Which Team Will Win?

Hull City vs. Brentford

Sunday 25th October 2026 (Kick Off: 14:00) · Gameweek 8

whichteamwillwin.com

Brentford win

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Brentford win ▶ 26% draw chance bookmakers
Brentford crest

Confidence: Slight

MoreLess
HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven HUL BRE D-D-L-D-L D-D-W-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches -0.40 0.40 Goal difference Per game, last 5 L-L-W-D-D L-D-D-D-D Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -1.20 -0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 1.19 1.54 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.62 2.77 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 75% 74% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1423 Above average 1559 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.95 1.78 Defence Conceded per game 1.48 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.83 1.55 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 96% 112% XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: XI attacking output. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Brentford come out on top, 2.77 against 1.62. Historically, the side naming the more potent eleven takes these roughly 70% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callBrentford to win: 45% against 29%, with the draw at 26%. Confidence slight.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, what this eleven creates and the strength of this eleven against their usual one – the strongest pull the other way is home advantage.
  • For BrentfordXI attacking output 2.77 v 1.62 (decisive); Attack 1.55 v 0.83 (clear); XI strength vs usual 112% v 96% (clear).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 75% v 74% (slight); Home and away form L-L-W-D-D v L-D-D-D-D (marginal); XI defensive record 1.48 v 1.54 (marginal).
  • FormHull City D-D-L-D-L, Brentford D-D-W-D-L.

NB The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands in the hour before kick-off.

Hull City 5-4-1 expected · 18 unavailable · 1 doubtfulBrentford 4-2-3-1 expected · 5 unavailable · 1 doubtful Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 5-4-1

Expected starting XI

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Expected starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 2 L. Coyle 3 R. Giles 22 Herrington 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 25 M. Crooks 7 S. Thomas 9 O. McBurnie
1 C. Kelleher 20 K. Ajer 33 M. Kayode 44 J. Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 7 K. Schade 19 J. Anthony 18 M.Sangaré 24 M. Damsgaard 11 O.Dango 9 Thiago
  1. K. Tzolakis98%
  2. S. Ajayi98%
  3. J. Egan98%
  4. L. Coyle97%
  5. R. Giles80%
  6. L. Herrington40%
  7. R. Slater96%
  8. M. Belloumi78%
  9. M. Crooks70%
  10. S. Thomas60%
  11. O. McBurnie98%
  1. C. Kelleher98%
  2. K. Ajer98%
  3. M. Kayode76%
  4. J. Schuster47%
  5. K. Lewis-Potter93%
  6. K. Schade81%
  7. J. Anthony79%
  8. M.Sangaré45%
  9. M. Damsgaard43%
  10. O.Dango38%
  11. Thiago98%

Likely subs E. Stroud, C. Mouzakitis, D. Phillips, A. Ömür, C. McCarthy, T. Iroegbunam, J. Gelhardt

Likely subs A. Hickey, N. Collins, C. Wilson, F. Carvalho, E. Diouf, H. Valdimarsson, S. Van den Berg

Doubts N. Mendy injured, A. Kamara unavailable, J. Butland injured, D. Akintola unavailable, I. Ansah injured, M. Jacob unavailable, R. Vaz doubtful, L. Gourna-Douath injured

Doubts V. Janelt suspended, Y. Yarmoliuk suspended, J. Schuster doubtful, A. Milambo injured, K. Furo injured, J. Dasilva injured

Our call: 29% HUL · 26% draw · 45% BRE  ·  bookmakers: 22% / 24% / 54%  ·  expected goals 1.19–1.54

Unchanged since 18 Oct at 16:17 · checked today at 12:57

What separates them

Reason◂ Hull CityBrentford ▸Goals
Long-run strength 0.57
Home advantage 0.27
XI attacking output 0.10
Settled eleven 0.04
XI strength vs usual 0.03
Defence 0.02
Everything else 0.04
Brentford ahead by 0.36

Each bar is one thing the model weighs, pointing to the side it helps, and its length is the goals it is worth. Add them up and Brentford come out 0.36 goals ahead.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Brentford goals Hull City goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Hull City 0–0 Brentford: 7% Hull City 0–1 Brentford: 10% Hull City 0–2 Brentford: 8% Hull City 0–3 Brentford: 4% Hull City 0–4 Brentford: 2% Hull City 0–5 Brentford: <1% Hull City 0–6 Brentford: <1% Hull City 1–0 Brentford: 7% Hull City 1–1 Brentford: 12% Hull City 1–2 Brentford: 9% Hull City 1–3 Brentford: 5% Hull City 1–4 Brentford: 2% Hull City 1–5 Brentford: <1% Hull City 1–6 Brentford: <1% Hull City 2–0 Brentford: 5% Hull City 2–1 Brentford: 7% Hull City 2–2 Brentford: 5% Hull City 2–3 Brentford: 3% Hull City 2–4 Brentford: 1% Hull City 2–5 Brentford: <1% Hull City 2–6 Brentford: <1% Hull City 3–0 Brentford: 2% Hull City 3–1 Brentford: 3% Hull City 3–2 Brentford: 2% Hull City 3–3 Brentford: 1% Hull City 3–4 Brentford: <1% Hull City 3–5 Brentford: <1% Hull City 4–0 Brentford: <1% Hull City 4–1 Brentford: <1% Hull City 4–2 Brentford: <1% Hull City 4–3 Brentford: <1% Hull City 4–4 Brentford: <1% Hull City 5–0 Brentford: <1% Hull City 5–1 Brentford: <1% Hull City 5–2 Brentford: <1% Hull City 5–3 Brentford: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Hull City win, above it Brentford do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →