Which Team Will Win?

Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich Town

Saturday 12th September 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 4 · Full time

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Crystal Palace win

2–3Full time

Crystal Palace crest
◀ Crystal Palace win Ipswich Town win ▶ 24% draw chance bookmakers
Ipswich Town crest

Confidence: Fair

CRY IPS D-L-L-L-W L-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -1.00 -1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) W-D-D-L-L D-L-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -1.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 56% 44% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.82 1.00 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1516 Very weak 1367 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.00 1.77 Defence Conceded per game 1.71 1.56 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 74% 66% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game CRY IPS D-L-L-L-W L-L-W-L-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -1.00 -1.60 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) W-D-D-L-L D-L-D-L-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (part last season) -0.60 -1.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (part last season) 56% 44% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.82 1.00 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Average 1516 Very weak 1367 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.00 1.77 Defence Conceded per game 1.71 1.56 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 74% 66% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 3.7 3.2 Exp: Shots on target Per game

The key stat: Elo performance. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Crystal Palace come out on top, Average against Very weak. Historically, the better-rated side takes these roughly 75% of the time. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callCrystal Palace to win: 56% against 20%, with the draw at 24%. Confidence fair.
  • WhyThe call rests on the long-run strength gap, home advantage and the rest advantage – the strongest pull the other way is a cup tie in the other side's legs.
  • For Crystal PalaceGK save rate 74% v 66% (clear); Possession 56% v 44% (clear); Elo performance 1516 v 1367 (clear).
  • For Ipswich TownXI defensive record 1.56 v 1.71 (slight); Defence 1.77 v 2.00 (slight).
  • FormCrystal Palace D-L-L-L-W, Ipswich Town L-L-W-L-L.

NB 4 of the 10 matches behind that form were played last season, before the summer transfer window.

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1 confirmedIpswich Town 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

Confirmed starting XI

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

44 W. Benítez 21 H. Ahanor 5 A. Disasi 26 C. Richards 3 T. Mitchell 20 A. Wharton 23 Q. Timber 25 A. Khalaili 10 Yéremy Pino 18 D. Kamada 22 J. Strand Larsen
37 K. Scherpen 3 L. Davis 24 J. Greaves 6 I. Diop 26 D. O'Shea 25 E. Palacios 23 S. Lukić 47 J. Clarke 10 J. Enciso 7 A. Fatawu 19 Emersonn
  1. W. Benítez
  2. H. Ahanor
  3. A. Disasi
  4. C. Richards
  5. T. Mitchell
  6. A. Wharton
  7. Q. Timber
  8. A. Khalaili
  9. Yéremy Pino
  10. D. Kamada
  11. J. Strand Larsen
  1. K. Scherpen
  2. L. Davis
  3. J. Greaves
  4. I. Diop
  5. D. O'Shea
  6. E. Palacios
  7. S. Lukić
  8. J. Clarke
  9. J. Enciso
  10. A. Fatawu
  11. Emersonn

Substitutes B. Chilwell, C. Doucouré, Z. Gozo, W. Hughes, J. Lerma, R. Matthews, D. McNeil, Óscar Mingueza, T. Tomiyasu

Substitutes C. Akpom, Z. Flemming, C. Kipré, D. Maeda, Florentino, M. Núñez, A. Ouattara, J. Philogene, C. Walton

Our call: 56% CRY · 24% draw · 20% IPS  ·  bookmakers: 51% / 25% / 24%  ·  expected goals 1.82–1.00

Last updated 12 Sept at 14:14

What separates them

The lean to Crystal Palace comes from the long-run strength gap, home advantage and the rest advantage.

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Ipswich Town goals Crystal Palace goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Crystal Palace 0–0 Ipswich Town: 6% Crystal Palace 0–1 Ipswich Town: 6% Crystal Palace 0–2 Ipswich Town: 3% Crystal Palace 0–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 0–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 0–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 1–0 Ipswich Town: 11% Crystal Palace 1–1 Ipswich Town: 11% Crystal Palace 1–2 Ipswich Town: 5% Crystal Palace 1–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Crystal Palace 1–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 1–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 2–0 Ipswich Town: 10% Crystal Palace 2–1 Ipswich Town: 10% Crystal Palace 2–2 Ipswich Town: 5% Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich Town: 2% Crystal Palace 2–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 2–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 3–0 Ipswich Town: 6% Crystal Palace 3–1 Ipswich Town: 6% Crystal Palace 3–2 Ipswich Town: 3% Crystal Palace 3–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 3–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 3–5 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 4–0 Ipswich Town: 3% Crystal Palace 4–1 Ipswich Town: 3% Crystal Palace 4–2 Ipswich Town: 1% Crystal Palace 4–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 4–4 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 5–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 5–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 5–2 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 5–3 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 6–0 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 6–1 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 6–2 Ipswich Town: <1% Crystal Palace 6–3 Ipswich Town: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Crystal Palace win, above it Ipswich Town do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →