Which Team Will Win?

Coventry City 0–1 Hull City

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2 · Full time

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Coventry City win

0–1Full time

Coventry City crest
◀ Coventry win Hull City win ▶ 24% draw chance bookmakers
Hull City crest

Confidence: Fair

COV HUL L D-L-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -3.00 -2.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) 1.83 1.18 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.50 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 64% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.32 2.20 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven Weak 1428 Weak 1412 Elo performance 1500 is average 0.33 0.75 XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven COV HUL L D-L-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -3.00 -2.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) 1.83 1.18 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 1.50 1.54 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 64% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 2.32 2.20 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven Weak 1428 Weak 1412 Elo performance 1500 is average 0.33 0.75 XI strength vs usual 100% is the usual eleven

The key stat: XI defensive record. This is where the two sides are furthest apart. Coventry City lead it, 1.50 to 1.54. When this gap appears, whoever fielded the more solid defence tends to win, in around 67% of cases. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

  • The callCoventry City to win: 52% against 24%, with the draw at 24%. Confidence fair.
  • For Coventry CityGoals 1.83 v 1.18 (useful); XI attacking output 2.32 v 2.20 (marginal); XI defensive record 1.50 v 1.54 (marginal).
  • For Hull CityGK save rate 76% v 64% (decisive); XI strength vs usual 0.75 v 0.33 (clear); Goal difference -2.00 v -3.00 (useful).
  • FormCoventry City L, Hull City D-L-L-L-W.

NB 4 of the 6 matches behind that form were played last season, before the summer transfer window.

Coventry City 4-2-3-1 confirmedHull City 5-4-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Coventry City 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Hull City 5-4-1

Confirmed starting XI

19 C. Rushworth 3 J. Dasilva 24 A. Amenda 4 B. Thomas 27 M. van Ewijk 6 M. Grimes 8 C. Yirenkyi 10 E. Mason-Clark 5 J. Rudoni 18 L. Tchaouna 14 T. Awoniyi
19 K. Tzolakis 32 N. Mendy 15 J. Egan 6 S. Ajayi 3 R. Giles 2 L. Coyle 21 E. Stroud 5 H. Morita 27 R. Slater 10 M. Belloumi 9 O. McBurnie
  1. C. Rushworth
  2. J. Dasilva
  3. A. Amenda
  4. B. Thomas
  5. M. van Ewijk
  6. M. Grimes
  7. C. Yirenkyi
  8. E. Mason-Clark
  9. J. Rudoni
  10. L. Tchaouna
  11. T. Awoniyi
  1. K. Tzolakis
  2. N. Mendy
  3. J. Egan
  4. S. Ajayi
  5. R. Giles
  6. L. Coyle
  7. E. Stroud
  8. H. Morita
  9. R. Slater
  10. M. Belloumi
  11. O. McBurnie

Substitutes D. Bentley, G. Hamer, L. Kitching, J. Latibeaudiere, E. Pinnock, T. Sakamoto, E. Simms, B. Thomas-Asante, V. Torp

Substitutes M. Cho, P. McNair, C. Drameh, L. Gourna-Douath, L. Herrington, J. Hjertø-Dahl, L. Millar, D. Phillips, M. Targett

Our call: 52% COV · 24% draw · 24% HUL  ·  bookmakers: 51% / 27% / 23%  ·  expected goals 1.83–1.18

Last updated 29 Aug at 17:02

What separates them

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Hull City goals Coventry goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Coventry 0–0 Hull City: 5% Coventry 0–1 Hull City: 6% Coventry 0–2 Hull City: 3% Coventry 0–3 Hull City: 1% Coventry 0–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 0–5 Hull City: <1% Coventry 1–0 Hull City: 9% Coventry 1–1 Hull City: 11% Coventry 1–2 Hull City: 6% Coventry 1–3 Hull City: 2% Coventry 1–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 1–5 Hull City: <1% Coventry 2–0 Hull City: 8% Coventry 2–1 Hull City: 10% Coventry 2–2 Hull City: 6% Coventry 2–3 Hull City: 2% Coventry 2–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 2–5 Hull City: <1% Coventry 3–0 Hull City: 5% Coventry 3–1 Hull City: 6% Coventry 3–2 Hull City: 4% Coventry 3–3 Hull City: 1% Coventry 3–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 3–5 Hull City: <1% Coventry 4–0 Hull City: 2% Coventry 4–1 Hull City: 3% Coventry 4–2 Hull City: 2% Coventry 4–3 Hull City: <1% Coventry 4–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 5–0 Hull City: <1% Coventry 5–1 Hull City: <1% Coventry 5–2 Hull City: <1% Coventry 5–3 Hull City: <1% Coventry 5–4 Hull City: <1% Coventry 6–0 Hull City: <1% Coventry 6–1 Hull City: <1% Coventry 6–2 Hull City: <1% Coventry 6–3 Hull City: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Coventry win, above it Hull City do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →