Which Team Will Win?

Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest

Saturday 29th August 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 2 · Full time

whichteamwillwin.com
MoreLess

Liverpool win

2–2Full time

Liverpool crest
◀ Liverpool win Forest win ▶ 21% draw chance bookmakers
Nottingham Forest crest

Confidence: Strong

LIV NFO L-D-L-D-D W-D-L-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) D-W-W-D-D D-W-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.80 1.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 56% 44% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.03 0.94 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Very strong 1634 Average 1514 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.67 2.00 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 67% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.71 1.37 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.46 1.31 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven LIV NFO L-D-L-D-D W-D-L-D-L Recent form Last 5 matches (part last season) -0.60 0.00 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (part last season) D-W-W-D-D D-W-W-W-L Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) 0.80 1.80 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 56% 44% Exp: Possession Share of the ball 2.03 0.94 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT Very strong 1634 Average 1514 Elo performance 1500 is average ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.67 2.00 XI attacking output Goals and assists expected, this eleven 67% 76% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved 1.71 1.37 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 1.46 1.31 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven

The key stat: Elo performance. This is the widest gap between them. Liverpool come out on top, Very strong against Average. In matches like this, the side carrying the stronger record usually wins – about 72% of the time. Those underneath were selected on the same basis.

  • The callLiverpool to win: 62% against 16%, with the draw at 21%. Confidence strong.
  • For LiverpoolPossession 56% v 44% (clear); Goals 2.03 v 0.94 (clear); XI attacking output 2.67 v 2.00 (useful).
  • For Nottingham ForestGK save rate 76% v 67% (decisive); Goal difference at this venue 1.80 v 0.80 (useful); XI defensive record 1.31 v 1.46 (slight).
  • FormLiverpool L-D-L-D-D, Nottingham Forest W-D-L-D-L.

NB 8 of the 10 matches behind that form were played last season, before the summer transfer window.

Liverpool 4-5-1 confirmedNottingham Forest 5-4-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Liverpool 4-5-1

Confirmed starting XI

Nottingham Forest 5-4-1

Confirmed starting XI

1 Alisson Becker 30 J. Frimpong 5 J. Jacquet 6 M. Kerkez 4 V. van Dijk 18 C. Gakpo 10 Mac Allister 23 Víctor Muñoz 8 Szoboszlai 7 F. Wirtz 9 A. Isak
26 M. Sels 34 O. Aina 5 Murillo 31 Milenković 23 Jair Cunha 3 N. Williams 10 Gibbs-White 24 J. McAtee 14 D. Ndoye 21 X. Schlager 11 Igor Jesus
  1. Alisson Becker
  2. J. Frimpong
  3. C. Gakpo
  4. A. Isak
  5. J. Jacquet
  6. M. Kerkez
  7. A. Mac Allister
  8. Víctor Muñoz
  9. D. Szoboszlai
  10. F. Wirtz
  11. V. van Dijk
  1. O. Aina
  2. Murillo
  3. M. Gibbs-White
  4. Igor Jesus
  5. J. McAtee
  6. N. Milenković
  7. D. Ndoye
  8. Jair Cunha
  9. X. Schlager
  10. M. Sels
  11. N. Williams

Substitutes R. Araujo, W. Endo, R. Gravenberch, L. Koumas, G. Mamardashvili, J. McConnell, R. Ngumoha, T. Nyoni, K. Tsimikas

Substitutes Z. Abbott, L. Delap, O. Diomande, N. Domínguez, C. Hudson-Odoi, John Victor, L. Netz, C. Wood, R. Yates

Our call: 62% LIV · 21% draw · 16% NFO  ·  bookmakers: 61% / 22% / 17%  ·  expected goals 2.03–0.94

Last updated 29 Aug at 11:46

What separates them

Likeliest scoreline: 2–0

Forest goals Liverpool goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Liverpool 0–0 Forest: 5% Liverpool 0–1 Forest: 5% Liverpool 0–2 Forest: 2% Liverpool 0–3 Forest: <1% Liverpool 0–4 Forest: <1% Liverpool 1–0 Forest: 10% Liverpool 1–1 Forest: 10% Liverpool 1–2 Forest: 5% Liverpool 1–3 Forest: 1% Liverpool 1–4 Forest: <1% Liverpool 1–5 Forest: <1% Liverpool 2–0 Forest: 11% Liverpool 2–1 Forest: 10% Liverpool 2–2 Forest: 5% Liverpool 2–3 Forest: 1% Liverpool 2–4 Forest: <1% Liverpool 2–5 Forest: <1% Liverpool 3–0 Forest: 7% Liverpool 3–1 Forest: 7% Liverpool 3–2 Forest: 3% Liverpool 3–3 Forest: 1% Liverpool 3–4 Forest: <1% Liverpool 4–0 Forest: 4% Liverpool 4–1 Forest: 3% Liverpool 4–2 Forest: 2% Liverpool 4–3 Forest: <1% Liverpool 4–4 Forest: <1% Liverpool 5–0 Forest: 1% Liverpool 5–1 Forest: 1% Liverpool 5–2 Forest: <1% Liverpool 5–3 Forest: <1% Liverpool 6–0 Forest: <1% Liverpool 6–1 Forest: <1% Liverpool 6–2 Forest: <1% Liverpool 6–3 Forest: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Liverpool win, above it Forest do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →