Which Team Will Win?

Hull City vs. Ipswich Town

Saturday 31st October 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 9

whichteamwillwin.com

Hull City win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Ipswich Town win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Slight

MoreLess
HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average HUL IPS D-D-L-D-L L-W-L-W-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 -0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-L-W-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.52 1.19 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.48 1.76 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 58% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 0.83 1.46 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.62 2.23 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 1.95 1.88 Defence Conceded per game Weak 1423 Weak 1388 Elo performance 1500 is average

The key stat: XI defensive record. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Hull City come out on top, 1.48 against 1.76. Historically, the side with the steadier back line takes these roughly 69% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callHull City to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on home advantage, the long-run strength gap and the defenders they face – the strongest pull the other way is what this eleven creates.
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 58% (decisive); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.76 (clear); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-L-W-L-L (slight).
  • For Ipswich TownAttack 1.46 v 0.83 (clear); XI attacking output 2.23 v 1.62 (useful); Defence 1.88 v 1.95 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Ipswich Town L-W-L-W-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 expected · 8 unavailable Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
28 C. Walton 26 D. O'Shea 3 L. Davis 6 I. Diop 42 A. Ouattara 10 J. Enciso 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 38 D. Maeda 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Walton60%
  2. D. O'Shea98%
  3. L. Davis98%
  4. I. Diop98%
  5. A. Ouattara61%
  6. J. Enciso96%
  7. E. Palacios80%
  8. S. Lukić77%
  9. D. Maeda59%
  10. A. Fatawu56%
  11. Emersonn91%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs J. Greaves, K. Scherpen, J. Clarke, Florentino, Z. Flemming, J. Philogene, C. Akpom

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts K. Van Oevelen unavailable, C. Humphreys unavailable, W. Burns unavailable, G. Hirst unavailable, S. Szmodics unavailable, A. Al-Hamadi unavailable, C. Ogbene unavailable, B. Johnson unavailable

Our call: 45% HUL · 26% draw · 29% IPS  ·  bookmakers: 36% / 27% / 36%  ·  expected goals 1.52–1.19

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 18:59 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ Hull CityIpswich Town ▸Goals
Home advantage 0.27
Long-run strength 0.14
XI attacking output 0.05
Shots on target 0.05
XI strength vs usual 0.02
XI defensive record 0.02
Everything else 0.03
Hull City ahead by 0.33

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Hull City come out 0.33 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Ipswich Town goals Hull City goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Hull City 0–0 Ipswich Town: 7% Hull City 0–1 Ipswich Town: 8% Hull City 0–2 Ipswich Town: 5% Hull City 0–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Hull City 0–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 0–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 1–0 Ipswich Town: 10% Hull City 1–1 Ipswich Town: 12% Hull City 1–2 Ipswich Town: 7% Hull City 1–3 Ipswich Town: 3% Hull City 1–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 1–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 2–0 Ipswich Town: 8% Hull City 2–1 Ipswich Town: 9% Hull City 2–2 Ipswich Town: 5% Hull City 2–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Hull City 2–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 2–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 3–0 Ipswich Town: 4% Hull City 3–1 Ipswich Town: 5% Hull City 3–2 Ipswich Town: 3% Hull City 3–3 Ipswich Town: 1% Hull City 3–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 3–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 4–0 Ipswich Town: 1% Hull City 4–1 Ipswich Town: 2% Hull City 4–2 Ipswich Town: 1% Hull City 4–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 4–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 5–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 5–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 5–2 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 5–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 6–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 6–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Hull City 6–2 Ipswich Town: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Hull City win, above it Ipswich Town do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →