Which Team Will Win?

Fulham

Every published prediction involving Fulham, newest first, frozen at kick-off as always.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Fulham finish 11th on about 51 points. Every other club is drawn faintly for context.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 10th 1 pts projected GW 2 · 7th 3 pts projected GW 3 · 6th 5 pts projected GW 4 · 10th 5 pts projected GW 5 · 13th 7 pts projected GW 6 · 10th 8 pts projected GW 7 · 7th 11 pts projected GW 8 · 6th 12 pts projected GW 9 · 7th 13 pts projected GW 10 · 8th 14 pts projected GW 11 · 11th 15 pts projected GW 12 · 11th 16 pts projected GW 13 · 10th 18 pts projected GW 14 · 11th 19 pts projected GW 15 · 10th 21 pts projected GW 16 · 10th 22 pts projected GW 17 · 11th 23 pts projected GW 18 · 11th 24 pts projected GW 19 · 11th 25 pts projected GW 20 · 11th 27 pts projected GW 21 · 11th 28 pts projected GW 22 · 10th 29 pts projected GW 23 · 11th 30 pts projected GW 24 · 12th 31 pts projected GW 25 · 12th 33 pts projected GW 26 · 12th 34 pts projected GW 27 · 12th 35 pts projected GW 28 · 13th 36 pts projected GW 29 · 13th 37 pts projected GW 30 · 13th 39 pts projected GW 31 · 14th 40 pts projected GW 32 · 13th 41 pts projected GW 33 · 13th 43 pts projected GW 34 · 13th 44 pts projected GW 35 · 11th 46 pts projected GW 36 · 11th 48 pts projected GW 37 · 10th 50 pts projected GW 38 · 11th 51 pts projected

Against pre-season expectations

Once Fulham have played a few matches, this chart will track where they actually are against where we projected them before a ball was kicked — green when they are running ahead of it, red when they are behind.

Next up

Fulham vs. Chelsea

Monday 24th August 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 1

whichteamwillwin.com

Too close to call

◀ Fulham win Chelsea win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 27%

Draw 27% · leans FUL by 7 points

More statsLess
Fulham crest
FUL CHE W-L-L-D-W L-L-D-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.20 -1.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) L-W-W-L-W W-L-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 49% 51% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.35 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.22 1.40 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 64% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.20 2.47 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.20 1.47 Defence Conceded per game 1.28 1.13 Attack Goals and expected goals per game
Chelsea crest

The key stat: XI defensive record. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. It goes to Fulham: 1.22 to 1.40. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the more solid defence tends to win, in around 69% of cases. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callToo close to call — Fulham 40%, draw 27%, Chelsea 33%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • For FulhamGK save rate 75% v 64% (decisive); Home and away form L-W-W-L-W v W-L-L-D-L (clear); Goal difference at this venue 0.60 v -0.80 (clear).
  • For ChelseaXI attacking output 2.47 v 2.20 (slight); Possession 51% v 49% (marginal).
  • FormFulham W-L-L-D-W, Chelsea L-L-D-W-L.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Leno98%
  2. Tete98%
  3. Bassey98%
  4. Castagne98%
  5. Robinson81%
  6. Berge97%
  7. Iwobi95%
  8. Smith Rowe93%
  9. Bobb42%
  10. Kevin42%
  11. Muniz60%
  1. Sánchez98%
  2. LacroixNEW98%
  3. Gusto98%
  4. Disasi98%
  5. Hato97%
  6. Palmer98%
  7. RogersNEW98%
  8. Enzo98%
  9. Neto98%
  10. Caicedo98%
  11. João Pedro98%

Likely subs Sessegnon, J.Cuenca, Reed, King, Kusi-Asare, Charles, Gonzalo

Likely subs B.Badiashile, N.Jackson, Colwill, Estêvão, James, Barco, Delap

Doubts Andersen suspended, Cairney injured

Doubts Fofana suspended, Welbeck doubtful, Jörgensen unavailable, Henderson doubtful, Chalobah unavailable

Our call: 40% FUL · 27% draw · 33% CHE  ·  expected goals 1.35–1.19

Last updated 19 Aug at 12:28

Sunderland vs. Fulham

Sunday 30th August 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Too close to call

◀ Sunderland win Fulham win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 27%

Draw 27% · leans SUN by 2 points

More statsLess
Sunderland crest
SUN FUL L-D-D-W-W W-L-L-D-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -0.40 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) L-W-L-D-W D-L-D-L-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.80 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 47% 53% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.32 1.27 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 66% 75% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.33 1.22 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven Average 1492 Above average 1532 Elo performance 1500 is average 4.0 3.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game 2.30 2.20 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven
Fulham crest

The key stat: GK save rate. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. It goes to Fulham: 75% to 66%. When this gap appears, whoever had the more reliable last line tends to win, in around 63% of cases. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callToo close to call — Sunderland 38%, draw 27%, Fulham 35%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • For SunderlandHome and away form L-W-L-D-W v D-L-D-L-D (useful); Shots on target 4.0 v 3.6 (slight); Goal difference at this venue -0.80 v -1.00 (marginal).
  • For FulhamGK save rate 75% v 66% (clear); Possession 53% v 47% (useful); XI defensive record 1.22 v 1.33 (slight).
  • FormSunderland L-D-D-W-W, Fulham W-L-L-D-W.

NB The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

  1. Roefs98%
  2. Mukiele98%
  3. Hume98%
  4. Alderete94%
  5. O'Nien84%
  6. E.Le Fée98%
  7. Xhaka98%
  8. Sadiki98%
  9. Angulo59%
  10. Rigg55%
  11. Brobbey96%
  1. Leno98%
  2. Tete98%
  3. Bassey98%
  4. Castagne98%
  5. Robinson81%
  6. Berge97%
  7. Iwobi95%
  8. Smith Rowe93%
  9. Bobb42%
  10. Kevin42%
  11. Muniz60%

Likely subs Reinildo, Ballard, Ellborg, Talbi, Diarra, Mundle, Seelt

Likely subs Sessegnon, J.Cuenca, Reed, King, Kusi-Asare, Charles, Gonzalo

Doubts Adingra injured, Masuaku unavailable, Hjelde unavailable, Patterson unavailable

Doubts Andersen suspended, Cairney injured

Our call: 38% SUN · 27% draw · 35% FUL  ·  expected goals 1.32–1.27

Last updated today at 09:41

The road ahead

The rest of Fulham's next 20 fixtures. These are projections from today's model, refreshed each time the season is re-projected — unlike the published predictions above, they are not frozen and do not count towards the track record.

Kick-offGWOpponentWinDrawLoseOur call
Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 3 Crystal Palace (H) 49% 26% 25% Win 49%
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 4 Liverpool (A) 21% 24% 55% Lose 55%
Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 5 Manchester United (H) 31% 26% 42% Lose 42%
Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 6 Ipswich Town (A) 51% 26% 24% Win 51%
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 7 Hull City (H) 66% 20% 14% Win 66%
Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 8 Coventry City (A) 38% 27% 35% Win 38%
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 9 Aston Villa (A) 23% 25% 52% Lose 52%
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 10 Newcastle United (H) 41% 27% 32% Win 41%
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 11 Manchester City (A) 13% 19% 68% Lose 68%
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 12 Bournemouth (H) 38% 28% 34% Win 38%
Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 13 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 35% 28% 37% Lose 37%
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 14 Everton (A) 30% 27% 43% Lose 43%
Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 15 Brentford (H) 45% 27% 28% Win 45%
Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 16 Leeds United (A) 32% 27% 42% Lose 42%
Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 17 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 37% 27% 36% Win 37%
Wed 30 Dec, 20:00 18 Arsenal (H) 21% 24% 55% Lose 55%
Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 19 Nottingham Forest (A) 31% 27% 42% Lose 42%
Wed 6 Jan, 20:00 20 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 48% 27% 26% Win 48%