Which Team Will Win?

Hull City 2–0 Manchester United

Saturday 22nd August 2026 (Kick Off: 12:30) · Gameweek 1 · Full time

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Manchester United win

2–0Full time

Hull City crest
◀ Hull City win Man United win ▶ 19% draw chance bookmakers
Manchester United crest

Confidence: Strong

HUL MUN W-D-L-L-L W-W-D-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -2.00 1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-W-W-L-L L-D-W-D-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 1.00 2.34 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.6 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.94 1.38 Defence Conceded per game 0.91 1.76 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1398 Very strong 1628 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.55 1.30 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven HUL MUN W-D-L-L-L W-W-D-W-W Recent form Last 5 matches (last season) -2.00 1.20 Goal difference Per game, last 5 (last season) W-W-W-L-L L-D-W-D-W Home & away form Home v away, last 5 (last season) -0.60 0.60 Goal difference at this venue Per game (last season) 1.00 2.34 Exp: Goals What the model expects KEY STAT 2.6 5.4 Exp: Shots on target Per game ALSO TIPPING THE BALANCE 2.94 1.38 Defence Conceded per game 0.91 1.76 Attack Goals and expected goals per game 70% 70% Exp: GK save rate Shots saved Weak 1398 Very strong 1628 Elo performance 1500 is average 1.55 1.30 XI defensive record Goals expected against, this eleven

The key stat: Shots on target. No other measure separates them as clearly. Manchester United lead it, 5.4 to 2.6. the side testing the goalkeeper more often normally comes out on top here – 74% of the time in recent seasons. The measures below it were chosen the same way.

  • The callManchester United to win: 67% against 14%, with the draw at 19%. Confidence strong.
  • For Manchester UnitedGoal difference 1.20 v -2.00 (decisive); Shots on target 5.4 v 2.6 (decisive); Defence 1.38 v 2.94 (decisive).
  • For Hull CityHome and away form W-W-W-L-L v L-D-W-D-W (marginal).
  • FormHull City W-D-L-L-L, Manchester United W-W-D-W-W.

NB The form above is last season’s – no Premier League matches have been played this campaign, and squads have changed over the summer. It is the best evidence we have, not current form.

Hull City 3-4-2-1 confirmedManchester United 4-2-3-1 confirmed Line-ups in fullHide the line-ups

Hull City 3-4-2-1

Confirmed starting XI

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Confirmed starting XI

19 K. Tzolakis 6 S. Ajayi 15 J. Egan 32 N. Mendy 3 R. Giles 27 R. Slater 25 M. Crooks 2 L. Coyle 10 M. Belloumi 21 E. Stroud 9 O. McBurnie
1 S. Lammens 23 L. Shaw 26 A. Heaven 5 H. Maguire 3 N. Mazraoui 18 Y. Tielemans 17 Andrey Santos 13 P. Dorgu 8 Bruno Fernandes 19 B. Mbeumo 10 Matheus Cunha
  1. K. Tzolakis
  2. S. Ajayi
  3. J. Egan
  4. N. Mendy
  5. R. Giles
  6. R. Slater
  7. M. Crooks
  8. L. Coyle
  9. M. Belloumi
  10. E. Stroud
  11. O. McBurnie
  1. S. Lammens
  2. L. Shaw
  3. A. Heaven
  4. H. Maguire
  5. N. Mazraoui
  6. Y. Tielemans
  7. Andrey Santos
  8. P. Dorgu
  9. Bruno Fernandes
  10. B. Mbeumo
  11. Matheus Cunha

Substitutes P. McNair, K. Dowell, C. Drameh, L. Gourna-Douath, L. Herrington, J. Hjertø-Dahl, L. Millar, D. Phillips, M. Targett

Substitutes Diogo Dalot, K. Darlow, S. Lacey, K. Mainoo, L. Martínez, M. Rashford, L. Yoro, J. Zirkzee, B. Šeško

Our call: 14% HUL · 19% draw · 67% MUN  ·  bookmakers: 11% / 19% / 70%  ·  expected goals 1.00–2.34

Last updated 22 Aug at 12:29

What separates them

Likeliest scoreline: 0–2

Man United goals Hull City goals 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 Hull City 0–0 Man United: 4% Hull City 0–1 Man United: 8% Hull City 0–2 Man United: 10% Hull City 0–3 Man United: 8% Hull City 0–4 Man United: 4% Hull City 0–5 Man United: 2% Hull City 0–6 Man United: <1% Hull City 1–0 Man United: 3% Hull City 1–1 Man United: 9% Hull City 1–2 Man United: 10% Hull City 1–3 Man United: 8% Hull City 1–4 Man United: 4% Hull City 1–5 Man United: 2% Hull City 1–6 Man United: <1% Hull City 2–0 Man United: 2% Hull City 2–1 Man United: 4% Hull City 2–2 Man United: 5% Hull City 2–3 Man United: 4% Hull City 2–4 Man United: 2% Hull City 2–5 Man United: 1% Hull City 2–6 Man United: <1% Hull City 3–0 Man United: <1% Hull City 3–1 Man United: 1% Hull City 3–2 Man United: 2% Hull City 3–3 Man United: 1% Hull City 3–4 Man United: <1% Hull City 3–5 Man United: <1% Hull City 3–6 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–0 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–1 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–2 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–3 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–4 Man United: <1% Hull City 4–5 Man United: <1% Hull City 5–1 Man United: <1% Hull City 5–2 Man United: <1% Hull City 5–3 Man United: <1%

The bigger the circle, the likelier the score. Draws run corner to corner; below that line Hull City win, above it Man United do, and each group adds up to its percentage in our call. Full method →