save rate 67% v 61% (clear); Elo performance 1505 v 1433 (slight); Home and away form D-L-W-D-L v L-L-W (slight).
  • FormCoventry City L-L-L-W-W, Crystal Palace W-L-D-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtfulCrystal Palace 3-4-2-1 expected · 10 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
44 Benitez 25 A. Khalaili 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 6 J. Canvot 21 H. Ahanor 20 A. Wharton 18 D. Kamada 23 Q. Timber 10 Yeremy 22 J. Strand Larsen
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%
  1. Benitez80%
  2. A. Khalaili98%
  3. C. Richards98%
  4. T. Mitchell97%
  5. J. Canvot80%
  6. H. Ahanor38%
  7. A. Wharton98%
  8. D. Kamada98%
  9. Q. Timber94%
  10. Yeremy91%
  11. J. Strand Larsen79%

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Likely subs A. Disasi, D. Osorio, Lerma, J. Mateta, I. Sarr, E. Nketiah, D. McNeil

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Doubts R. Cardines unavailable, T. Tomiyasu injured, D. Henderson doubtful, B. Chilwell injured, J. Devenny unavailable, R. Esse unavailable, C. Uche unavailable, M.França unavailable

Our call: 39% COV · 26% draw · 34% CRY  ·  expected goals 1.42–1.32

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Crystal Palace's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 4 of 6 of their decided matches so far; 1 was a draw, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Sat 22 Aug, 15:00 Everton (A) 26% 24% 50% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–2
2 Fri 28 Aug, 20:00 Manchester City (H) 18% 21% 61% LoseConfidence: Strong 1–4
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Fulham (A) 29% 27% 45% LoseConfidence: Slight 3–2
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Ipswich Town (H) 56% 24% 20% WinConfidence: Fair 2–3
5 Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 Leeds United (A) 25% 25% 50% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–0
6 Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 38% 27% 35% WinConfidence: Knife-edge 3–1
7 Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 21% 23% 56% LoseConfidence: Fair 0–5
8 Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Newcastle United (H) 36% 26% 38% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 34% 26% 40% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge –
10 Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Liverpool (H) 24% 25% 51% LoseConfidence: Fair –
11 Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 Coventry City (A) 34% 26% 39% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge –
12 Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 Hull City (H) 50% 25% 25% WinProjected: Fair –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Chelsea (A) 21% 23% 56% LoseProjected: Fair –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Aston Villa (A) 19% 23% 58% LoseProjected: Strong –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Manchester United (H) 27% 24% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Sunderland (A) 30% 25% 44% LoseProjected: Slight –
17 Sun 27 Dec, 19:00 Arsenal (H) 15% 21% 64% LoseProjected: Strong –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 19:30 Bournemouth (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Brentford (A) 24% 24% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
20 Wed 6 Jan, 19:30 Chelsea (H) 31% 26% 43% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 14% 20% 65% LoseProjected: Strong –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 45% 26% 29% WinProjected: Slight –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Hull City (A) 37% 27% 37% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Coventry City (H) 47% 25% 27% WinProjected: Slight –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Brentford (H) 35% 26% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 19% 23% 59% LoseProjected: Strong –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 43% 26% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Arsenal (A) 8% 16% 76% LoseProjected: Very strong –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Fulham (H) 37% 26% 37% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Ipswich Town (A) 39% 26% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Everton (H) 35% 26% 38% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Manchester City (A) 10% 16% 74% LoseProjected: Very strong –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Manchester United (A) 17% 21% 62% LoseProjected: Strong –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Aston Villa (H) 30% 26% 44% LoseProjected: Slight –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (A) 26% 25% 48% LoseProjected: Slight –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 28% 26% 46% LoseProjected: Slight –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseProjected: Fair –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Leeds United (H) 39% 27% 34% WinProjected: Knife-edge –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call