Which Team Will Win?

Coventry City vs. Hull City

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2

whichteamwillwin.com

Coventry City win

◀ Coventry win Hull City win ▶ ◄ draw zone ► 21%

Confidence: Strong

More statsLess
Coventry City crest
COV HUL 2.13 1.12 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.98 1.87 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1430 Weak 1398 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.49 1.49 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 0.00 0.46 Availability This eleven against the usual one
Hull City crest

The key stat: XI attacking output. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Coventry City lead it, 2.98 to 1.87. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the greater attacking threat tends to win, in around 73% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callCoventry City to win: 60% against 19%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • For Coventry CityXI attacking output 2.98 v 1.87 (decisive); Goals 2.13 v 1.12 (clear); Elo performance 1430 v 1398 (slight).
  • For Hull CityAvailability 0.46 v 0.00 (clear).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L. Coventry City have no Premier League record.

NB Coventry City came up from the Championship, and we hold no Championship results, so their half of this comparison rests on the players rather than on past results. The form above is last season’s — no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form. The elevens are our prediction. Confirmed team news lands about an hour before kick-off.

Coventry City 4-3-3

Provisional starting XI

Hull City 4-3-3

Expected starting XI

  1. Rushworth
  2. Thomas
  3. Kitching
  4. van Ewijk
  5. Dasilva
  6. Mason-Clark
  7. Torp
  8. Tchaouna
  9. Awoniyi
  10. Thomas-Asante
  11. Simms
  1. TzolakisNEW0%
  2. AjayiNEW98%
  3. EganNEW96%
  4. McNairNEW62%
  5. GilesNEW42%
  6. DowellNEW96%
  7. BelloumiNEW0%
  8. MillarNEW0%
  9. McBurnieNEW81%
  10. DramehNEW27%
  11. TargettNEW20%

Likely subs Hamer, Onyeka, Rudoni, Kesler-Hayden, Grimes, Wilson, Bidwell

Likely subs Ömür, Akintola, Morita, Hjertø-Dahl, Stroud, Gourna-Douath, Crooks

Doubts Wright injured, Markelo unavailable, Bassette unavailable

Doubts Butland injured, Gelhardt injured, Burstow unavailable, Gyabi injured, Kamara unavailable, Morita doubtful, Matazo injured, Zambrano injured

Our call: 60% COV · 21% draw · 19% HUL  ·  expected goals 2.13–1.12

Last updated today at 12:19

What separates them

Every stat weighed against its opposite number, singly and in combination. Of the comparisons that have reliably told winners from losers in the past — scored only on matches played before this one — these are the ones these two sides are furthest apart on.

ComparisonFavoursSide ahead wonIn past matchesMatches
Attack from this XI COV 73% 1,200
Attack from this XI & keeper faced COV 71% 1,200
Team strength & defence from this XI COV 75% 1,148
Team strength & keeper faced COV 77% 1,200
Defence from this XI COV 70% 1,148

Conviction score: 0.55 towards COV.

Most likely scorelines

HUL goals → 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 COV goals → Most likely: 2–1 (9.9%)

The model turns each side's features into an expected-goals figure, then works out the probability of every scoreline. Adding up the cells above, on and below the diagonal gives the win, draw and loss percentages. Full method →