Which Team Will Win?

Fulham

Where we have Fulham finishing, the matches they have next, and every call we have made about them this season – frozen at kick-off, right or wrong.

Projected league position, week by week

If the season plays out as the model expects, Fulham finish 12th on 44 points.

1st 4th 10th 17th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 6th CHE · 3 pts12th FUL · 0 pts15th NFO · 0 pts16th CRY · 0 pts18th COV · 0 pts GW 2 4th CHE · 6 pts15th NFO · 1 pts16th FUL · 0 pts17th COV · 0 pts18th CRY · 0 pts GW 3 4th CHE · 6 pts13th CRY · 3 pts16th NFO · 2 pts19th FUL · 0 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 4 6th CHE · 7 pts11th NFO · 5 pts16th CRY · 3 pts18th FUL · 1 pts20th COV · 0 pts GW 5 10th CHE · 7 pts13th NFO · 5 pts15th CRY · 4 pts18th COV · 3 pts19th FUL · 2 pts GW 6 6th CHE · 10 pts12th CRY · 7 pts14th COV · 6 pts15th NFO · 5 pts20th FUL · 2 pts GW 7 4th CHE · 13 pts14th CRY · 7 pts17th COV · 6 pts18th FUL · 5 pts19th NFO · 5 pts GW 8 · projected 4th CHE · 16 pts13th FUL · 8 pts14th NFO · 8 pts17th CRY · 7 pts19th COV · 6 pts GW 9 · projected 3rd CHE · 19 pts17th FUL · 8 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 10 · projected 3rd CHE · 22 pts13th FUL · 11 pts18th NFO · 8 pts19th CRY · 7 pts20th COV · 6 pts GW 11 · projected 3rd CHE · 25 pts15th FUL · 11 pts18th COV · 9 pts19th NFO · 8 pts20th CRY · 7 pts GW 12 · projected 3rd CHE · 28 pts16th FUL · 11 pts17th CRY · 10 pts19th COV · 9 pts20th NFO · 8 pts GW 13 · projected 3rd CHE · 31 pts11th FUL · 14 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 14 · projected 3rd CHE · 31 pts13th FUL · 14 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 15 · projected 5th CHE · 31 pts12th FUL · 17 pts17th COV · 12 pts18th NFO · 11 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 16 · projected 5th CHE · 34 pts13th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 17 · projected 5th CHE · 37 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 18 · projected 5th CHE · 40 pts14th FUL · 17 pts16th NFO · 14 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 19 · projected 5th CHE · 43 pts14th FUL · 17 pts15th NFO · 17 pts18th COV · 12 pts19th CRY · 10 pts GW 20 · projected 5th CHE · 46 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th COV · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 21 · projected 5th CHE · 49 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts18th COV · 12 pts20th CRY · 10 pts GW 22 · projected 3rd CHE · 52 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts19th CRY · 13 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 23 · projected 3rd CHE · 55 pts14th FUL · 20 pts15th NFO · 20 pts17th CRY · 16 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 24 · projected 4th CHE · 55 pts14th NFO · 23 pts16th FUL · 20 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 25 · projected 5th CHE · 55 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 26 · projected 5th CHE · 58 pts14th FUL · 23 pts15th NFO · 23 pts17th CRY · 19 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 27 · projected 5th CHE · 58 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 23 pts16th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 28 · projected 5th CHE · 61 pts14th FUL · 26 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 29 · projected 5th CHE · 61 pts13th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts17th CRY · 22 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 30 · projected 5th CHE · 64 pts13th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 31 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts14th FUL · 29 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 32 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts13th FUL · 32 pts15th NFO · 26 pts16th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 33 · projected 5th CHE · 67 pts13th FUL · 32 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 34 · projected 6th CHE · 67 pts13th FUL · 35 pts15th NFO · 29 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 35 · projected 6th CHE · 70 pts13th FUL · 38 pts14th NFO · 32 pts17th CRY · 25 pts20th COV · 12 pts GW 36 · projected 6th CHE · 73 pts12th FUL · 41 pts14th NFO · 32 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 37 · projected 7th CHE · 73 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 35 pts17th CRY · 25 pts19th COV · 15 pts GW 38 · projected 7th CHE · 76 pts12th FUL · 44 pts14th NFO · 38 pts16th CRY · 28 pts19th COV · 15 pts
Fulham Crystal Palace mid-tableNottingham Forest mid-tableCoventry City mid-tableChelsea derby
Fulham solid to the last match played, dashed for the forecast. Rivals are dotted throughout, with a dot on their last match played. The white lines are the ones a season is played against – the title, the Champions League places, Europe, and the drop.

Real results so far plus a called outcome for every match still to play, recalculated as results come in. Drawn beside them are the clubs they are actually racing: their usual rivals, and whoever this season has put them in the same fight with. Point at any gameweek for every club's position and points.

Against pre-season expectations

They are 9 places behind our projection.

1st 10th 20th 1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 Gameweek GW 1 · 2 places behind Projected 10thActual 12th GW 2 · 7 places behind Projected 9thActual 16th GW 3 · 13 places behind Projected 6thActual 19th GW 4 · 7 places behind Projected 11thActual 18th GW 5 · 8 places behind Projected 11thActual 19th GW 6 · 10 places behind Projected 10thActual 20th GW 7 · 9 places behind Projected 8thActual 17th GW 8 Projected 6th GW 9 Projected 8th GW 10 Projected 9th GW 11 Projected 11th GW 12 Projected 11th GW 13 Projected 11th GW 14 Projected 11th GW 15 Projected 11th GW 16 Projected 11th GW 17 Projected 11th GW 18 Projected 11th GW 19 Projected 11th GW 20 Projected 11th GW 21 Projected 11th GW 22 Projected 11th GW 23 Projected 11th GW 24 Projected 11th GW 25 Projected 11th GW 26 Projected 11th GW 27 Projected 11th GW 28 Projected 12th GW 29 Projected 12th GW 30 Projected 12th GW 31 Projected 12th GW 32 Projected 12th GW 33 Projected 12th GW 34 Projected 11th GW 35 Projected 11th GW 36 Projected 11th GW 37 Projected 11th GW 38 Projected 11th

Where Fulham actually are, week by week, against where the pre-season projection had them – shaded green while they run ahead of it, red while they run behind. Point at any gameweek for both figures.

Next up

Fulham 1–0 Hull City

Saturday 17th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 7 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
MoreLess

Fulham win

1–0Full time

Fulham crest
◀ Fulham win Hull City win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Hull City crest

Confidence: Fair

FUL HUL L-L-D-D-L W-D-D-L-D Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.69 1.04 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.53 2.04 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Average 1494 Weak 1429 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.54 0.96 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.52 1.82 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 4.1 3.5 Exp: Shots on target Per game FUL HUL L-L-D-D-L W-D-D-L-D Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D D-L-W-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.69 1.04 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.53 2.04 Defence Conceded per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Average 1494 Weak 1429 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.43 1.48 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.54 0.96 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 69% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.52 1.82 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 4.1 3.5 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Defence. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Fulham come out on top, 1.53 against 2.04. Historically, whoever was harder to score against takes these roughly 73% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callFulham to win: 52% against 23%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and recent shots on target.
  • For FulhamAttack 1.54 v 0.96 (clear); Defence 1.53 v 2.04 (clear); XI attacking output 2.52 v 1.82 (clear).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 74% v 69% (useful); Goal difference 0.00 v -0.60 (slight); Home and away form D-L-W-D-L v L-W-L-L-D (marginal).
  • FormFulham L-L-D-D-L, Hull City W-D-D-L-D.
Fulham 4-2-3-1 confirmedHull City 5-4-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Hull City 5-4-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 B. Leno 33 A. Robinson 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 16 S. Berge 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 7 Gonzalo García
19 K. Tzolakis 22 Herrington 15 J. Egan 6 S. Ajayi 18 Norton-Cuffy 2 L. Coyle 7 S. Thomas 27 R. Slater 25 M. Crooks 10 M. Belloumi 9 O. McBurnie
  1. B. Leno
  2. A. Robinson
  3. C. Bassey
  4. D. Affengruber
  5. T. Castagne
  6. S. Charles
  7. S. Berge
  8. A. Iwobi
  9. J. King
  10. O. Bobb
  11. Gonzalo García
  1. K. Tzolakis
  2. L. Herrington
  3. J. Egan
  4. S. Ajayi
  5. B. Norton-Cuffy
  6. L. Coyle
  7. S. Thomas
  8. R. Slater
  9. M. Crooks
  10. M. Belloumi
  11. O. McBurnie

Substitutes J. Andersen, T. Cairney, B. Lecomte, Manuel Ángel, Rodrigo Muniz, César Palacios, Kevin, R. Sessegnon, K. Tete

Substitutes P. McNair, J. Gelhardt, R. Giles, J. Hjertø-Dahl, T. Iroegbunam, H. Morita, D. Phillips, E. Stroud, R. Vaz

Our call: 52% FUL · 25% draw · 23% HUL  ·  bookmakers: 55% / 24% / 21%  ·  expected goals 1.69–1.04

Last updated 17 Oct at 14:09

Coventry City vs. Fulham

Saturday 24th October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Fulham win

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Fulham win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Fulham crest

Confidence: Slight

MoreLess
COV FUL L-L-L-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.15 1.50 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.54 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.76 1.20 Defence Conceded per game 61% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.20 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.10 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 3.7 4.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game COV FUL L-L-L-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches -0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.00 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.15 1.50 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.54 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Weak 1433 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.76 1.20 Defence Conceded per game 61% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.20 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.10 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 3.7 4.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. It goes to Fulham: 1.25 to 1.54. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 74% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callFulham to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, recent shots on target and the defence in front of them – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For FulhamGK save rate 69% v 61% (clear); Defence 1.20 v 1.76 (clear); XI defensive record 1.25 v 1.54 (clear).
  • For Coventry CityHome and away form L-L-W v L-D-L-D-L (marginal).
  • FormCoventry City L-L-L-W-W, Fulham L-D-D-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 3-4-2-1 expected · 11 unavailable · 1 doubtfulFulham 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 3-4-2-1

Expected starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 4 B. Thomas 3 J. Dasilva 2 E. Pinnock 27 M. van Ewijk 21 J. Bidwell 6 M. Grimes 5 J. Rudoni 10 E. Mason-Clark 8 C. Yirenkyi 14 T. Awoniyi
1 B. Leno 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 33 A. Robinson 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 16 S. Berge 7 Gonzalo
  1. C. Rushworth98%
  2. B. Thomas98%
  3. J. Dasilva98%
  4. E. Pinnock81%
  5. M. van Ewijk80%
  6. J. BidwellNEW40%
  7. M. Grimes98%
  8. J. Rudoni92%
  9. E. Mason-Clark86%
  10. C. Yirenkyi61%
  11. T. Awoniyi55%
  1. B. Leno98%
  2. C. Bassey98%
  3. D. Affengruber80%
  4. A. Robinson79%
  5. T. Castagne78%
  6. S. Charles97%
  7. A. Iwobi96%
  8. J. King95%
  9. O. Bobb92%
  10. S. Berge81%
  11. Gonzalo97%

Likely subs Y. Gboho, F. Onyeka, B. Thomas-Asante, B. Wilson, V. Torp, G. Hamer, E. Simms

Likely subs B. Lecomte, Muniz, C. Palacios, Kevin, J. Andersen, Ángel, T. Cairney

Doubts A. Amenda injured, H. Wright injured, L. Kitching unavailable, M. Brau unavailable, J. Markelo unavailable, O. Dovin unavailable, J. Eccles injured, K. Kesler-Hayden doubtful

Doubts R. Sessegnon suspended, A. McNally unavailable, L. De Fougerolles unavailable, H. Larsson doubtful

Our call: 29% COV · 26% draw · 45% FUL  ·  bookmakers: 33% / 27% / 41%  ·  expected goals 1.15–1.50

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Aston Villa vs. Fulham

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 20:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Aston Villa win

Aston Villa crest
◀ Aston Villa win Fulham win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Fulham crest

Confidence: Fair

MoreLess
AVL FUL D-L-W-D-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 0.20 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 48% 52% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.72 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.36 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1598 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 72% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.05 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.30 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game AVL FUL D-L-W-D-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 0.20 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-L-L-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.20 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 48% 52% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.72 1.11 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 1.36 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE Strong 1598 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average 72% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.05 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.30 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game

The key stat: XI defensive record. This is the widest gap between them. Fulham lead it, 1.25 to 1.36. In matches like this, whoever fielded the more solid defence usually wins – about 74% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

Against the call – it favours Fulham; Aston Villa are tipped because they lead on the long-run strength gap and home advantage.

  • The callAston Villa to win: 51% against 24%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap and home advantage – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Aston VillaElo performance 1598 v 1501 (useful); Goals 1.72 v 1.11 (useful); Goal difference at this venue -0.20 v -1.00 (useful).
  • For FulhamXI attacking output 2.68 v 2.05 (useful); Possession 52% v 48% (slight); XI defensive record 1.25 v 1.36 (slight).
  • FormAston Villa D-L-W-D-W, Fulham L-D-D-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 expected · 9 unavailable · 3 doubtfulFulham 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 Z. Suzuki 3 V. Lindelöf 5 T. Mings 2 M. Cash 29 Wan-Bissaka 8 B. Kamara 10 Buendía 7 J. McGinn 35 J. Gomes 44 J. Manzambi 11 N.Jackson
1 B. Leno 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 33 A. Robinson 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 16 S. Berge 7 Gonzalo
  1. Z. Suzuki98%
  2. V. Lindelöf98%
  3. T. Mings86%
  4. M. Cash63%
  5. A. Wan-Bissaka44%
  6. B. Kamara98%
  7. Buendía92%
  8. J. McGinn83%
  9. J. Gomes58%
  10. J. Manzambi44%
  11. N.Jackson95%
  1. B. Leno98%
  2. C. Bassey98%
  3. D. Affengruber80%
  4. A. Robinson79%
  5. T. Castagne78%
  6. S. Charles97%
  7. A. Iwobi96%
  8. J. King95%
  9. O. Bobb92%
  10. S. Berge81%
  11. Gonzalo97%

Likely subs R. Barkley, T. Harwood-Bellis, L. Goretzka, G. Hemmings, I. Mbaye, B. Madjo, L. Bogarde

Likely subs B. Lecomte, Muniz, C. Palacios, Kevin, J. Andersen, Ángel, T. Cairney

Doubts A. Wan-Bissaka doubtful, J. Manzambi doubtful, I. Maatsen injured, M. Ruggeri injured, G. Hemmings doubtful, Iling Jr unavailable, L. Lynch unavailable, O. Watkins unavailable

Doubts R. Sessegnon suspended, A. McNally unavailable, L. De Fougerolles unavailable, H. Larsson doubtful

Our call: 51% AVL · 25% draw · 24% FUL  ·  bookmakers: 47% / 26% / 27%  ·  expected goals 1.72–1.11

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Fulham vs. Newcastle United

Saturday 7th November 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 10

whichteamwillwin.com

Fulham win

Fulham crest
◀ Fulham win Newcastle win ▶ 27% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Newcastle United crest

Knife-edge – Fulham shade it

MoreLess
FUL NEW L-D-D-L-W D-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.20 -1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-L-D-W D-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 51% 49% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.41 1.25 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.50 1.01 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.25 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 69% 65% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.68 2.34 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.20 1.51 Defence Conceded per game FUL NEW L-D-D-L-W D-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.20 -1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 W-L-L-D-W D-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 51% 49% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.41 1.25 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.50 1.01 Attack Goals and expected goals per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.25 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 69% 65% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.68 2.34 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.20 1.51 Defence Conceded per game

The key stat: Attack. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Fulham lead it, 1.50 to 1.01. When this gap appears, the side scoring more freely tends to win, in around 72% of cases. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callKnife-edge – Fulham 40%, draw 27%, Newcastle United 33%. The gap between the two sides is smaller than the chance of a draw.
  • WhyThe lean to Fulham comes from home advantage, the defence in front of them and what this eleven creates.
  • For FulhamXI defensive record 1.25 v 1.55 (clear); Goal difference at this venue 0.20 v -1.20 (clear); Attack 1.50 v 1.01 (useful).
  • For Newcastle UnitedNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormFulham L-D-D-L-W, Newcastle United D-L-W-L-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Fulham 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable · 1 doubtfulNewcastle United 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 B. Leno 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 33 A. Robinson 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 16 S. Berge 7 Gonzalo
21 Horníček 3 L. Hall 12 M. Thiaw 4 S. Botman 11 H. Barnes 67 L.Miley 28 J. Willock 6 N.Gonzalez 23 J.Murphy 9 Y. Wissa 20 M. Fernandez-Pardo
  1. B. Leno98%
  2. C. Bassey98%
  3. D. Affengruber80%
  4. A. Robinson79%
  5. T. Castagne78%
  6. S. Charles97%
  7. A. Iwobi96%
  8. J. King95%
  9. O. Bobb92%
  10. S. Berge81%
  11. Gonzalo97%
  1. Horníček98%
  2. L. Hall98%
  3. M. Thiaw98%
  4. S. Botman98%
  5. H. Barnes98%
  6. L.Miley94%
  7. J. Willock74%
  8. N.Gonzalez72%
  9. J.Murphy55%
  10. Y. Wissa98%
  11. M. Fernandez-Pardo75%

Likely subs B. Lecomte, Muniz, C. Palacios, Kevin, J. Andersen, Ángel, T. Cairney

Likely subs Dedić, S. Steur, W. Osula, B. Touré, N. Pope, F. Schär, D. Burn

Doubts R. Sessegnon suspended, A. McNally unavailable, L. De Fougerolles unavailable, H. Larsson doubtful

Doubts A. Elanga injured, S. Neave unavailable, E. Jaouen injured, L. Shahar unavailable, T. Livramento injured, J.Ramsey injured, N. Woltemade unavailable, A.Murphy unavailable

Our call: 40% FUL · 27% draw · 33% NEW  ·  expected goals 1.41–1.25

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 10:57

Manchester City vs. Fulham

Saturday 21st November 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 11

whichteamwillwin.com

Manchester City win

Manchester City crest
◀ Man City win Fulham win ▶ 19% draw chance bookmakers · odds TBC
Fulham crest

Confidence: Strong

MoreLess
MCI FUL W-W-W-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-W-W-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 51% 49% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.20 0.88 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1758 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.12 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 2.03 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 75% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.53 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven MCI FUL W-W-W-W-W L-D-D-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches 1.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-W-W-W-W L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 -1.00 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 51% 49% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.20 0.88 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Exceptional 1758 Average 1501 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 3.12 2.68 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 2.03 1.50 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 75% 69% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.53 1.25 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven

The key stat: Elo performance. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Manchester City lead it, Exceptional to Average. When this gap appears, the side carrying the stronger record tends to win, in around 75% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callManchester City to win: 67% against 14%, with the draw at 19%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and what this eleven creates – the strongest pull the other way is changes in the other camp.
  • For Manchester CityHome and away form L-W-W-W-W v L-D-L-D-L (decisive); Elo performance 1758 v 1501 (decisive); Goals 2.20 v 0.88 (decisive).
  • For FulhamXI defensive record 1.25 v 1.53 (clear).
  • FormManchester City W-W-W-W-W, Fulham L-D-D-L-W.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Manchester City 4-2-3-1 expected · 7 unavailable · 1 doubtfulFulham 4-2-3-1 expected · 3 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

1 G. Donnarumma 6 M. Guéhi 3 Rúben 27 Matheus N. 24 J. Gvardiol 5 E. Anderson 17 Enzo 7 I. Ndiaye 10 R. Cherki 42 A. Semenyo 9 E. Haaland
1 B. Leno 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 33 A. Robinson 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 16 S. Berge 7 Gonzalo
  1. G. Donnarumma98%
  2. M. Guéhi98%
  3. Rúben98%
  4. Matheus N.79%
  5. J. Gvardiol65%
  6. E. Anderson81%
  7. Enzo80%
  8. I. Ndiaye79%
  9. R. Cherki73%
  10. A. Semenyo61%
  11. E. Haaland98%
  1. B. Leno98%
  2. C. Bassey98%
  3. D. Affengruber80%
  4. A. Robinson79%
  5. T. Castagne78%
  6. S. Charles97%
  7. A. Iwobi96%
  8. J. King95%
  9. O. Bobb92%
  10. S. Berge81%
  11. Gonzalo97%

Likely subs N. O'Reilly, P. Foden, G. Rulli, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Aït-Nouri, J. Doku

Likely subs B. Lecomte, Muniz, C. Palacios, Kevin, J. Andersen, Ángel, T. Cairney

Doubts A. Semenyo doubtful, J. Monga unavailable, C. Echeverri unavailable, M. Alleyne unavailable, D. Mukasa unavailable, Rodrigo unavailable, T. Reijnders unavailable, K. Phillips unavailable

Doubts R. Sessegnon suspended, A. McNally unavailable, L. De Fougerolles unavailable, H. Larsson doubtful

Our call: 67% MCI · 19% draw · 14% FUL  ·  expected goals 2.20–0.88

Unchanged since 17 Oct at 20:00 · checked today at 10:57

The whole season

All 38 of Fulham's league matches, what we said would happen, and – where it has been played – what actually did. We have called 2 of 5 of their decided matches so far; 2 were draws, which nobody scores. Rows marked projected are today's model looking ahead: they move every time the season is re-projected, so they are not frozen and are never graded. Everything else is the call we published before kick-off.

GWKick-offOpponentWinDrawLoseOur callResultCalled it?
1 Mon 24 Aug, 20:00 Chelsea (H) 42% 27% 32% WinConfidence: Knife-edge 2–3
2 Sun 30 Aug, 14:00 Sunderland (A) 34% 27% 39% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 0–1
3 Sat 5 Sept, 15:00 Crystal Palace (H) 45% 27% 29% WinConfidence: Slight 2–3
4 Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 Liverpool (A) 17% 21% 62% LoseConfidence: Strong 0–0
5 Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 Manchester United (H) 32% 27% 42% LoseConfidence: Knife-edge 1–1
6 Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Ipswich Town (A) 44% 26% 30% WinConfidence: Slight 1–2
7 Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Hull City (H) 52% 25% 23% WinConfidence: Fair 1–0
8 Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Coventry City (A) 45% 26% 29% WinConfidence: Slight –
9 Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Aston Villa (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseConfidence: Fair –
10 Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Newcastle United (H) 40% 27% 33% WinConfidence: Knife-edge –
11 Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 Manchester City (A) 14% 19% 67% LoseConfidence: Strong –
12 Sun 29 Nov, 14:05 Bournemouth (H) 35% 27% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
13 Wed 2 Dec, 20:00 Tottenham Hotspur (A) 38% 27% 35% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
14 Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 Everton (A) 30% 26% 44% LoseProjected: Slight –
15 Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 Brentford (H) 41% 26% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
16 Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 Leeds United (A) 33% 28% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
17 Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 34% 27% 39% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
18 Wed 30 Dec, 19:30 Arsenal (H) 19% 24% 57% LoseProjected: Strong –
19 Sat 2 Jan, 15:00 Nottingham Forest (A) 32% 27% 41% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
20 Wed 6 Jan, 19:30 Tottenham Hotspur (H) 51% 26% 24% WinProjected: Fair –
21 Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 Newcastle United (A) 30% 26% 44% LoseProjected: Slight –
22 Sat 23 Jan, 15:00 Aston Villa (H) 35% 27% 38% LoseProjected: Knife-edge –
23 Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 Bournemouth (A) 24% 25% 51% LoseProjected: Fair –
24 Sat 6 Feb, 15:00 Manchester City (H) 22% 24% 54% LoseProjected: Fair –
25 Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 Nottingham Forest (H) 44% 27% 29% WinProjected: Slight –
26 Sat 20 Feb, 15:00 Arsenal (A) 12% 19% 69% LoseProjected: Very strong –
27 Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 Leeds United (H) 45% 27% 28% WinProjected: Slight –
28 Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 23% 25% 52% LoseProjected: Fair –
29 Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 Crystal Palace (A) 37% 26% 37% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
30 Sat 20 Mar, 15:00 Liverpool (H) 29% 26% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –
31 Sat 10 Apr, 15:00 Chelsea (A) 26% 25% 49% LoseProjected: Fair –
32 Sat 17 Apr, 15:00 Sunderland (H) 49% 25% 26% WinProjected: Fair –
33 Sat 24 Apr, 15:00 Brentford (A) 30% 26% 45% LoseProjected: Slight –
34 Sat 1 May, 15:00 Everton (H) 41% 27% 32% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
35 Sat 8 May, 15:00 Ipswich Town (H) 58% 23% 19% WinProjected: Strong –
36 Sat 15 May, 15:00 Hull City (A) 43% 27% 30% WinProjected: Knife-edge –
37 Sun 23 May, 15:00 Coventry City (H) 53% 25% 22% WinProjected: Fair –
38 Sun 30 May, 16:00 Manchester United (A) 22% 24% 54% LoseProjected: Fair –

Called the winner Called it wrong Drawn – no winner to call