Which Team Will Win?

Bournemouth 1–1 Everton

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 15:00) · Gameweek 2 · Full time

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Bournemouth win

1–1Full time

Bournemouth crest
◀ Bournemouth win Everton win ▶ 25% draw chance bookmakers
Everton crest

Confidence: Slight

BOU EVE W-W-D-D-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) 0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) D-D-D-W-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 55% 45% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.66 1.23 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 4.1 4.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 71% 63% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.49 1.24 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.54 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.61 1.59 Defence Conceded per game BOU EVE W-W-D-D-L D-D-L-L-W Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) 0.60 -0.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) D-D-D-W-D L-D-L-D-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.60 -0.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 55% 45% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 1.66 1.23 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT – AGAINST THE CALL 4.1 4.8 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 71% 63% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.49 1.24 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.54 1.55 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven 1.61 1.59 Defence Conceded per game

The key stat: Shots on target. Of everything on this page, this is the biggest difference. Everton come out on top, 4.8 against 4.1. Historically, the side testing the goalkeeper more often takes these roughly 70% of the time. The stats beneath it were picked on the same evidence.

Against the call – it favours Everton; Bournemouth are tipped because they lead on recent form, goal difference and their home-and-away records.

  • The callBournemouth to win: 47% against 28%, with the draw at 25%. Confidence slight.
  • For BournemouthGK save rate 71% v 63% (clear); Home and away form D-D-D-W-D v L-D-L-D-L (clear); Possession 55% v 45% (clear).
  • For EvertonShots on target 4.8 v 4.1 (slight); Defence 1.59 v 1.61 (marginal).
  • FormBournemouth W-W-D-D-L, Everton D-D-L-L-W.

NB 8 of the 10 matches behind that form were played last season, before the summer transfer window.

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1 confirmedEverton 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

Everton 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 Đ. Petrović 3 A. Truffert 5 J. Hill 14 António Silva 15 A. Smith 4 L. Cook 8 A. Scott 16 M. Tavernier 19 J. Kluivert 37 Rayan 9 Evanilson
1 J. Pickford 16 V. Mykolenko 4 Branthwaite 6 J. Tarkowski 34 M. Röhl 37 J. Garner 45 H. Armstrong 10 I. Ndiaye 8 Dewsbury-Hall 19 T. George 11 T. Barry
  1. Đ. Petrović
  2. A. Truffert
  3. J. Hill
  4. António Silva
  5. A. Smith
  6. L. Cook
  7. A. Scott
  8. M. Tavernier
  9. J. Kluivert
  10. Rayan
  11. Evanilson
  1. J. Pickford
  2. V. Mykolenko
  3. J. Branthwaite
  4. J. Tarkowski
  5. M. Röhl
  6. J. Garner
  7. H. Armstrong
  8. I. Ndiaye
  9. K. Dewsbury-Hall
  10. T. George
  11. T. Barry

Substitutes T. Adams, D. Brooks, R. Christie, M. Di Gregorio, B. Diakité, B. Gannon-Doak, D. Jebbison, Á. Rodríguez, J. Soler

Substitutes C. Alcaraz, T. Dibling, Beto, H. Hackney, T. Iroegbunam, B. Johnson, M. Keane, J. O'Brien, M. Travers

Our call: 47% BOU · 25% draw · 28% EVE  ·  bookmakers: 45% / 27% / 28%  ·  expected goals 1.66–1.23

Last updated 29 Aug at 14:31

What separates them

Likeliest scoreline: 1–1

Everton goals Bournemouth goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Bournemouth 0–0 Everton: 6% Bournemouth 0–1 Everton: 7% Bournemouth 0–2 Everton: 4% Bournemouth 0–3 Everton: 2% Bournemouth 0–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 0–5 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 1–0 Everton: 9% Bournemouth 1–1 Everton: 12% Bournemouth 1–2 Everton: 7% Bournemouth 1–3 Everton: 3% Bournemouth 1–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 1–5 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 2–0 Everton: 8% Bournemouth 2–1 Everton: 9% Bournemouth 2–2 Everton: 6% Bournemouth 2–3 Everton: 2% Bournemouth 2–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 2–5 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 3–0 Everton: 4% Bournemouth 3–1 Everton: 5% Bournemouth 3–2 Everton: 3% Bournemouth 3–3 Everton: 1% Bournemouth 3–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 3–5 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 4–0 Everton: 2% Bournemouth 4–1 Everton: 2% Bournemouth 4–2 Everton: 1% Bournemouth 4–3 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 4–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 5–0 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 5–1 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 5–2 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 5–3 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 5–4 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 6–0 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 6–1 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 6–2 Everton: <1% Bournemouth 6–3 Everton: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Bournemouth win, above it Everton do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →