Which Team Will Win?

Liverpool 0–0 Fulham

Saturday 12th September 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 4 · Full time

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Liverpool win

0–0Full time

Liverpool crest
◀ Liverpool win Fulham win ▶ 21% draw chance bookmakers
Fulham crest

Confidence: Strong

LIV FUL L-D-D-D-W D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) 0.00 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) W-W-D-D-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 52% 48% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.03 0.97 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Very strong 1634 Average 1500 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.39 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 2.65 2.55 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 70% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 3.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game LIV FUL L-D-D-D-W D-W-L-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) 0.00 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) W-W-D-D-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) 0.80 -1.20 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 52% 48% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.03 0.97 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Very strong 1634 Average 1500 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 1.39 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 2.65 2.55 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 70% 68% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 5.3 3.6 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Elo performance. This is the widest gap between them. Liverpool come out on top, Very strong against Average. In matches like this, the side carrying the stronger record usually wins – about 75% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callLiverpool to win: 62% against 17%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target – the strongest pull the other way is a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For LiverpoolHome and away form W-W-D-D-D v L-D-L-D-L (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 0.80 v -1.20 (decisive); Shots on target 5.3 v 3.6 (clear).
  • For FulhamNothing in the measured stats favours them here.
  • FormLiverpool L-D-D-D-W, Fulham D-W-L-L-L.

NB 4 of the 10 matches behind that form were played last season, before the summer transfer window.

Liverpool 4-2-3-1 confirmedFulham 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Fulham 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 Alisson Becker 21 K. Tsimikas 4 V. van Dijk 5 J. Jacquet 33 R. Araujo 38 R. Gravenberch 8 D. Szoboszlai 29 B. Barcola 7 F. Wirtz 23 Víctor Muñoz 9 A. Isak
1 B. Leno 33 A. Robinson 3 C. Bassey 22 Affengruber 21 T. Castagne 19 S. Charles 16 S. Berge 17 A. Iwobi 24 J. King 14 O. Bobb 7 Gonzalo García
  1. Alisson Becker
  2. K. Tsimikas
  3. V. van Dijk
  4. J. Jacquet
  5. R. Araujo
  6. R. Gravenberch
  7. D. Szoboszlai
  8. B. Barcola
  9. F. Wirtz
  10. Víctor Muñoz
  11. A. Isak
  1. B. Leno
  2. A. Robinson
  3. C. Bassey
  4. D. Affengruber
  5. T. Castagne
  6. S. Charles
  7. S. Berge
  8. A. Iwobi
  9. J. King
  10. O. Bobb
  11. Gonzalo García

Substitutes W. Endo, J. Frimpong, C. Gakpo, M. Kerkez, L. Koumas, A. Mac Allister, G. Mamardashvili, R. Ngumoha, T. Nyoni

Substitutes J. Andersen, H. Larsson, B. Lecomte, Manuel Ángel, Rodrigo Muniz, César Palacios, Kevin, E. Smith Rowe, K. Tete

Our call: 62% LIV · 21% draw · 17% FUL  ·  bookmakers: 66% / 19% / 15%  ·  expected goals 2.03–0.97

Last updated 12 Sept at 14:14

What separates them

The lean to Liverpool comes from the long-run strength gap, home advantage and recent shots on target.

Likeliest scoreline: 2–0

Fulham goals Liverpool goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Liverpool 0–0 Fulham: 5% Liverpool 0–1 Fulham: 5% Liverpool 0–2 Fulham: 2% Liverpool 0–3 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 0–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 1–0 Fulham: 10% Liverpool 1–1 Fulham: 10% Liverpool 1–2 Fulham: 5% Liverpool 1–3 Fulham: 2% Liverpool 1–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 1–5 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 2–0 Fulham: 10% Liverpool 2–1 Fulham: 10% Liverpool 2–2 Fulham: 5% Liverpool 2–3 Fulham: 2% Liverpool 2–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 2–5 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 3–0 Fulham: 7% Liverpool 3–1 Fulham: 7% Liverpool 3–2 Fulham: 3% Liverpool 3–3 Fulham: 1% Liverpool 3–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 3–5 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 4–0 Fulham: 4% Liverpool 4–1 Fulham: 3% Liverpool 4–2 Fulham: 2% Liverpool 4–3 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 4–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 5–0 Fulham: 1% Liverpool 5–1 Fulham: 1% Liverpool 5–2 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 5–3 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 5–4 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 6–0 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 6–1 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 6–2 Fulham: <1% Liverpool 6–3 Fulham: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Liverpool win, above it Fulham do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →